
Who had the rare 7-4 double play to end Game Six on their bingo card? Not too many of us, am I right?
Game Six on Friday night was a thrilling baseball contest that ended in the best way possible for fans of the sport: a seventh game will be required.
The 20 million or so Canadian citizens are not happy about the outcome: the Dodgers eking out a 3-1 win to push this series to a deciding winner-take-all game.
The final play on Halloween night was an unusual 7-4 (left fielder to second baseman) double play. With that swift and unexpected result, the Blue Jays went from seemingly poised to walk off the series, to regrouping.
The regrouping will be on full display tonight at 8 PM ET when Toronto hosts its first Game Seven in 40 years, and first-ever in the Fall Classic.
The Dodgers are priced as favorites to win Game Seven, with multi-faceted superstar Shohei Ohtani scheduled to start this pivotal game. He will face Max Scherzer, who will be the oldest pitcher to start a winner-take-all game. Scherzer is also the forth pitcher to start two winner-take-all contests in World Series history. Six years ago, Scherzer started Game Seven for Washington.
My three picks for this game are based on odds available from DraftKings Sportsbook. Check the odds at your favorite sports betting app before making your wagers for the final MLB game of the year.
It's been a strange postseason for the Dodgers. In some ways, it's been an unusual season for the team, especially for a team that finds itself one win away from winning the title.
The Dodgers limped along in the regular season for a few months, struggling to secure control of the National League West. Only a final push over the last few weeks brought another division title. For a roster talented enough for some experts to call it a "dynasty," the Dodgers only won 93 games. As late as September 23, the Dodgers were only 1 1/2 games away from being a fifth seed in the NL playoffs.
But then the team rampaged through the first three rounds of the postseason: 9-1 against two inferior teams (Reds, Brewers), and one team that seems snake bitten (Phillies). Some pundits felt the NLDS between LA and PHI was the de facto world series.
But a lot of funny things have happened on the way to a sports dynasty. Just as Chicago sports fans (remember "Da Bears" 1980s dynasty that never materialized, or how the Cubs never returned to the Fall Classic after finally hoisting the title with a young, talent-laden team in 2016?).
LA has played uneven in this series. Essentially, two star performances and one swing have kept the team alive. After losing Game One in what seemed like a hangover performance following a sweep of the Brewers, the Dodgers got a win behind a complete game from Yoshinobu Yamamoto. A few days later, Shohei Ohtani got on base a remarkable nine times and hit two home runs in an epic 18-inning win. But that victory wouldn't have been possible without the walk off home run by Freddie Freeman. Even though Freddie won a game in the 2024 World Series with a walk off HR, it seemed highly improbable he could do it this autumn, considering his offensive struggles.
Without Freddie, Sho, and Yoshi, the Dodgers would already be dispersed to their offseason vacation plans. Instead, this team is now 27 outs away from fulfilling the goal it made in the spring: to be baseball's first repeat champs since 2000.
The way they can do it, is the most unlikely thing about it. This has not been a dominant team, more like a persevering one. And strangely, that's probably something we should have expected. In 2000, the last time a team repeated as champs, the Yankees followed a similar path to the winners' circle. That season, the Yanks won a mere 87 games, barely scratching its way to a division title. In the playoffs, they fell behind the Oakland A's, and needed a Game Five win in the ALDS on the road to advance. In the ALCS, Joe Torre's bunch once again lost Game One, and had to battle to win a series. In the World Series, it took 12 innings to win Game One, and the 2000 Yankees only outscored the Mets 19-16, netting two one-run victories.
The Dodgers are not a boring juggernaut. Instead, they play like an underdog with flaws. The offense has been putrid at times. Mookie Betts has looked more like a fading veteran than a former MVP, and Freeman, outside of his walk off blast, is batting .226 this postseason. The bullpen is running on whatever is less than fumes. Particles of fumes?
But, tonight, with everything on the line, I still lean into the Dodgers. Not because of any bias, but because LA has more playmakers, more stars. The team can trot out two former Cy Young Award winners from the bullpen. It has Kiké Hernández, the ultimate Everyman Hero, and it has the smarter, more versatile roster.
Historical Facts: Dodgers are 5-3 in Game Sevens, and the Blue Jays are 1-1 in Game Sevens all-time.
Grab this dual player prop from DraftKings under "pitching specials." In this wager, my $100 bet wins $150 if EITHER Scherzer or Ohtani strikes out at least six batters.
True: in a Game Seven, managers have a short leash on their pitchers. I don't think Ohtani or Scherzer see the sixth inning. But, knowing they have relief behind them, both starters can empty their arsenal and go for the non-contact outs.
I have learned my lesson (finally) on Home Run Prop Bets. This series I am 0-for-5 on HR props. In the postseason I am down 3 1/2 units on HR props.
Home Run Props are great fun, but in the postseason, pitching is usually dominant. The swings are longer and messier, the pitches are bendier and nastier, and the pressure is higher than ever before.
That's why I think the lineups tonight in Game Seven will concentrate on contact, on hitting the ball to the opposite field, and going for any type of hit, even singles. That means more rallies, a few more base runners to bunt over, and more scoring chances, rather than waiting for someone to perform Home Run Hero Ball.
In the previous 39 Winner-Take-All Game Sevens of the World Series, both teams managed at least three runs 10 times.
This is the 154th winner-take-all game in baseball history, since 1900. The most run totals are seven (20 times). In Game Sevens, the most common run total is five runs (11 times in 63 G7). In a World Series Game Seven, the most common run total is five (ten times in 40 games).
That means 25% of Game Sevens in the World Series have resulted in five runs.
I like the UNDER SIX runs for Game Seven for the 2025 World Series.
