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Final Four Predictions: Complete Guide On Placing March Madness Final 4 Bets

Last Updated on 05/14/2024
Fact checked by: Vicky Winters

We’ve created this guide to help you make your NCAA basketball Final Four predictions. Perfect for figuring out who the favorites are to win the 2024 March Madness.

Betting on the winner of March Madness is never simple, but betting on who’ll be in the Final Four is a little easier. So this guide is here to help you make your predictions and we’ll even give you our picks for the Final Four too. Essential for betting on this notoriously unpredictable college basketball contest.

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Making our NCAA March Madness Final Four predictions

This year the March Madness Final Four takes place on April 1 at the NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. The whole competition begins with the First Four on March 14 and what follows is many days of intense college basketball action. We’ll be following each game in every bracket to help you make some solid NCAA basketball Final Four predictions.

Our Final Four picks for March Madness 2024

There will be 68 teams competing to win the 2024 NCAA Division I tournament. While each of these teams is in with a chance, there is a long way to go to reach the Final Four. So here are those teams that we think have the best chance of going all the way:

  • Houston Cougars: Houston have dominated their last four games to put in winning performances against East Carolina, Tulane, Memphis and SMU. It’s this consistency that has led the Cougars to the top of the AAC and it’s easy to see Kelvin Sampson’s team winning this year’s March Madness.
  • Alabama Crimson Tide: Alabama had been having an incredible season and were many people’s favorites for the 2024 March Madness title. However, with the controversy still raging over star player Brandon Miller’s trouble with the law, it’s yet to be seen how this will affect the team’s performance in the NCAA Division I tournament.
  • Kansas Jayhawks: All decent NCAA basketball Final Four predictions will have to include Kansas. After all, the Jayhawks won last year’s March Madness, and there is every chance that they could do the same this time around. Jayhawks coach Bill Self has assembled a team that is strong in most areas with a stunning record of 39 consecutive regular-season home finales. Plus with stars like Jalen Wilson more than capable of making winning plays when it counts, it’s easy to see why many people are backing Kansas once more.
  • UCLA Bruins: The Bruins are on a strong run of form with consecutive wins over the likes of Colorado, Utah, California and Stanford. Now occupying first place in the Pac-12 and with their tournament history, there’s a strong chance that UCLA could have what it takes to claim a record-breaking 12th NCAA Division 1 title.

Outsiders in our Final 4 predictions for March Madness 2024

A lot can happen in the early stages of March Madness, and so there’s every chance that one of the favorites could suffer a shock early exit. In which case, we’re predicting that one of the following ‘dark horses’ could easily claim a spot in the Final Four:

  • Purdue Boilermakers: While Purdue may have clinched the Big Ten title, the team doesn’t make it easy for itself as was seen in recent losses against Northwestern and Indiana.
  • Arizona Wildcats: That thrilling 89-88 victory over Arizona State shows that the Wildcats can put in big performances when it matters. But whether Arizona have the consistency required to make the Final Four remains to be seen.
  • Baylor Bears: Despite being just third in the Big 12, many still think that Baylor Bears could make the Final Four. Plus with Scott Drew at the helm, there’s every chance that the Bears could cause a few surprises.
  • Tennessee Volunteers: Tennessee could easily be this year’s dark horses in March Madness. Anyone who saw the team’s comprehensive 75-57 win over Arkansas Razorbacks will know that the Volunteers can put in an aggressive game-winning performance. However, the team’s fourth position in the Southeastern league betrays that fact that inconsistency could be Tennessee’s downfall.

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Know your history before making March Madness Final Four predictions

The NCAA Division I tournament has been running for over 80 years now and there are some teams who have dominated this contest. These teams always seem capable of ending up in the Final Four, and so here’s a list of who has reached this stage most:

  • North Carolina - 21 appearances
  • UCLA - 18 appearances
  • Duke, Kentucky - 17 appearances
  • Kansas - 16 appearances
  • Michigan State and Ohio State - 10 appearances each

Of course, March Madness has been running since way back in 1939 and certain teams have come on in leaps and bounds in recent years. Here are the teams who featured in the Final Four of March Madness 2022:

  • Kansas Jayhawks
  • North Carolina Tar Heels
  • Duke Blue Devils
  • Villanova Wildcats

Obviously, Kansas won last year’s NCAA Division I and the Jayhawks are looking good again this time around. But winning back-to-back titles is never easy and so it’s going to be fascinating to see whether Kansas have the mentality required this time around.

Great tips for making NCAA basketball Final Four predictions

You’ll have to be ready to put in plenty of research into your Final Four predictions. After all, there are so many teams to pick and choose from. So here are some simple tips to help you out:

Examine the bracket routing

The way that the March Madness bracketing is set up will mean that certain teams have an easier path to the Final Four than others. This means that even as early as the first and second rounds, you’ll be able to see who might have easy games coming up and who has a harder route to the Final Four.

Understand past form

You’re not going to have much success with your NCAA basketball Final Four predictions unless you know how each of the participating teams have been performing recently. 

Note the shifting odds

The odds for your Final Four bets will change dramatically over the course of the tournament. This means that you can place a small stakes bet on a favorite early on and find that their odds get much shorter as they progress through the rounds. 

Watch for the star players

Certain players like Drew Timme have proven themselves to be capable of putting in game-winning performances. Make a note of whether any of these stars will be in action or sidelined through injury to see how it could affect the odds. 

Note strengths and weaknesses

Some NCAA teams like Gonzaga have shown themselves to have brutal offensive strength while others such as Tennessee and Houston excel in their defensive prowess. Research how each team’s offensive and defensive strengths could play out against each other to make better predictions.

Conclusion - Your resource for making NCAA basketball Final Four predictions

By now you’ll have a pretty good idea about who is most likely to be in the Final Four of this year’s March Madness. You can’t discount Houston, and serial winners like UCLA are always worth a look.

However, a lot can happen in a month of college basketball, and so we’ll be keeping this resource updated with all you need to know about betting on March Madness. So keep it here to see whether Kansas can retain their NCAA Division I crown, or whether there will be four other teams in the Final Four.

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NCAA basketball Final Four predictions FAQ

🏆 Who has won most NCAA basketball championships?

We can’t give you our NCAA basketball Final Four predictions without looking back over who has won March Madness in the past. After all, you’ll need to know the history of this contest to have a good idea about what’s going to happen in the future.

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