Men's Australian Open Futures for 2025: Updated Australian Open Odds, Lines for Top Players

The 2025 Australian Open will begin this weekend from Melbourne Park, and it seems to be a return to old times where just a few select names atop the board have a real shot at lifting the trophy.

(Photo by Kelly Defina/Getty Images)

After an offseason of controversy surrounding Jannik Sinner, he'll look to continue his dominance as a ruling on his doping violation looms. There to stop him are some familiar names like Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz, the former a champion here many times over and the latter a multi-time Grand Slam winner who's never conquered this event.

Where does that leave us as we approach the tournament? Let's look at the latest odds on the 2025 Australian Open on the men's side and break down who might be worth betting on in the futures market as a possible outright winner.

All odds are courtesy of DraftKings. Read our review here.

Jannik Sinner Odds to Win (+110)

It's hard to say anything negative about Sinner at the moment, at least when it comes to his tennis. The World No. 1 blazed through the tour last season with just six losses in 79 matches, beginning with a win here at the Australian Open and ending with 30 wins in 31 matches.

After capturing a title in Cincinnati, Shanghai, the ATP Finals and the US Open, there was little reason for Sinner to abbreviate his offseason. He's yet to make an appearance this season, but that hasn't hurt the top players before.

Sinner did play a couple of exhibition matches a season ago, and even after that it took him one match to really round back into form after a tight first-round battle with Botic Van De Zandschulp. This year, he'll have to solve the big serve of Nicolas Jarry in the first round, but assuming he comes through that one the draw should be favorable through the first few rounds.

There are a couple of troublemakers in Sinner's quarter like Holger Rune and talented Aussie Alex De Minaur, though he's come through his last two matches against Rune and is a perfect 9-0 in his career against the Demon.

Carlos Alcaraz Odds to Win (+350)

The most interesting player in the draw this year may be Carlos Alcaraz, a man who's looking to exorcise some demons at this tournament.

• Alcaraz has captured each other Grand Slam on the calendar, but he's failed to make it past the quarterfinal stage in three trips to Australia.

We can give a young Alcaraz a pass for bowing out in the second round back in 2021, but he went into his third-round match against Matteo Berrettini in 2022 the favorite. In the quarters last year, he was a large favorite over Alexander Zverev but wound up playing a sloppy match riddled with errors and bad decisions.

So, there will be a lot for Alcaraz to prove at this year's tournament -- and the season as a whole. I'm looking to buy plenty of shares of Alcaraz, who is arguably the most talented player on tour at the moment even if he's developed a bit slower than Sinner, and this could be the tournament to begin that process.

Alcaraz is positioned opposite Novak Djokovic in the third quarter, which could work in his favor with Djokovic declining a bit last season. With that said, there are plenty of names to fear, such as young American Sebastian Korda who's taken him down before.

Novak Djokovic Odds to Win (+600)

This could very well be Novak Djokovic's swan song -- and if it's not, then it'll surely be next year.

The 24-time Grand Slam champion has won this event a stunning 10 times, and with the two men we discussed above playing at a higher level, he's very deserving of this lofty number.

• Djokovic looked rather human in 2024, going 37-9 across all competitions, and while he did capture gold at the Olympics he did leave the season without a Grand Slam trophy.

Djokovic is just a step slower on return, something that was apparent as he began the season with two unassuming wins in Brisbane followed by a loss to a returning Reilly Opelka who was starved for form.

With Andy Murray now in his coaching box, Djokovic will attempt to devise a plan to get by these two top names one final time in hopes of padding his lead in the all-time race.

Best bet for 2025 Australian Open futures

I'm not sure why, but I feel as though I've got no choice but to put my money behind Daniil Medvedev as he attempts to realize his destiny as Australian Open champion.

• The former US Open winner has had a complicated history at this event, falling victim to an upset against Korda a couple of years ago and twice fumbling away a lead in the final of this event.

Medvedev spent a record-breaking amount of time on court a year ago before falling to Sinner in the final, and if not for a tough draw may have found a way to win his second-ever Grand Slam.

The good news is that Medvedev really only has Taylor Fritz to worry about at the end of his quarter, given his great record against old friend Andrey Rublev. The bad news is that Medvedev is coming off a down year, where his serve lost a little punch and his baseline game broke down on a number of occasions.

The serve may wind up being unsalvageable at his age, but I'm willing to chalk his mistakes up as the product of many experiments. Medvedev, ever-wise to the gameplans his opponents are coming up with, changed his return position and style of attack all season in hopes of confusing the rest of the tour.

It did work for a couple of sets in the Australian Open final before he ran out of gas, and I'm willing to bet that he's used all that match experience to come up with a winning formula in Melbourne Park.

Best Bet: Daniil Medvedev to win 2025 Australian Open (+1600)