Two Round of 16 matches will be played today as the field of the 2026 World Cup continues to be pared down.
Defending champion Argentina is heavily favored to win its match against Egypt. That match will take place at Noon ET in Atlanta.
Switzerland and Colombia meet in Vancouver. The favored Colombians have not allowed a goal in its last three matches.
A pair of matches will be played today in the FIFA World Cup, one involving the impressive defending champion Argentina national team. In the later match, Switzerland tries to halt a five-match losing streak in Round of 16 appearances.
Each of the matches on Tuesday can be viewed on FOX, FOX One, or Telemundo, the latter of which is currently available to Peacock subscribers in the United States.
(Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images)
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World Cup Odds for Tuesday, July 7
I won one of my two bets on Monday. My World Cup record is 15-19.
Team vs. Team
To Qualify for Next Round
Argentina vs. Egypt, 12 p.m. ET
Argentina (-850), Egypt (+560)
Switzerland vs. Colombia, 4 p.m. ET
Switzerland (+136), Colombia (-166)
Odds via FanDuel
World Cup Best Bets Today: Argentina vs. Egypt (July 7)
Argentina showed a chink in its armor the last time on the pitch, needing 111 minutes to before depositing a winning goal against Cape Verde. We'll learn today whether that was an aberration or a sign of weakness from the champs.
Lionel Messi
is doing everything he can to bring a repeat to Argentina: he has seven goals in four matches. Egypt has fewer goals than Messi in this tournament: outscoring opponents 6-4 in its four matches. It seeks to reach the quarterfinals for the first time ever after getting into the knockout phase for the first time.
There is a reason Argentina is a big favorite: the roster for Egypt is not nearly as deep or talented. The Pharaohs have only two players from the Premier League:
Mohamed Salah
(Liverpool),
Omar Marmoush
(Manchester City). On the other side, Argentina boasts six players from the top European League:
Enzo Fernández
(Chelsea),
Alexis Mac Allister
(Liverpool),
Lisandro Martínez
(Manchester United),
Nicolás Domínguez
(Nottingham),
Cristian Romero
(Tottenham), and
Marcos Senesi
(Tottenham). Plus, Argentina has Messi and several of the best and most storied players from South American competition.
Of the eight Round of 16 tilts, this match is most likely to be lopsided. Egypt has to muscle Argentina and hope to get a lead and hold on. But the Egyptians are undermanned.
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Key Match Stats (Argentina vs Egypt)
Argentina's At Goal Conversion Rate of 19% is second among teams still in the bracket, trailing only Norway.
Argentina leads the World Cup in Passing Accuracy at 92%, which includes a third-best Crossing Pass Accuracy Rate of 33%. Which means Argentina excels at passing and holding onto the ball.
Egypt has two own-goals in the World Cup, tied for most.
I've selected the Goal Line in this match where Messi & Co. will take more shots, pass the ball better, and be more accurate with shots on goal against a lesser team.
Argentina -1.5 Goals (+102, FanDuel)
World Cup Best Bets Today: Switzerland vs. Colombia (July 7)
One way or another, something unusual will happen from this match. Either the Swiss will get to the quarterfinals for the first time in the modern era of the World Cup, or Colombia will get there for the first time since 2014, and the second time ever. Powerhouses these nations are not.
As shown in the stats below, Colombia is the worst team in this knockout phase at converting chances relative to the quality of those chances, based on xG. In addition, Colombia shows less initiative than its opponent at breaking the line, which is the tactic to alter the shape of the other team's defensive unit. That's one of the reasons Colombia takes so many shots outside the penalty area, which predictably leads to errant, low value attempts.
Key Match Stats (Switzerland vs Colombia)
Colombia's xG Efficiency of 0.79x is the lowest of the teams that advanced to the Round of 16, and ranked 38th in the World Cup of all teams from the Group Phase.
Switzerland has an advantage in Line Breaking Attempts over Colombia through four matches: 98-78, according to FIFA.
Colombia has taken 33 shots from outside the penalty area, the fourth-most in the World Cup. That figure trails only France, Spain, and Belgium, all of whom have advanced to the quarterfinals. However, those other teams have an Attempts At Goal Rate above 10 percent, while Colombia comes in at only 6%.
The Swiss should finish on top in this match, but expect Colombia to make them nervous: Switzerland has allowed a goal in five of its last six matches. My wager is on both teams to score at least one goal. To win this Best Bet, Colombia AND Switzerland must score in the 90 minutes.
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