
The San Antonio Spurs are alive and kicking. After losing Games 1 and 2 at home, the Spurs responded with a Game 3 road win. Tonight, the New York Knicks will look to become the first team to win a game in their own arena in the 2026 NBA Finals.
The Knicks are now 14-3 SU and 13-4 ATS in the postseason, while nine of their 17 playoff games have gone over the posted total. San Antonio, meanwhile, comes into Game 4 sporting both 13-8 SU and ATS. Interestingly enough, if the Spurs have won on the court, they've covered; if they've lost, they've failed to cover. They're also 12-9 to the over with their 21 postseason totals.

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I'm sure each team believes it should be 3-0 in this series, but I've always believed that if a team "should have been, it would have been." Thus, the Knicks are 2-1 in this series because they deserve to be.
Where we have a head-on collision with this game is that the Spurs have been stringent away from The Alamo, going 7-3 both SU and ATS during the playoffs. Not much has fazed them this postseason, as they were perfect in Portland, withstood Anthony Edwards and the Timberwolves, and overcame MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Oklahoma City.
The aura of Madison Square Garden couldn't rattle the Spurs in Game 3. And that's where I'm starting with my Game 4 player prop bets.
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If the Spurs win tonight, it'll be on Victor Wembanyama's shoulders. There is no bigger game for the Spurs in this series, as they cannot afford to go down 3-1, even with the teams returning to San Antonio for Game 5. Wembanyama finished with 32 points, eight rebounds and six assists in Game 3, and that would be plenty tonight.
Though he's averaging 37.5 points/rebounds/assists during the postseason, that number overall tally has climbed to 42 in this series. And in five career regular-season meetings with the Knicks (not including the NBA Cup title game last December), Wemby is averaging a collective 48.2. I like him to go over this alternate number tonight.
If I'm banking on a big game from Wembanyama, I'm most certainly expecting Karl-Anthony Towns to have his hands full on defense tonight. I know we've seen Towns struggle in the fourth quarter, as he still doesn't have one point in the final stanza in any of the three games, but Wednesday we're going to see him struggle to get going in the first quarter.
Towns is averaging just 4.3 points in the first quarter during the postseason, which isn't surprising since he averaged only 4 points in the first quarter during the regular season. With an average of only 8.3 minutes per first quarter in the postseason, and Wembanyama keeping him busy when he is on the court, Towns will need some time to get warmed up.
I actually believe we might see OG Anunoby go for 20 or more points tonight, but I just happened to grab the lowest total that will still get us a decent price. If this is an important game for the Spurs, it's just as important for the Knicks. And I take you back to Dec. 16, when New York beat the Spurs in the NBA Cup championship.
Nobody could stop Anunoby, who finished with 28 points on 10 of 17 shooting, including 5 of 10 from 3-point range. He's averaging 19.9 points per game during the playoffs, and has opened this series with 20.7 points per game. Tonight's X-factor for the Knicks will be Anunoby.
W.G. Ramirez is a veteran sports writer from Las Vegas and a Senior Staff Writer at Ballislife Bets. Follow him on X at @WillieGRamirez
