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2026 NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Thunder, Western Conference Finals Game 2 Best Bets & Player Props (May 20)

Publish Date: May 20, 2026
Fact checked by: Matt Moreno
Key Points
  • Teams that win the first two games of a best-of-seven series on the road have gone on to win the series 87.1% of the time (27-4).
  • Teams that lost Game 1 at home but then won Game 2 went on to win the series 61% of the time (61-40).
  • Since the 2002-03 season, San Antonio has won Game 1 but then lost Game 2 in a best-of-seven series 10 times. They have a 6-4 record in those series.

San Antonio and Oklahoma City set the bar high with an epic battle in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals Monday night. Not to be outdone, the Cleveland Cavaliers and New York Knicks treated fans to an incredible contest in Game 1 of their series.

Can the Spurs and Thunder answer with an even better game tonight? We’ll find out soon enough, but for now let’s take a look at the odds for Wednesday's game and discuss how to approach betting on it.

Victor Wembanyama #1 of the San Antonio Spurs reacts during the second quarter against the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game One of the NBA Western Conference Finals at Paycom Center on May 18, 2026 in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

(Photo by Alex Slitz/Getty Images)

Western Conference Finals Game 2: Spurs at Thunder Best Bets

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WCF Game 2 Odds (May 20)

  • Spread: San Antonio Spurs +7 (-105) | Oklahoma City Thunder -7 (-115)
  • Moneyline: San Antonio Spurs +210 | Oklahoma City Thunder -260
  • Total: O/U 216.5 (-115/-105)

Odds via Caesars Sportsbook

Many expected the Thunder to win in Game 1, and it is not hard to understand why. OKC is the defending champ, had the best regular-season record, and had gone undefeated in dominant fashion in the playoffs up to that point. So, now that they have lost a playoff game, the question is pretty straightforward: how will the Thunder respond?

Now, it is easy to expect them to bounce back in Game 2, given the team's talent and how well they have been playing. It’s not like they were blown out in Game 1. It was an incredibly competitive game. But since it was their first postseason loss, we’ll have to look at the regular season to gauge how they may respond.

Oklahoma City lost only 18 games during the regular season, so the sample size is not large. But following those games, they went 13-5. They lost eight games at home this season, but one was the regular-season finale when none of the starters or primary rotation players took the floor. Of those other seven games, OKC followed all but one of them up with a win.

Incidentally, two of those home losses were to the Spurs, 117-102 on Christmas Day and 111-109 on Dec. 13. The Thunder played the Clippers after the Dec. 13 loss and won 122-101. After the Christmas Day loss, they smashed the 76ers, 129-104.

An argument could be made that the competition wasn’t very tough after these losses. But whether they won was not the only point of worth. What’s more telling is how they played. Defensively, in the six wins following a loss, Oklahoma City held opponents to fewer points in five games. On the offensive end, it scored 10+ points more in five and 20+ in two.

My WCF Game 2 Pick: San Antonio +7 (-105)

It is hard to imagine the Thunder not bouncing back. There is too much talent and depth on the team to do otherwise. However, as fair an expectation as that is, let’s not forget about the Spurs. They won 62 games in the regular season, made it to the Western Conference Finals, and won Game 1. Why? Because they, too, are a very good team.

Both squads are well-coached, so both will undoubtedly make adjustments to their respective game plans and be ready for battle tonight. OKC will have a little more drive in the first half because of the loss in Game 1 and will probably lead at halftime. But we have seen the Spurs' defense clamp down on opponents, and that is what they’ll do in the second half.

San Antonio will make Oklahoma City earn it. However, while OKC may very well win, San Antonio will be within striking distance right up until the end, and within 7 points.

Western Conference Finals Best Bets: Spurs vs. Thunder Game 2 Player Props

Odds via bet365

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Over 28.5 at -105

The Lakers were not going to let SGA win the game, and he was okay with that as his teammates were more than up to the challenge of picking up the slack. But that was clearly not the case in Game 1 vs. the Spurs. He turned it up in the second half and ended regulation with 22 points. While that may be a good game for many players, it is subpar for SGA.

He has gone under this number in four of his last five games and in five of nine playoff matchups. In the regular season, he went over this total in three of four games against the Spurs. He’ll make it 1-1 in the Western Conference Finals after tonight.

  • Victor Wembanyama, Over 25.5 Points at +100

After his monster of a night in Game 1, we are bound to see some regression. Oklahoma City knows it has to do something about San Antonio’s big man and will. Wembanyama did not go over this total in the regular season against OKC. While the Thunder defense will play better, based on what we’ve seen from Wemby in the playoffs, this prop at +100 is a tremendous value play.

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Over 4.5 3-Point Attempts at +105

SGA knows he needs to do more in this game, and I think that could lead to more 3-point shots. He took seven in Game 1 on Monday. I expect to take as many, if not more, in an effort to be more productive Wednesday night. However, he has gone over this number just twice in his last five games. So, this is a risky prop, but at +105, it certainly has value.

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