
For one of the two powerhouses left in the Western Conference the season will come to an end tonight. That's the finality of a Game 7 in the NBA Playoffs.
Oddsmakers are leaning toward the Oklahoma City Thunder, who will host Saturday's game against the young, tenacious San Antonio Spurs.

(Photo by Michael Gonzales/NBAE via Getty Images)
For me, the winner isn't that important. I don't have a dog in this fight. I want to win my player prop bets. I'm writing in a pair of familiar names for two of those wagers: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Victor Wembanyama. First, here are the game details:
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Odds are from FanDuel
San Antonio Spurs:
OKC Thunder:
It appears the defending champs are being forced to get back to the NBA Finals in spite of ho-hum play from the league Most Valuable Player.
Critics who thought Wemby deserved the MVP have ammunition: SGA has played well below his standard in the Western Conference Finals. In the six games of this series, the Thunder are -28 with SGA on the floor. Compare that to the +55 for the Spurs with their superstar, Wembanyama on the hardwood.
I've been waiting for Gilgeous-Alexander to explode on the offensive end. But he's now recorded fewer than 20 field goal attempts in four consecutive games. That makes SGA the first NBA MVP to have less than 20 FG attempts in four straight playoff games since at least 2005.
In the 2024 and 2025 postseasons, SGA averaged 22 shots per game. That's three fewer than we're seeing against the Spurs.
Some of the issue with the +/- is the fact that Games 2-6 have mostly been blowouts. But, SGA's reduced workload offensively is troubling. It represents an effort by San Antonio to get the ball out of his hands and force others to shoot. Game 7 will show us whether that strategy succeeds with series success, or just succeeds in makings this series long.
Because SGA is taking fewer shots due to the San Antonio defense, I am going strong on the UNDER for his PRA market. That's Points + Rebounds + Assists.
My winning $118 bet will win $218, including my stake.
In what could be the first of many Game 7's in his career, Victor Wembanyama will lead the Spurs into this epic clash against the defending champions. At just 22 years of age, the Frenchman is ahead of schedule on his development in the NBA.
Wemby had six blocks in the closeout game against Portland in round one. It can be misleading when you analyze his blocks: in five regular season games against OKC, Wembanyama had six blocks. However, he averaged just under 25 minutes per game in those matchups.
In this series, Wembanyama is playing 37 minutes per game, with three blocks per. His usage is much higher than it was in the regular season, and he's setting records for production. In the second round against the Minnesota Timberwolves, Wembanyama set an NBA Playoff record with 12(!) blocks.
Wembanyama is averaging just under four assists per game vs. OKC (20 in six). The issue won't be can he grab four rebounds or get 4+ points. It's the blocks and assists. But, in a must-win game in enemy territory, with his massive 8-foot plus wingspan, I like his chances to get a minimum of four in each of these statistical categories.
A winning $100 wager will return $420 including my stake.
