
WNBA free agency is in full swing, and it's been quite the compacted offseason! Indiana Fever's Aliyah Boston secured a historic contract worth $6.3 million for three years. Let's discuss how this changes the landscape for women's basketball and the Fever's championship odds for the 2026 WNBA season.

Photo Credit: Jineen Williams | Ballislife
Selected No. 1 overall in 2023 by the Fever, Boston was the first step in the organization's rebuild process. Indiana is an organization that has housed legends such as Tamika Catchings, Candice Dupree, Erica Wheeler, Katie Douglas, and Tammy Sutton-Brown. Now, the Fever have officially entered a new era under the dynamic duo of Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston.
Boston was previously on the hook for a three-year, $233,468 rookie contract and was projected to make $530,000 under the new collective bargaining agreement. Instead, she becomes the first player to ink a deal under the Exceptional Performance Initial Contract (EPIC). Under a new transformative CBA, supermax salaries are increased to $1.4 million, and the team salary cap is increased to $7 million.
EPIC grants rookies the permission to negotiate the final year of their rookie contract, but only under certain provisions. A player must earn All-WNBA First or Second Team or Most Valuable Player. This applies to Boston, given that she was named to the All-WNBA Second Team in 2025.
A three-time WNBA All-Star, Boston is a two-way force who not only can score in the paint but also has extended her game to the 3-point line. A menace on the boards, she's improved her playmaking skills and provides rim protection that the Fever need to compete with elite bigs in the WNBA.
The Fever secured their stars by first extending Boston, and re-signing Kelsey Mitchell to a one-year, $1.4 million supermax deal. While Clark remains on a rookie salary, Indiana bolstered its surrounding roster by re-signing Lexie Hull, Sophie Cunningham, and Damiris Dantas.
Let's take a look at the Indiana Fever's 2026 WNBA Championship odds and how their title chances have surged since locking up Boston, Mitchell, Cunningham, Hull, and several other free agents.
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*Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook*
The Fever entered last season with +2200 odds to win the WNBA Championship. Although they fell short of the goal, you can't discount Indiana this season. Heading into 2026, they hold the third-best odds (+470) behind the Liberty and Aces. That gives them a 17% implied chance to win it all.
Caitlin Clark is fully healthy and played just 13 games last season. We are talking about a Fever team that was one win away from the WNBA Finals. With injuries sustained to Sophie Cunningham, Syd Colson, and Aari McDonald, the Fever did the unthinkable and defeated the Atlanta Dream in the first round of the playoffs, 2-1.
Defeating Rhyne Howard, Brionna Jones, and Allisha Gray was no easy feat. Indiana later proved this wasn't a fluke by taking A'ja Wilson and the Las Vegas Aces to a Game 5 overtime in the semifinals. It shows just how well-coached this team is under Stephanie White.
As mentioned previously, the Fever are contenders, and they proved their intentions by bringing back the main core: Mitchell, Cunningham, and Hull. Now that Boston's long-term future is secured, Indiana has secured one of the most dominant centers in the league.
Starting all 44 games in 2025, Boston averaged 15 points, 8.2 rebounds, 3.7 assists, and 1.2 steals. Ranking second in Fever history with 41 double-doubles, she set a franchise record with 17 double-doubles last season.
Even with injuries, the Fever ranked No. 3 in offensive rating (106.2) last season, and averaged 84.9 points per game. Without Clark, the offense fired on all cylinders. Indiana was one of the more efficient perimeter shooting teams (34.6%) and ranked third in field goal percentage (45.6%).
The Fever averaged just 33.3 rebounds per game, but led the WNBA in second-chance points (12.7 per game). Additionally, the Fever ranked second in paint points per game (40.3), all thanks to Boston. Now the Fever gathered help for Boston, further strengthening the frontcourt by signing Monique Billings and Myisha Hines-Allen.
Not only are the Fever healthy, but they had a decent WNBA Draft. They selected Raven Johnson out of South Carolina, who should provide much-needed defense when Clark needs rest. Furthermore, the team drafted Jessica Timmons (Alabama) and Justine Pissott (Vanderbilt).
The Fever not only added size to support Boston but also added scoring depth with Shatori Walker-Kimbrough and Tyasha Harris, although both those signings bring uncertainty. This is a team that won 24 games with an ailing team; this year should produce even more efficient results. Especially now that Boston is about to enter her fourth season.
It will be difficult to top the New York Liberty, who retained their core with Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, and Jonquel Jones. In free agency, they added Satou Sabally and re-signed Betnijah Laney-Hamilton. The length and size of New York are incredible.
Then we have to look at the Aces, who retained their core of Wilson, Chelsea Gray, Jackie Young, and Jewell Loyd. And perhaps the biggest question mark is the Dream, which re-signed its main core and acquired Angel Reese via trade.
