Best NBA Player Props for Monday, March 2 Featuring Kevin Durant, Jaylen Brown & Nikola Jokic

Such a light schedule makes it a great day for betting on NBA player props. We have a smaller slate across the NBA today with just four games scheduled, starting with Houston vs. Washington at 7 p.m. EST and wrapping up with the Clippers vs. Warriors at 10 p.m. EST.

On busier days, you end up having to choose a few games to look into and research, often with upwards of a couple of hundred player props per game.

(Photo by Alex Slitz/Getty Images)

But with four games, we’ll take a look at each and identify the best NBA player prop bets for each.

Houston Rockets vs. Washington Wizards Betting Picks

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Rockets-Wizards NBA Player Props (March 2)

• Alperen Sengun, OVER 19.5 Points at -105 (bet365)

Houston has been a busy team as this will be the fourth game it has played in the last six days. With Kevin Durant logging heavy minutes in each, I can see the Rockets trying to dial his usage back for this game since the Wizards are one of the worst teams in the league.

That will likely mean Alperen Sengun taking center stage in the Houston offense. It’s a little concerning that he has gone OVER this mark just once since the break (out of six games). However, Sengun should see lots of open looks against a young Washington team that is undersized and struggles with screens.

• Kevin Durant, UNDER 2.5 Made Threes at -131 (DraftKings)

Durant has gone OVER this mark twice in the six games since the break, but has missed it in his last two. With the size mismatches inside, look for the Rockets to take advantage of a lackluster, inexperienced Washington group in the paint and from mid-range. Houston is not a live-and-die by the three kind of team, so don’t count on it to put up a high volume of 3-pointers just because the Wizards struggle with defending the perimeter

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Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Picks

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Celtics-Bucks NBA Player Props (March 2)

• Jaylen Brown, OVER 28.5 Points at -110 (DraftKings)

I was initially leaning towards the UNDER since Jaylen Brown has gone OVER this mark just once since the All-Star break. Then I saw that he had already scored 30 points on the Bucks twice this season. With Giannis Antetokounmpo still out, the Bucks are left with Myles Turner patrolling the paint, but no one to stop Brown from getting past the perimeter and penetrating the lane.

It may take him into the fourth to get OVER 28.5 points, but it should not be a problem with how the Bucks have been struggling on defense of late.

• Payton Pritchard, OVER 17.5 Points at -119 (bet365)

Payton Pritchard failed to score in Boston’s last game vs. the 76ers, missing the four shots he attempted. He is averaging 17 points per game this season. After posting a goose egg, it would not be shocking to see him look to get a little redemption today against a lackluster Milwaukee defense.

Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz Betting Picks

Nuggets-Jazz NBA Player Props

• Nikola Jokic, UNDER 1.5 Made Threes at +148 (FanDuel)

Nikola Jokic was 1 for 4 against Minnesota Sunday, but went OVER this mark in his previous four games. However, he is going to find more high-percentage shots away from the perimeter against a Utah team that struggles to defend the interior. It’s a risky bet, but at +148 I like the value.

He was 1-1 from 3-point range in Denver’s first game vs. the Jazz.

• Nikola Jokic, OVER 29.5 Points at +100 (FanDuel)

Jokic only had 14 points in that game, but that was likely because he simply didn’t take too many shots (5 for 7), focusing instead on the boards (13) and distributing the ball (13 assists). I would not expect a similar scenario to unfold for one of the most dominant offensive players in the game Monday.

He’s gone OVER this TOTAL in four of six games since the break.

Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Picks

Clippers-Warriors NBA Player Props

• Darius Garland, OVER 12.5 Points at -105 (bet365)

I get it. Darius Garland is making his Clippers debut, and we do not yet know how he will mesh with Kawhi Leonard. But he is a solid scoring option who was averaging 18 points per game and 20.6 points per game in January. There will be some rust to knock off, but this TOTAL is set way too low for a good player like him.

• Bennedict Mathurin, Under 17.5 Points at -113 (DraftKings)

Bennedict Mathurin has been a solid addition for the Clippers since coming over from Indiana via trade. In six games, he has gone OVER this TOTAL three time but did much of his work from the foul line in two of those games. Golden State is not going to send him to the charity stripe nearly as much.