Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever (19-17, 11-6 home) will host the Las Vegas Aces (23-11, 11-6 away) for a third matchup of the season. Although down 0-2 against the Aces this season, this Fever team is entirely unrecognizable from their last meeting with the Aces in July.
(Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
The last time Caitlin Clark and the Fever matched up the Aces, they had a record of 8-13, and were out of playoff contention. With the WNBA winding down, Indiana is locked in as a 6th seed for the playoffs. 19-17 on the season, the Fever have a record of 8-2 over the last 10 games and are 6-1 over a seven-game span.
A large part of their success is due to potential ROY Caitlin Clark and several teammates, including Aliyah Boston, Kelsey Mitchell. and NaLyssa Smith, just to name a few.
Able to overcome her rookie struggles, Caitlin Clark is now the heavy Rookie of the Year favorite with -3000 odds over Angel Reese. With a massive shift in both confidence and game play, Clark has been a huge x-factor in helping the Fever find their stride in consistency post WNBA All-Star break.
One of the most improved players in the second half of the season, Clark's betting extremely entertaining to watch, both from a fan and betting perspective.
Post-All Star and Olympic break, the Indiana Fever have the third best record in the WNBA of 8-2.
WNBA Odds Are Current As of September 11 at 7 A.M. ET
In this article, I will discuss the best Cailtin Clark betting odds and player prop bets today. If you're betting on the WNBA I've taken the best odds from all legal sportsbooks.
Are you planning to bet on Caitlin Clark tonight? If so, I'll break down my best betting analysis, providing prop bet insight for the Aces vs Fever game.
- Set to tip-off at 7 p.m. ET, this matchup will air on NBA TV and WNBA League Pass.
I have a betting record of 146-118 for my WNBA picks this year. Up over 3 units on the month, I look to give out the best value picks, along with prop bets that will keep the bankroll cash flowing. All of my bets have been placed within DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbooks.
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Caitlin Clark WNBA Props For Wednesday, September 11
Caitlin Clark Player Prop Bet #1
Season Stats
PPG: 19.2 | FG: 42.3 % | FT: 90.7 % | 3PT %: 34.7 | REB: 5.8 | AST: 8.5 | STL: 1.3 | BLK: 0.8
- Over 22.5 Points (-130 Draft Kings)
One of the most fascinating players to watch, I'm putting a unit on Caitlin Clark to score over 22.5 points tonight against the Aces. Although this is juiced at -130 odds, the line has already increased to 23.5 points on several sportsbooks.
Averaging 19.2 points on the season, yes this prop line is higher than the season average. However, how Clark's performed towards the back end of the season is truly remarkable.
Averaging well over 19 points per game post All-Star break, the question remains, can she continue the hot streak against the Aces? In two matchups over her rookie campaign, Clark's tallied 8.0 and 13 points against them.
- Now two months has passed, the probability of scoring 22.5 points is highly probable.
I will admit, Caitlin Clark's prop lines were massively inflated at the beginning of the season. Playing the back-to-back champs in the first month of the season was undoubtedly a tall task for Clark.
- In fact six games into the season, Clark faced the Aces, in which she finished with 8.0 points on 2-8 field goal shooting in 29 minutes.
With their 7th game in a span of 12 days, the Fever and Clark had one of the most rigorous starts to a season you could get. With a team high six turnovers, the Aces guards weren't going to let Clark cook up, and Aces guard Jackie Young was sure of that.
Caitlin Clark Hit The Over In Five Straight Games
Prior to the All-Star break, Clark improved her overall scoring, however continued to shoot poorly. Finishing just 4-12 and 1-7 from downtown, the former Hawkeye tallied 13 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 11 assists in 38 minutes. As the Fever continued their dismal first half of the season, Clark shot's simply weren't falling.
- Admitting she "needed a break," at All-Star weekend, Clark entered the second half of the WNBA season refreshed.
- With a new sense of purpose, she's increased not only her scoring, but her overall production on the court.
- Aside from A'ja Wilson, Fever guards Kelsey Mitchell and Caitlin Clark are the top scoring players in the WNBA post-break, including minutes played.
I'm not saying Clark's production was terrible, she averaged 17.1 points on 40.5 percent field goal and 32.7 percent three-point shooting in her first 35.2 games.
However, from a betting perspective, I veered away, as she kept missing the mark. With the props massively inflated, she wasn't nearly hitting the 19.5 or 20.5 point betting line.
This Caitlin Clark Prop Line is Low For Her Recent Scoring Averages
Consistently a winner for me on the back half this season, Clark has been a vastly different player compared to the first half.
- In fact, in 10 games post-break, she's averaging 24.7 points, on 45.9 percent from the floor, and 38.8 percent from downtown.
- With a +5.4 % increase in her shot percentage, Clark's minutes have steadily increased from 35.2 to 37.4.
- Furthermore her three-point attempts are up +2 from 8.3 to 10.3 per game. Overall, her field goal attempts have shot up from 13.1 to 17.2 attempts.
If you look at this data, and watch her game play, over 22.5 points is more than attainable. Shooting over 90 percent from the charity stripe this season, Clark is seeing more trips to the line.
From a bettors point of view, Clark's had her most productive month in September, averaging 25.8 points, including 40.9 % from beyond the arc, and an incredible 95 percent from the line.
After analyzing all of those stats, her prop line hasn't moved or changed drastically.
- Hitting the over points prop total in four straight games, the line has varied anywhere from 19.5 to 21.5.
- The largest points prop line in ten games, Clark has hit the over in 8 of the last 10 matchups.
- With an average of 24.5 points scored over the last 10 games, Clark sure get's a tough matchup with the Aces once again.
It's also important to note I took this line well before A'ja Wilson was expected back from injury tonight. Although they've improved, the Aces have struggled defensively for most of the season.
Allowing 81.7 opponent points per games, they allow the fourth worst three-point percentage (35.5 %) on 22 attempts.
Final Caitlin Clark Player Prop Betting Prediction: Over 22.5 Points (-130 DraftKings)
The highest prop total for Clark in quite some time, she'll have to go through Jackie Young and the Aces guards. In fact, with increasing chemistry built over time, head coach Christie Sides is finally managing how to effectively play Clark and set the correct actions up.
Overall, I'm not fading Clark, who's playing basketball at an elite level. Hitting the over in five straight games, the Fever guard has tallied 31, 28, 24, 25, and 26 points against the Dream, Lynx, Sparks, Wings, and Sky.
- With an average of 17.6 field goal attempts per game, Clark's only missed this line in just two of the last 10 games.
Perhaps Aces head coach Becky Hammon will throw every guard at Clark, including Young, Kelsey Plum, and even Tiffany Hayes or Sydney Colson off the bench. Even against the former Champs, I simply can't fade Caitlin Clark, especially coming off a 13 three-point attempt night.
Caitlin Clark Player Prop Bet #2
- Over 3.5 3PTM (+114 FanDuel)
If I'm going to pick Caitlin Clark over 22.5 points, I am riding with over 3.5 three-pointers made for +114 on FanDuel.
More consistent in her three-point attempts than ever, Clark throw's up an average of 11 deep shots per game over the last four outings, and faces a Vegas team who struggles to guard the perimeter at times.
From a bettor and fan perspective, we know Caitlin Clark is going to put on a show, especially in front of the home fans. I do anticipate this game to be highly back and forth, and that's due to Indiana's lack of defense.
With percentages at an all-time high, Clark had a heavy volume of three point shots against the Aces this season.
- 2-5 and 1-7 in their first two matchups, four doesn't seem like a long shot, especially for plus money.
I am quite surprised this value of this prop line hasn't changed, especially since Caitlin Clark three-pointers has closed at 3.5 over the last three outings. Averaging 3.8 long range shots over the last 10 games, Clark has soared over the line in three consecutive games, and the over in all but one against the Dallas Wings.
Final Caitlin Clark Player Prop Betting Prediction: Over 3.5 3PTM (+114 FanDuel)
Overall, the Aces have held opponents to under 80 points or less in four straight games. With arguably the best offensive rookie season, aside from Candace Parker, I'm taking the three-pointers tonight.
With the Fever and Aces tabbed as two of the fastest paced teams in the WNBA, expect plenty of offense and three-point shots from Caitlin Clark tonight.
Caitlin Clark Player Prop Bet #3
- Over 32.5 Points and Assists (-120 FanDuel)
Mentioned previously, I'm all in on Caitlin Clark over 22.5 points, and was even tempted to sprinkle half a unit on a triple double for +1000. My last bet of the game, I've put a unit on Caitlin Clark to record over 32.5 points and assists agains the Las Vegas Aces. Although both teams clinched a playoff spot, every game matters, especially for positioning.
Similar to college and in her youthful career, Clark's established herself as the primary facilitator and ball handler for the Fever. Yes, she commits a ton of turnovers per game. However, that comes with the big plays and long passes she makes down the court.
At first, I was going to bet on just points alone. However, we simply can't ignore the increase of production in Aaliyah Boston and Kelsey Mitchell. Two extremely underrated players, Clark's main success is primarily due to the level of talent besides her.
- Averaging 8.5 assists on the season, she's dished out the most dimes (1o.5) since the month of July.
- With her assist rate up from 8.2 to 9.3 post all-star break, it's been Clark who's continuously finds her teammates, especially in transition.
I love this prop for a number of reasons.
- Clark and Boston are developing the trust in each other and on going chemistry, especially in the pick and roll.
- Second, the caliber of play by Mitchell has been outstanding, and also a prop line bettors need to examine more closely.
- Averaging 24.9 points since the all-star break, Kelsey Mitchell is shooting 43.9 % beyond the arc in which over 70 % over her shots have been assisted.
Coming off a 104-100 victory over the Dream, it's the Fever who had four players with points in double figures. Mentioned
Previously, it's Lexie Hull and NaLyssa Smith establishing themselves as vital role players for Indiana.
Final Caitlin Clark Player Prop Betting Prediction: Over 32.5 Points and Assists (-120 FanDuel)
Slightly juiced, Caitlin Clark has an average of 34.5 points and assists over the last 10 games, in which she's hit over the over in four straight games. The highest line since their matchup against the Sparks on September 4, Clark alone is averaging 10.8 dimes over the last five matchups.
In fact, with 7 and 11 assists in two games against the Aces, she's yet to tally over 24 points and assists against Las Vegas. I'm rolling with Clark, who's the main x-factor in driving the Fever's offense. In a huge matchup ahead, again, expect Clark to be heavily involved.
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