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New York Knicks vs. Indiana Pacers: betting odds and predictions for May 10

Publish Date: 05/10/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The New York Knicks survived injuries to Jalen Brunson and OG Anunoby to overcome the Indiana Pacers in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals, and they'll now head on the road for the first time in this series with a 2-0 lead.

(Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

New York seems head and shoulders above Indiana despite what we saw during the regular-season series, but with Anunoby now out and Brunson potentially limited by an injury, might the series turn around on Friday?

Let's get into the best way to bet on the Pacers vs. Knicks in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals.

NEW YORK KNICKS VS. INDIANA PACERS FANDUEL ODDS FOR MAY 10

MONEY LINE

  • NEW YORK KNICKS: +245
  • INDIANA PACERS: -300

SPREAD

  • NEW YORK KNICKS +7 (-108)
  • INDIANA PACERS -7 (-112)

OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)

  • OVER 222.5 (-110)
  • UNDER 222.5 (-110)

BEST ODDS FOR NEW YORK KNICKS VS. INDIANA PACERS

  • The best odds on the New York Knicks are over at BetMGM, where you'll find Knicks +7.5 (-116).
  • The best odds on Indiana are at BetRivers, who is offering Pacers -7 (-107).
  • The total is a bit different everywhere you look. The best odds on the Over are at BetRivers, hanging Over 223 (-112). You'll find the best odds on the Under at DraftKings, offering Under 224 (-120)

NEW YORK KNICKS VS. INDIANA PACERS INJURY REPORT

NEW YORK KNICKS INJURY REPORT

  • OG ANUNOBY - OUT - HAMSTRING
  • MITCHELL ROBINSON - OUT - ANKLE
  • JALEN BRUNSON - QUESTIONABLE - FOOT
  • JULIUS RANDLE - OUT - SHOULDER
  • BOJAN BOGDANOVIC - OUT - FOOT

INDIANA PACERS INJURY REPORT

  • TYRESE HALIBURTON - QUESTIONABLE - BACK
  • BENNEDICT MATHURIN - OUT FOR SERIES - SHOULDER

WHY NEW YORK KNICKS WILL COVER THE SPREAD

The Pacers' vaunted frontcourt defense has been missing in action through two games of this series. The Knicks are shooting a wonderous 67.6% at the rim, flipping the script after Indiana held the Bucks to a cool 61.7% in the first round. On the flip side, New York's remained excellent after dominating the Sixers inside last round with a 64.4% field goal percentage allowed at the rim, and it has held a commanding lead on the glass at around 56% over the past two games.

The thing is, while the turnaround at the rim is a bit of a surprise, these are figures that we expected heading into this series. The Knicks have shot the 3 well all season long, and have made good on over 40% of their looks in this series. The Pacers held the Bucks at bay from deep, but that was a team that was ravaged by injury and likely made their defense look a bit better than it truly is after Indiana struggled to defend the arc all year long.

The Knicks have to wonder what's left of their defense after losing Anunoby for an indefinite amount of time, but the positive news here is that the Pacers were already shooting well from outside which is where his impact is really felt most. The Knicks' frontcourt should continue to shine, led by Isaiah Hartenstein and Precious Achiuwa.

WHY INDIANA PACERS WILL COVER THE SPREAD

The biggest question about the Pacers heading into this series was their offense, which drove them to the playoffs in the first place. They looked excellent against Milwaukee, but given Giannis Antetokounmpo missed that series it was still very much anyone's guess how well they could score the ball.

In the face of those doubts, the Pacers have posted an incredible 125 Offensive Rating through two games, one which grew significantly in Game 2. Their defense has really looked weak, however, but given a bunch of the Knicks' production has come from the 3-point line it's certainly possible some shooting variance kicks in during one or both of these home games to get Indiana back on track.

The Pacers have done a great job keeping the pressure on with their offense, and now with Anunoby off the floor there should be no question that they will score the ball. On the flip side, the spacing that Anunoby creates and his mid-range game will be missing, so perhaps New York will indeed take a step back on offense here.

FINAL KNICKS-PACERS PICK & PREDICTION

The problem with this game is that the Pacers are going to have to force the Knicks into some misses -- or at least pray that fewer shots fall from outside -- and that's generally a tough proposition when you're playing host to New York. The Knicks shot better from 3 on the road this season than they did at home by a decent margin, and while they shot just 25.7% from 3 against the Pacers in two regular season games at MSG, they hit 45.9% of their looks when they wound up playing in Indiana.

New York's struggles to shoot over the Pacers' defense in the regular season made this one feel like a tricky series, but with the way it was running from outside at home, it certainly doesn't feel as if things are going to change all that much as the series shifts to Indiana. In the frontcourt, too, the Knicks have been able to snatch away the biggest advantage the Pacers have, which is controlling the restricted area, and with their dominance on the glass they should be able to make up for any dip in offensive production.

This series is a bit of a mismatch, and while the loss of Anunoby really does throw cold water over the Knicks' NBA title hopes I don't think that impact will be truly felt until the next round, should New York get there.

FINAL KNICKS-PACERS PICK & PREDICTION: KNICKS +7.5 (-110)

To keep yourself updated on the newest happenings, be sure to check out our Betting News Section. We've organized all the updates so you can find all you need, in one convenient location.

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