Monday Night Football Anytime Touchdown Scorer Props: Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds & Best Bets (Sept. 14)

Week 1 of the 2026 NFL season wraps up with a classic rivalry game, the Kansas City Chiefs vs. the Denver Broncos. Denver swept the series last year for the first time since 2014 in a pair of low-scoring games. If that trend is something we can expect to continue, bettors should exercise caution when making Anytime Touchdown prop bets tonight.

Both teams have explosive potential on offense, but yards will likely be hard to come by, let alone touchdowns, in a game featuring these two defenses. So, when making my picks, I factored in not only who is most likely to score, but also markets with value.

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Here are my top Anytime Touchdown prop picks for Monday Night Football, Chiefs vs. Broncos (odds via FanDuel):

Kenneth Walker III, Anytime First Half Touchdown Scorer (+230, FanDuel)

Denver had the No. 2 rush defense in the league last season and allowed just 11 touchdowns. However, it also allowed 18 passing touchdowns, six of which went to running backs. So, scoring on this group will not be easy; last season, the Chiefs scored three touchdowns against the Broncos in both games combined.

But the Chiefs did not have a run game last season. They acquired Kenneth Walker III with the hope of establishing one, becoming much more balanced on offense, and taking pressure off quarterback Patrick Mahomes.

Now, Walker only scored five rushing touchdowns last season with the Seattle Seahawks and didn’t factor much into the passing game. But he lost many of the goal-line touches to Zach Charbonnet and didn’t factor into the passing game much for Seattle. He will not have Charbonnet or anyone else in his way this season. Walker is also expected to have more of a role in the passing game this season in Kansas City.

Mahomes' Health Should Increase Workload for Walker

Protecting Mahomes will be crucial for the Chiefs tonight. With an offensive line already ailing, that won't be easy against this Denver defense. So, the best thing the Chiefs can do is establish the run, which means Walker seeing the ball early and often.

If we were to only expect him to contribute in the run game, he’d still be a solid Anytime Touchdown pick. Walker will have a significant role in the offense, giving him a solid chance to score. However, if the Chiefs use him in the passing game as expected, his chances of scoring improve, especially since Denver allowed six receiving touchdowns to running backs last season.

At +230, it’s a solid value play not only as an Anytime First Half Touchdown pick but also an Anytime Touchdown pick (-115, FanDuel).

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Travis Kelce, Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+210, FanDuel)

Travis Kelce is not the scoring threat that he once was. But he is still one of the better tight ends in the league and arguably Mahomes’ favorite target. Last season, offenses often targeted their tight ends underneath the coverage against the Denver defense. It was either that or take on the stingy Broncos secondary more than they wanted to.

In 2025, the Denver defense was in the bottom third of the league in yards allowed to tight ends per game at 59.7 yards per game (No. 23 of 32). Tight ends were targeted 8.4 times per game, resulting in 5.6 receptions. Mahomes targeted Kelce 13 times in his one start vs. Denver last season. Kelce finished the game with nine receptions for 91 yards and a touchdown.

Along with a better run game, we can probably expect Mahomes to target Kelce early and often tonight. This should be especially true when they get close to the end zone.

Bo Nix, Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+550, FanDuel)

Denver didn’t get into the end zone much against the Chiefs last season, scoring three touchdowns total across both games. Of those three, two were on the ground, and one was run in by Bo Nix. Nix has shown no fear when it comes to running the ball. Against the Chiefs on Christmas Day, he ran nine times for 42 yards and a touchdown.

He wasn’t as effective in the playoff loss to the Bills, gaining just 29 yards on 12 carries. So we know he won't shy away from taking off. For the regular season, Nix ran 83 times for 356 yards and five touchdowns. As a rookie, he ran 92 times for 430 yards and four touchdowns.

Impact of the KC Defense

Kansas City was stingy against the run last season (No. 9, 105.7 yards rushing allowed per game). The Chiefs defense held all quarterbacks to 3.9 yards per carry (84 carries for 328 yards) and six rushing touchdowns. Only the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles defenses allowed more rushing touchdowns by quarterbacks last year.

At +550, this prop is definitely a long shot. This is especially true when you consider Denver scored only three touchdowns vs. Kansas City last season (two games).  However, NFL quarterbacks recorded 107 rushing touchdowns of the 485 total rushing touchdowns recorded in NFL games.

So, QB rushing TDs are neither common nor uncommon. That, along with Nix being a threat to run, makes this a solid value play worth rolling the dice on.