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It's Sunday, and there are five games on the NBA slate! With that said, I'm here to give my best bets for today. Before we dive into our picks, let's look into the NBA slate for Sunday, October 27.
Now that we've summarized the NBA matchups, I will provide a mix of spread bets and player prop plays. If you're looking to tail all of my best bets today, I've placed them all within DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook.
If you're looking to bet on the NBA, you've come to the best spot! With a 17-5 NBA betting record, I am up 8.5 units on the season. Looking to stay hot, let's take a look into my three best bets of today! With each bet, I've placed 1 unit on each, keeping bank roll management in mind.
With matchups starting at 3:30 pm EST, all games are available on NBA League Pass.
Are you looking to bet on the NBA all season long? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here.
My best bet of today, I placed one unit on the Clippers to cover the +9.5 underdog spread vs the Warriors. The most anticipated matchup of the day, LA will continue to be without Kawhi Leonard. 1-1 on the season, there's no reason to believe the Clippers are "that bad." I will take my chances on this one, but I simply believe the spread line is too large.
2-0 ATS this year, the first two matchups have been fairly close. Coming off a 109-104 victory over the Denver Nuggets, the Clippers covered the +7.5 underdogs on the road. While the Nuggets were upset at home, this was a great cash out for bettors, and I expect the same today. Despite Nikola Jokic's 41 points, it was Normal Powell that fueled a 22 point fourth quarter for the Clippers.
Although the Clippers did blow at 18 point lead, they've proven they can hang with the best, and we can thank Normall Powell for a 37 point performance. Sure, LA doesn't have have the big 3 with James Harden, Leonard, and Paul George anymore. However, both Ivica Zubac and Powell have taken enormous strides offensively.
With increased depth and Harden leading the way, I truly don't see the Clippers getting blown out by the Warriors. I especially love the Derrick Jones Jr. addition, who's been plugged in the starting lineup.
In addition to a four point victory over the Nuggets, the Clippers were able to sneak by and cover the +4.5 point spread in the 116-113 overtime loss against the Phoenix Suns. One turnover away from staying in the game, the Suns ran away with the victory. Despite 49 points from Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal, LA received 26 points off the bench, and had four of their starters with points in double figures.
Having covered the spread vs two western conference teams, LA does have a tough matchup tonight in the Bay. Both undefeated against the spread, the Warriors offense has been dynamic thus far. Although putting up 267 points vs the Jazz and Trailblazers, I'll take this at face value.
Both of those team's aren't expected to stand out this year, and I do believe the spread is inflated due to the Warriors 127-86 victory against the Jazz on Friday. A +77 point differential to start the season is certainly impressive for Golden State. However, if you look at their head-to-head history, the stats say otherwise.
The Clippers had two challenging matchups to start the NBA season, and now they face the Warriors, whom they've won their last three games straight up against. Dating back to last February, the Clippers covered the +3.5 point underdog spread, and are 2-0 ATS in their last two matchups. Yes, both rosters are vastly different. Without Paul George, Russell Westbrook, Klay Thompson, among others, it changes the landscape and projections.
The last time the Clippers or Warriors were favored by 8.5 points or more dates back to February 2023, where both teams were without stars James Harden, Kawhi Leonard, Steph Curry, and Draymond Greene. With fairly healthy rosters today, the spread should be much lower.
Contrary to prior seasons, the Warriors are a top defensive team, and the Clippers remain in the top ten in terms on opponents points per game. Although a small sample size, both defenses have been solid, allowing 110 points or less per game. With Jackson-Davis at the five, I expect Powell to once again have a crucial impact. 2-0 ATS as underdogs, lay the points with the Clippers tonight.
The Warriors have yet to face a top 5 team in the Western Conference yet, keep that in mind.
Bucks 2024-2025 ATS Record: 1-1
My second NBA bet of today, I placed one unit on the Milwaukee Bucks to cover the -9 point spread vs the Brooklyn Nets. 1-1 ATS on the season, the Bucks get a Nets team, who's yet to mark themselves in the win column. Failing to secure victories over the Hawks and Magic, the Nets are coming off a 116-101 loss vs the Orlando Magic. Failing to cover the +11.5 point spread, the Nets will now face their toughest opponent of the season.
Overall, the Bucks are coming off a 133-122 loss vs the Bulls. Unable to get any stops defensively, they remain one of the top offensive power teams in the league. Fueled by Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard, Milwaukee opted to move veteran Bobby Portis to the bench. With overall depth, the Bucks have the pieces to destroy the Nets and beyond. With that said, Lillard will have to shoot more efficient than 3-12 from deep, and 11-21 from the field.
Craving an offensive identity, the Nets have a young squad, led by Cam Thomas. Failing to put up a ton of offense, I have major questions who can lead this team aside from Thomas. Sure, Dennis Schroder is a veteran guard who can score, however, does this team have the offensive power to keep up with the Bucks? My answer to that is simply no. We saw glimpses of what Jalen Wilson could do off the bench in the first game of the season. However, the forward was limited to 0 points in 13 minutes on Friday.
Expected to secure the victory on the road, Antetokounmpo and Lillard are off to a blazing start to the NBA season, with both averaging 60.5 points. With Lillard nearly averaging 30 points per game, he's averaging 50 percent from the field, and has been dominant in facilitating and the boards. Now they get a Nets team, that's struggled to contain defenses who put up 118 points per game.
While one of the best three-point shooting teams (38.8 %), I have some serious questions marks on both sides of the ball for Brooklyn. With length and versatility, the Bucks have the clear advantage on the defensive end. If Thomas is bottled up, who will step up for the Nets?
While managing to the +7 point spread vs Atlanta, they have a tall task ahead. Although 2-8 vs Milwaukee in the last ten games, the Nets have managed to cover the spread in 3 of the last 4 outings. However, with the departure of Mikal Bridges, the offense simply isn't the same.
Overall, the Bucks are a championship contending team, with a ton of star power and veteran experience. Until I see the Nets formulate some chemistry within the younger players, I'll lay the points with the Bucks. In fact, I believe this spread should be much higher, as I expect the Bucks to declare victory by at least ten points or more.
G: 2 | PPG: 34 | FG: 45 % | FT: 86.2 % | 3PT : 35 % | REB: 4.0 | AST: 11 | STL: 2.5 | BLK: 0.5
My best player prop play of today, I placed a unit on Hawks guard Trae Young to make under 3.5 three-pointers tonight. Although the odds are slightly juiced at -132, this prop line is inflated largely due to Young's 38 point performance vs the Hornets. With MVP like numbers, Young is averaging 34 points through the first two games of the season, and has been remarkable on the facilitating end. Putting up 30+ points in back-to-back games, Young's had 20 three-point attempts through the first two outings.
Shooting at a 35 % clip from beyond the arc, Young and the Hawks will face one of the most elite defenses in the league. Led by Chet Holmgren and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder allow an NBA best 91 points per game. With opponents shooting 24.2 % from beyond the arc, it's safe to say OKC plays some mean perimeter defense.
While Young is off to a hot start, and has gotten plenty of looks, I do think this three-point prop line is too high for the matchup. Failing to drain more than 3.5 three-pointers in the last four outing vs the Thunder, I expect that trajectory to continue today. Although coming off five trey balls against the Hornets, Charlotte is a terrible defense squad. Failing to hit the over in the season opener, Young gets a OKC team, who's held starting guards to 9-23 from deep.
Leading the NBA in offensive rating, expect the Thunder to contain Young and make things difficult on the defensive end. The under is a strong player prop play for tonight. I also believe the under points will hit tonight as well.
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