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NBA Picks Today: Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Betting Odds and Predictions on January 14

Publish Date: 01/14/2025
Fact checked by: Sara Jane Gamelli

An explosive Western Conference showdown is in the cards this Wednesday when the Dallas Mavericks and the Denver Nuggets cross paths for the second time in the past three days at the American Airlines Center.

(Photo by Tim Heitman/Getty Images)

“Denver took a commanding 2-1 lead in their season series versus Dallas following a 112-101 comeback win against Dallas on Sunday thanks to an all-around performance from Russell Westbrook who tallied 21 points, 10 rebounds, and seven assists."

  • Just like their previous matchup, the Nuggets enter this game as the favorites though the line has widened from -4.5 to five points as per the latest Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets betting lines.
  • While the Nuggets currently hold the lead in their season series, the Mavericks have actually covered the spread in two of their three matchups versus the former this season.
  • Denver, however, is riding a three-game Against-The-Spread (ATS) winning streak and have covered the spread nine times in 19 road games this season.

Will the Nuggets continue to its dominance over the Mavericks or will Dallas break its losing trend and return to the win column in style?

As of press time, here’s how the current Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets odds as we head into another thrilling Western Conference affair.

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets DraftKings NBA Odds for January 14

Moneyline

  • Dallas Mavericks: +170
  • Denver Nuggets: -205

Spread

  • Dallas Mavericks: +5 (-110)
  • Denver Nuggets: -5 (-110)

Over/Under (Total)

  • OVER 230.5 (-110)
  • UNDER 230.5 (-110)

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Injury Report

Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

  1. Kyrie Irving – Back – Out
  2. Dante Exum – Wrist – Out
  3. Luka Doncic – Calf – Out

Denver Nuggets Injury Report

  1. Vlatko Cancar – Knee – Out
  2. DaRon Holmes II – Out

Best NBA odds for Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the spread in two of their previous three matchups with the Denver Nuggets this season. The best Dallas Mavericks odds for the home team to cover the spread are available on Bet365 at -110.
  • The Denver Nuggets are currently riding a three-game winning streak against the spread. Bet365 offers the best odds for the Nuggets to cover the spread at -110.
  • The over total hit in three of the past five encounters between the Dallas Mavericks and the Denver Nuggets. DraftKings has the best Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets odds for the over total at -110.

Why will the Dallas Mavericks cover the spread?

Missing the All-Star backcourt duo of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving for the fifth straight game, the Dallas Mavericks were unable to extend their winning streak to three as they succumbed to the Denver Nuggets 112-101 on Sunday.

Contrary to popular belief, however, the Mavericks didn’t fold like everyone expected them to. In fact, they even led by as many as 19 in the third and by 12 early in the fourth thanks to a hot shooting night from Klay Thompson who had 25 points on six-out-of-13 from trey.

Dallas has a chance to right its wrong and tie the season series as they take on the same Denver squad next and from what they have shown in the first three quarters of their previous matchup versus the latter, they have all the tools necessary to win.

  • For context, the Mavericks actually shot better from three against the Nuggets on Sunday, making 35.3% of its attempts compared to the latter’s 21.9% three-point shooting percentage.
  • Dallas also played solid defense, recording seven steals and five blocks while forcing Denver to commit 13 turnovers.
  • Even more impressive is their aggressiveness inside as the Mavericks forced the Nuggets to commit 19 fouls which led to 25 shot attempts from the charity stripe.

So, one might ask where it went wrong for the Mavericks and the simple answer is the rebounding battle. Short-handed and undermanned in all sorts, Dallas was out-rebounded by Denver 55-37 and what’s even worse is they gave away 15 second chance opportunities.

Should the Mavericks address their rebounding issues and get similar offensive production from its starters which scored in double figures last time versus the Nuggets, backing them to cover the +5 spread at home is something worth considering at -110.

Why will the Denver Nuggets cover the spread?

The Denver Nuggets extended its winning streak to three following a 112-101 comeback win against the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday.

Former league Most Valuable Player (MVP) Russell Westbrook spearheaded Denver’s attack with 21 points, 10 rebounds, and seven assists while slot man Nikola Jokic added a near triple-double of 19 points, 18 rebounds, and nine assists.

Denver hopes to make it four wins a row as they battle Dallas once again and here are several reasons why backing them to cover the spread at -110 might be a good idea.

  • Coming in as 4.5-point favorites on Sunday, the Nuggets erased a double-digit fourth quarter deficit with a 33-12 run to cover the spread and secure the victory.
  • Denver has also beaten Dallas 122-120 earlier this season despite a 43-point performance from Kyrie Irving and a near triple-double from Luka Doncic who finished with 24 points, nine rebounds, and nine assists.
  • The Nuggets also dominated the boards on Sunday as they out-rebounded a Dallas team that ranks ninth in the league in rebounds.

With both Doncic and Irving still out of commission, the Nuggets have two less men to worry about, making the five-point spread at -110 an attractive option for punters wanting for a betting angle on the favorite.

One thing we’d like to see from the Nuggets here is improved three-point shooting percentage after just converting 21.9% of their attempts from downtown last time.

Denver may also want to find a way to tighten their perimeter defense and try to contain Klay Thompson who shot the lights out on Sunday.

Should the Nuggets address those concerns and continue to play their brand of basketball, backing them to outwork the Mavericks and cover the spread might be worth several betting units.

Final Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction: Denver Nuggets -5 (-110)

The Denver Nuggets have been winning games for fun in the past week or so and I expect it to continue against the Dallas Mavericks. With All-Stars Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic absent for the Mavericks, expect the Nuggets to capitalize and pull off another huge win. Give me the Nuggets to cover the -5 spread at -110.

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