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NBA Betting Picks: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Predictions and Odds on October 29

Publish Date: Oct 29, 2024
Fact checked by: Sara Jane Gamelli

A rematch of last season’s Western Conference Finals is on tap this Tuesday when the Minnesota Timberwolves host the Dallas Mavericks at the Target Center.

(Photo by C. Morgan Engel/Getty Images)

The Timberwolves and the Mavericks made solid starts to the season winning two of their first three games.

  • Minnesota, however, is heading into this match as the 4.5-point favorites as per the latest Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks betting lines.
  • The Mavericks are fresh off a convincing victory over the Utah Jazz at home while the Timberwolves manhandled the Toronto Raptors to extend their win streak to two.
  • Excluding last season’s playoffs, the Timberwolves actually got the better of the Mavericks, winning five of their six regular season meetings.

Will the Timberwolves continue its regular season mastery against the Mavericks or will the scoring trio of Kyrie Irving, Luka Doncic, and Klay Thompson change the current narrative?

Keep scrolling as we take an in-depth look at both teams in this comprehensive Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks sports betting predictions article.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks DraftKings NBA Odds for October 29

Moneyline

  • Minnesota Timberwolves: -205
  • Dallas Mavericks: +170

Spread

  • Minnesota Timberwolves: -4.5 (-110)
  • Dallas Mavericks: +4.5 (-110)

Over/Under (Total)

  • OVER 218 (-110)
  • UNDER 218 (-110)

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

  • No Injuries

Dallas Mavericks Injury Report

  1. Maxi Kleber – Hamstring – Out
  2. Dante Exum – Wrist – Out

Best NBA odds for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks

  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have dominated the Dallas Mavericks in five of their past six regular season meetings. The best Minnesota Timberwolves odds for the home team to cover the spread are available on BetMGM at -105.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have won four of their past five games against the Minnesota Timberwolves dating back to last season’s playoffs. Bet365 offers the best odds for the Mavericks to win outright at +160.
  • The over hit in four of the past five encounters between the Dallas Mavericks and the Minnesota Timberwolves. The best Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks odds for the over are available on BetMGM Over 223 at -105.
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Why will the Minnesota Timberwolves cover the spread?

After dropping its opening day assignment against the Los Angeles Lakers, the Minnesota Timberwolves has turned things around picking up back-to-back victories against the Sacramento Kings and the Toronto Raptors.

Although the victory was a total team effort, a couple of names shone for the Timberwolves in the current win streak but none bigger than forward Julius Randle.

  • Acquired from the New York Knicks as part of the Karl-Anthony Towns trade, the 29-year old Randle broke free from his struggles, averaging 28.5 points, seven rebounds, and 4.5 assists while making 54.2% of his shots from downtown in the Wolves’ current run.

This pales in comparison to his Timberwolves debut where Randle only recorded 16 points and four assists on top of two turnovers.

  • With Randle seemingly settling in Minneapolis, there could be potential value towards backing the Timberwolves to cover the -4.5 spread at home.

It is also worth noting that Minnesota is taking on a wounded Dallas team, who is missing the services of key role players Maxi Kleber and Dante Exum here.

The 32-year old Kleber was solid in last season’s playoffs, making over 42% of his shots from downtown while Exum was just as impressive converting 35% of his three-point attempts.

Wolves need to clean up turnovers and lean on Edwards to outshine Luka

One thing the Timberwolves have to be wary of in this game is their turnovers. Against the Lakers, Minnesota committed 15 turnovers, which is simply unacceptable when taking on a sharpshooting team like Dallas.

Aside from taking care of the ball, Minnesota also needs spitfire guard Anthony Edwards to continue his stellar offensive display to nullify any offensive explosion from Mavericks star Luka Doncic.

  • Fortunately, the 23-year old Edwards has been delivering the goods for the Wolves in the past three games, averaging 27.7 points. 6.3 rebounds, and 3.7 assists while shooting 41.4% from the field.

Should Edwards and Randle continue to deliver these numbers and the Wolves get some much-needed defensive support from its frontcourt, backing the home squad to pull off a convincing victory should be a no-brainer.

Why will the Dallas Mavericks cover the spread?

The Dallas Mavericks rebounded in style following a double-digit loss to the Phoenix Suns as they beat the Utah Jazz 110-102 at home to return to the win column.

Dallas looks to make two straight when they take on a familiar foe in the Minnesota Timberwolves – a team they have virtually manhandled in last season’s playoffs.

  • It can be recalled that the Mavericks punched its third finals appearance when it beat the Timberwolves in five games in last season’s Western Conference Finals and what’s remarkable is that they won all three road games.

Mavs rolling strong with Klay and Luka: low turnovers make Dallas a solid bet

Oh and lest we forget, the Mavericks did that without Klay Thompson. Acquired just this offseason, the 34-year old Thompson has settled in nicely in the Big D, averaging 19.3 points and 4.5 rebounds while shooting 46% from three.

  • Most Valuable Player (MVP) candidate Luka Doncic has also shown no signs of slowing down, averaging 27.7 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 6.7 assists to lead the Mavericks to a 2-1 start.
  • If that’s not good enough, the Mavericks have also been taking good care of the ball, leading the league in fewest turnovers per game at 8.5.

All things considered, the free points on Dallas could be an attractive punt at these current odds, considering the Timberwolves have failed to cover in their first home game this season.

Final Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 (-110)

There’s no better way to put it but the matchup between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Dallas Mavericks is a coin toss.

With Klay Thompson in the lineup, the Mavericks have another offensive weapon to share the scoring load with Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving.

However, I am going to go out of the limb here and pick the Timberwolves to cover the spread. This is a medium confidence pick but one thing I like about this Minnesota squad is its depth.

Although the Mavericks have plenty of offensive and defensive firepower from different areas of the floor, I am far more confident in Julius Randle, Anthony Edwards, Rudy Gobert, and company to impose its presence and cover the spread. Oh, and playing at home helps the Timberwolves too.

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