2026 NBA Play-In Tournament Best Bets: Warriors vs. Clippers Odds & Player Props (April 15)

Tonight’s play-in games will have a lot to live up to after the show the Trail Blazers vs. Suns and Hornets vs. Heat put on for fans last night. The Golden State Warriors vs. the Los Angeles Clippers certainly has the potential to be as exciting, if not better. To the winner goes a date with the Phoenix Suns for a chance to play for the No. 8 seed in the first round.

(Photo by Jed Jacobsohn/NBAE via Getty Images)

Let’s take a look at the odds and a few player props for the Warriors vs. the Clippers.

2026 NBA Play-In Tournament Odds: Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers

• Spread: Golden State Warriors  +5.5 (-115) | Los Angeles Clippers: -5.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Golden State Warriors: +270 | Los Angeles Clippers -340
• Total: O/U 218.5 (-110/-110)

Odds via DraftKings

Golden State will be kind of backed into a corner to start this game, as the only team in the postseason with a losing record at 37-45 (15-26 Away). The Clippers are not much better, but they are at 42-40 (23-18, Home). With just that in mind, it is not surprising to see Los Angeles favored to win.

During the regular season, Golden State won the series opener, 98-79, but the Clippers won the last three, culminating in a 115-110 victory in the regular-season finale. Los Angeles was favored in three of those four games and went 3-1 ATS. All four games finished under the total.

The Clippers were 22-19 ATS when at home, 20-26 ATS when favored, and 14-15 ATS when favored at home. Their over was 20-21 at home. As for the Warriors, they were 17-24 ATS when away from home, 14-18 ATS as the underdog, and 9-11 ATS when a road dog.

The over was 23-18 for Golden State on the road.

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Warriors vs. Clippers: Healthy Superstars Can Make A Difference

Trends are made to be broken, as the Portland Trail Blazers proved with their win over the Phoenix Suns last night. So, we should always be wary when following them, but sometimes they make too much sense to be ignored. The higher seeds have dominated the play-in tournament. The No. 7 seeds are 8-3 vs. the No. 8 seeds, and the No. 9 seeds are 7-4 vs. the No. 10 seeds.

Each has the better record in the matchup and, in theory, should be the better team. But are the Clippers the better team in this matchup? Let’s see what the stats say:

• Scoring: Warriors—114.6 points per game (No. 22); Clippers—113.8 points per game (No. 24)
• Points allowed: Warriors—115.2 points per game (No. 14); Clippers—112.6 points per game (No. 10)
• 3-Point %: Warriors—35.6% (No. 20); Clippers—36.8% (No. 7)
• Opponents 3-Point %: Warriors—35.9% (No. 19); Clippers—36.4% (No. 22)
• Rebounding: Warriors—42.3 per game; Clippers 40.6 per game (No. 29)
• Opponents Rebounding: Warriors—44.2 per game (No. 18); Clippers—42.4 per game (No. 7)

These statistics do not take into account Jimmy Butler’s season-ending injury and all the other injuries the Warriors have had to deal with this season. For instance, Steph Curry only played 43 games this season. Had he played in more, would the Warriors have ranked higher in 3-point percentage, scoring, or anything else?

Probably.

To a lesser degree, Kawhi Leonard played 65 of 82 games this season. Had he played in more, an argument could be made that the stats would paint a prettier picture of the Clippers.

NBA Play-In Best Bets: Warriors vs. Clippers

My Pick: Clippers -5.5 (-105 DraftKings)

Players like Steph Curry and Kawhi Leonard are as widely respected as they are, not just because of the individual impact they can make on a game, but because they can make the players around them better. So, the question here is whether Curry can make the roster around him good enough to upset Leonard and the Clippers today.

The nostalgic side of me wants to say yes, but the proof of concept just isn’t there. Golden State lost seven of its last eight games and went just 1-3 when Curry returned to the lineup. Los Angeles will lose to Phoenix in the No. 8 seed game, but they’ll cover in this game.

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Warriors vs. Clippers Player Props

• Steph Curry OVER 10.5 Attempted 3-Pointers: -150 (bet365)

If the Warriors are going to have a shot at an upset, they need the best shooter in the league to play like the superstar he is. For Curry, that means shooting early and often from the perimeter against a suspect Clippers defense. He has gone over this mark just once since his return, but he has averaged over it for the season (11.3).

•  Kawhi Leonard UNDER 37.5 Pts + Reb: -120 (bet365)

When numbers are this high, it is fair to wonder what sportsbooks were/are seeing that we may not. Leonard has gone over this mark once in his last five games, twice in his last 15, and in only 18 of 65 games played this season. Against the Warriors, the under is 1-3.

• Kristaps Porzingis UNDER 18.5 Points: -105 (bet365)

This is another somewhat odd total. Porzingis has averaged 16.7 points per game this season and just 16.1 since joining the Warriors. With Curry back in the fold, he will more than likely see fewer shots, making it harder for him to go over a number he seldom covers.