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NBA Player Props Tonight: Clippers vs Kings Player Props: James Harden Leads My +547 SGP (Nov 8)

Publish Date: 11/08/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The LA Clippers are off to an inauspicious start to the season, but perhaps some early-season jitters playing at their brand-new home arena are to blame.

(Photo by Juan Ocampo/NBAE via Getty Images)

The Clippers finally shook the monkey off their back this week with a couple of long-awaited wins in LA, and now they'll head back on the road to Sacramento where they'll look to remain unbeaten away from home. Can this offense pick up the slack and reward what's been some solid play on defense?

Let's build a same-game parlay for Clippers vs Kings on Friday, November 8th and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Parlay Predictions for Clippers vs Kings

FanDuel NBA Odds for Clippers vs Kings SGP: +547

  • James Harden 10+ Assists
  • Norman Powell 4+ Made Threes
  • Kevin Huerter 2+ Made Threes

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James Harden 10+ Assists

James Harden has struggled mightily to shoot the ball in the early going, and that's led to the veteran leaning on his play-making ability as he looks to single-handedly drive a Clippers offense that's once again been playing without Kawhi Leonard.

Harden's been averaging just under 10 assists per game, but this week has struggled to get things going in that department with just 17 across his last three contests.

  • I think this should be the night to get back on track, with the Kings ranking 17th in assists allowed to opponents per 100 possessions.

The Kings have been surprisingly solid on defense thus far, but they've struggled mightily to defend jumpshots of any kind. That should open the door for Harden, who loves passing into 3-point shots just as much as he loves running the pick-and-roll, for a much-needed rebound in the assists column.

Harden should also be able to pick up plenty of helpers when he passes to some slipping wings on the pick-and-roll, who have often been smothered by the defense in recent games and have opted to pass themselves into open 3-point looks.

Norman Powell 4+ Made Threes

One of the men who should benefit greatly from the matchup we've laid out above is Norman Powell, who's don nothing but produce ever since being elevated into the starting lineup.

  • Powell has been this team's best scorer, playing over 33 minutes per game and rewarding head coach Ty Lue with 48.5% shooting from outside to deliver 25 points per game.

I'll hone in on 3-pointers here for Powell, considering the Kings rank 18th in defending the outside shot and 23rd when it comes to limiting looks from 3, allowing 40.4% of their opponents' looks to come from beyond the arc.

Powell has hit four or more times from deep in five of his eight games, and in his last two contests has knocked down 11 triples on 16 tries. He's shooting 8.5 times per game from outside, and against a generous perimeter defense the Clippers should once again get the ball into his hands in the hopes he can ignite this offense.


Kevin Huerter 2+ Made Threes

The Kings aren't the only ones in this game who have struggled against outside scorers. In fact, the Clippers have been significantly worse in allowing the third-highest rate of their opponents' shots to come from 3 according to Cleaning the Glass and 22nd in 3-point defense.

There are a number of ways to go here, and admittedly the biggest issues have come from stretch bigs, which initially led me to Domantas Sabonis. The big man hasn't exactly been very consistent in his pursuit of outside shots, however, so throwing him in a parlay is a risk I'm not willing to take on.

  • That brings me to Kevin Huerter, who's had a very confusing start to his season.

As injuries have mounted, Huerter's seen his minutes increase, but now that the Kings are fully healthy once again he's back to playing roughly 24 minutes.

I still don't think that's enough to scare us off taking Huerter to knock down a couple of 3-pointers against such a weak perimeter defense. He's managed to hit this number in four of his six games, even with a huge fluctuation in minutes, and while he's had a slightly down year in shooting the ball the sample size is far too low to believe considering he's shot better than 38% from deep for his career.

I expect the Kings to rely a bit more on Huerter than normal, considering the Clippers are strong inside, and the good news is that he's been firing away from deep for the majority of his time on the floor -- even if his minutes aren't where they used to be.

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