Sports Reporter | Capper
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The LA Clippers are off to an inauspicious start to the season, but perhaps some early-season jitters playing at their brand-new home arena are to blame.
The Clippers finally shook the monkey off their back this week with a couple of long-awaited wins in LA, and now they'll head back on the road to Sacramento where they'll look to remain unbeaten away from home. Can this offense pick up the slack and reward what's been some solid play on defense?
Let's build a same-game parlay for Clippers vs Kings on Friday, November 8th and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.
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James Harden has struggled mightily to shoot the ball in the early going, and that's led to the veteran leaning on his play-making ability as he looks to single-handedly drive a Clippers offense that's once again been playing without Kawhi Leonard.
Harden's been averaging just under 10 assists per game, but this week has struggled to get things going in that department with just 17 across his last three contests.
The Kings have been surprisingly solid on defense thus far, but they've struggled mightily to defend jumpshots of any kind. That should open the door for Harden, who loves passing into 3-point shots just as much as he loves running the pick-and-roll, for a much-needed rebound in the assists column.
Harden should also be able to pick up plenty of helpers when he passes to some slipping wings on the pick-and-roll, who have often been smothered by the defense in recent games and have opted to pass themselves into open 3-point looks.
One of the men who should benefit greatly from the matchup we've laid out above is Norman Powell, who's don nothing but produce ever since being elevated into the starting lineup.
I'll hone in on 3-pointers here for Powell, considering the Kings rank 18th in defending the outside shot and 23rd when it comes to limiting looks from 3, allowing 40.4% of their opponents' looks to come from beyond the arc.
Powell has hit four or more times from deep in five of his eight games, and in his last two contests has knocked down 11 triples on 16 tries. He's shooting 8.5 times per game from outside, and against a generous perimeter defense the Clippers should once again get the ball into his hands in the hopes he can ignite this offense.
The Kings aren't the only ones in this game who have struggled against outside scorers. In fact, the Clippers have been significantly worse in allowing the third-highest rate of their opponents' shots to come from 3 according to Cleaning the Glass and 22nd in 3-point defense.
There are a number of ways to go here, and admittedly the biggest issues have come from stretch bigs, which initially led me to Domantas Sabonis. The big man hasn't exactly been very consistent in his pursuit of outside shots, however, so throwing him in a parlay is a risk I'm not willing to take on.
As injuries have mounted, Huerter's seen his minutes increase, but now that the Kings are fully healthy once again he's back to playing roughly 24 minutes.
I still don't think that's enough to scare us off taking Huerter to knock down a couple of 3-pointers against such a weak perimeter defense. He's managed to hit this number in four of his six games, even with a huge fluctuation in minutes, and while he's had a slightly down year in shooting the ball the sample size is far too low to believe considering he's shot better than 38% from deep for his career.
I expect the Kings to rely a bit more on Huerter than normal, considering the Clippers are strong inside, and the good news is that he's been firing away from deep for the majority of his time on the floor -- even if his minutes aren't where they used to be.
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