It's Tuesday, and four games are on the NBA slate today! That said, two primetime games are set to air on TNT.
(Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)
Last night was disappointing for some bettors after Luka Doncic failed to soar over his player prop lines in his Lakers debut. If you're in the category, let's cash out tonight!
Set to tip-off at 7:30 on TNT, the Indiana Pacers (29-22, 14-7 home) will host the New York Knicks at home (34-18, 16-8 away). Tabbed as +118 moneyline underdogs at BetMGM, the Pacers are fresh off a 124-117 loss against the Lakers.
This is quite an intriguing matchup, given the Knicks and Pacers hold the No. 3 and No. 4 seeds in the Eastern Conference. With a solid 4.5 lead over Indiana, the Knicks are looking for their fourth straight road victory. Dominated by the Celtics 131-104 on Saturday, they will seek redemption tonight.
For the late-night showdown, the struggling Phoenix Suns (26-26, 16-10 home) will host the Memphis Grizzlies (35-17, 14-11 away) tonight. +3.5 point spread underdogs, the Suns have dropped four of the their last five games. While Bradley Beal continues to miss time with an injury, the Suns have been the subject of various trade reports.
We know that Kevin Durant remains with the Suns, and Phoenix failed to shake up its roster at the trade deadline with Durant. Can they hold up against a Grizzlies team that's won four of its last five games?
Before we look into my favorite prop bets today, here are the NBA schedule and odds!
DraftKings NBA Odds And Schedule For Tuesday, February 11
- Toronto Raptors (+9) (+320 ML) @ Philadelphia 76ers (-9) (-410 ML): O/U 225.5
- New York Knicks (-3) (-142 ML) @ Indiana Pacers (+3) (+120 ML): O/U 240
- Detroit Pistons (-5) (-192 ML) @ Chicago Bulls (+5) (+160 ML): O/U 237
- Memphis Grizzlies (-3.5) (-175 ML) @ Phoenix Suns (+3.5) (+145 ML): O/U 244.5
Are you looking to bet on NBA player props today? If so, welcome! With an NBA betting record of 16-8, I am up nearly 9 units in February. Looking to stay consistent and strong with my bets, let's dive into my three favorite player prop bets for February 11.
Are you looking to bet on NBA player props all season long? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here.
NBA Props For Tuesday, February 11
NBA Player Prop Bet #1: Ja Morant
Ja Morant 2024-2025 Season Stats
G: 31| PPG: 20.5 | FG: 44.8 % | FT: 80.9 % | 3PT : 39.5 % | REB: 4.2 | AST: 7.5 | STL: 1.3| BLK: 0.4
- Over 21.5 Points (-110 DraftKings)
My first NBA player prop bet for Tuesday, I placed one unit on Memphis Grizzlies star
Ja Morant to record over 21.5 points vs the Phoenix Suns.
Since returning from injury, it seems Grizzlies head coach Taylor Jenkins has given Morant the full throttle to log normal minutes.
- Coming off a 125-112 loss against the Thunder on Saturday, Morant played a season high 36 minutes.
That's a great sign for bettors since Morant hasn't tallied 30+ minutes since January 22. And today, Morant and the Grizzlies are coming off two days rest. What's better than that?
Although Morant notched 16 points, he struggled mightily, shooting just 31.6 % from the field. With that, there's always a silver lining in everything.
- Morant's 19 field goal attempts was the most he's taken in nearly a month.
What's encouraging is the fact Morant led all Grizzlies players in shot attempts, and that was with the return of Desmond Bane. Shipping Marcus Smart at the trade deadline, behind Morant is Luke Kennard and Scotty Pippen Jr.
Despite Saturday's struggles, Morant has been extremely efficient from the three-point line over the last 10 games.
- Averaging 17.6 points over that span, Morant has been limited to 29.4 minutes. With an expecting increase in playing time, the stats and prop lines should only increase.
Ja Morant's Minute Restrictions Have Been Lifted By The Memphis Grizzlies
When playing 36+ minutes, Morant has soared over this player prop line in seven of the last ten games.
Looking at the stats, I would automatically assume the under for this player prop line. However, we have to account for minutes.
- Although scoring over 21.5 points in three of the last 10 games, two of them came this week.
We saw Morant cook up the Spurs for 25, and the Raptors for 26. Hovering under 30 minutes in each, Morant's been stellar behind the three-point line.
- Shooting 52.9 percent from deep, add that to a talent Morant who excels in getting down hill in craft ways.
You take Moran't stats against a Phoenix Suns team who gives up the third most points to guards in the NBA. Plus, who wouldn't want to see Morant cook up on national television?
Ja Morant Has A Prime Matchup vs The Phoenix Suns
Allowing the 10th most points in the NBA with 114.8, the Suns rank 25th in defensive rating. Combine that with ailments to Bradley Beal, and several others, it's difficult to get a true sense how this Suns team plays defensively. Especially given Phoenix has varied with seven starting lineup combinations this season.
Tonight, Morant has an excellent matchup, especially since the Suns allow the 10th most paint points with 49.3 per game.
- 27th in the NBA in points in the paint, Morant is averaging 10.1 PPG alone inside. For this reason, I love the matchup.
Along with his athleticism and highlight dunks comes Morant's innate ability to get to the free-throw line.
- Averaging 5.9 trips to the charity stripe per game, the Suns allow over 22 free-throw attempts per game.
Final NBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Ja Morant Over 21.5 Points (-110 DraftKings)
Overall, this is a matchup made in heaven for Ja Morant. Recording over 21.5 points in 5/6 against the Suns, Morant's averaged 26.8 points head-to-head during that span.
- For -110 odds on DraftKings, I'll take Ja Morant to score over 21.5 points on February 11.
NBA Player Prop Bet #2: Jalen Duren
Jalen Duren 2024-2025 Season Stats
G: 50 | PPG: 10.8 | FG: 69.5 % | FT: 68.2 % | 3PT: 0 % | REB: 10.1 | AST: 2.4 | STL: 0.7 | BLK: 1.1
- To record a double-double (-160 Fanatics)
My second player prop bet for Tuesday, I placed one unit on Pistons center Jalen Duren
to record a double-double against the Chicago Bulls.
I know this line is a tad juiced at -160 odds. However, I do believe there is still value here found at Fanatics.
While the trajectory has changed significantly for the Pistons, they find themselves in playoff contention at 27-26. A large part of that has been due to the evolution of Cade Cunningham, and big man Jalen Duren.
- A workhorse for the Pistons backcourt, there's a reason why the Pistons are a top 10 rebounding team in the NBA (45.1 RPG).
Averaging a double-double on the season with 10.8 points and 10.1 rebounds, Duren is strictly an inside big for Detroit. Coming off a 16 points, 12 rebound performance vs the Hornets, Duren has recorded a double-double in two consecutive games.
Jalen Duren Is A Double-Double Machine
Recording an average of 11.6 rebounds and 12.3 points over the last three games, I do believe this is a strong player prop bet today.
In fact, Logging 10+ points in 9 of the last 10 matchups, he's averaging 14.2 points alone over that span. Add in the rebound part, where Duren's been monstrous on the glass.
Notching 10+ rebounds in 8 of 10 games, he has 35 total boards over last three games alone. Over time, we've seen the increased productivity on the boards. 16 rebounds against the Cavaliers, and 13 vs the Mavericks is nothing to scuff at.
Although Duren isn't the best defender, he excels on the boards and finishing. In fact, we've seen the Pistons even utilize the big man more in the passing game.
Jalen Duren Should Feast vs The Chicago Bulls Tonight
Historically speaking, Duren has always matched up well with the Bulls, and has another solid chance against them tonight.
Recording 10+ rebounds in night straight against the Bulls, he's tallied 14+ points in points in five straight head-to-head matchups. Marking five straight double-doubles, Duren is a reason why the Pistons rank top 10 in total double-doubles (25).
Tonight, Duren and the Pistons will face a Bulls team that will look vastly different. Acquiring Kevin Huerter and Zach Collins, the Bulls acquire size. However, Collins most likely play enough minutes to make a difference.
Since the Bulls have allowed the 9th most double-doubles to centers, they allow the second most points to big men. While the Bulls remain a formidable force on the boards, bettors saw Rudy Gobert grab 15 this week. In addition, Heat center Kel'el Ware tallied 12 rebounds last week.
Final NBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Jalen Duren to record a double-double (-160 Fanatics)
Overall, I'm expecting another dominant matchup against Nikola Vučević tonight. In fact, Duren tallied six double-doubles in the last seven matchups against Vučević.
- Give me Jalen Duren to record a double-double tonight, February, 11. While his minutes have been a bit inconsistent, the matchup is too good.
NBA Player Prop Bet #3: Ausar Thompson
Ausar Thompson 2024-2025 Season Stats
G: 31 | PPG: 8.8 | FG: 52.6 % | FT: 60 % | 3PT : 21.9 % | REB: 5.1 | AST: 1.9 | STL: 1.6| BLK: 0.4
- Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115 Fanatics)
My third NBA player prop bet for tonight, I placed one unit on Detroit Pistons forward
Ausar Thompson.
Having seen highlights of Thompson and watching him through summer league, it's safe to say I'm excited to place a bet on his player prop tonight.
Yes, I know the Pistons drafted Ausar Thompson primarily for this defensive instincts. A ferocious defender, Thompson isn't going to burn an opposing player on the three-point line. However, in his second season, Thompson has made some recent strides.
Ironically averaging 8.8 points for the second year in a row, Thompson has become a consistent scoring option alone for Detroit.
- Hovering around 25 minutes of playing time, he's recorded 12+ points in five straight games.
This Ausar Thompson Player Prop Line Is Set Too Low
That's an average of 13.4 points alone over that span. Add the fact Thompson is shooting at a high clip (63.4 %) from the field. And mind you, he's been performing this way without hitting a single three-pointer all month.
I do believe this line is set too low, especially given Thompson has recored 8.0 rebounds in three straight games. At 6'6, his vertical is impressive, averaging seven rebounds alone over the past five matchups. I've decided to add in the assists, given I think this will hit off points and rebounds alone.
Thompson now gets a Chicago team, who's expected to run an extremely small lineup composed of Josh Giddey, Kevin Huerter, Coby White, Ayo Dosunmu at the 1-4.
With that, the Bulls are giving up the fourth most points to forwards this season.
- Allowing the second most points and rebounds to forwards, this is a matchup I simply can't fade here.
Final NBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Ausar Thomson Over 19.5 Points +Rebounds + Assists (-115 Fanatics)
Athletically gifted as he is, Ausar Thompson has soared well over 19.5 PRAS in five straight games. With an average of 24.4 over that span, that doesn't come close to this player prop line.
Recording 22+ PRAS vs the last four head-t0-head matchups with the Bulls, Thompson has averaged 24.75 PRAS over that span.
- This line is simply too low with great value. I'll take Ausar Thompson to record over 19.5 points, rebounds, and assists tonight, February, 11.
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