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NBA Player Props Tonight for Kings vs Clippers: James Harden Headlines My +490 SGP (Nov 22)

Publish Date: Nov 22, 2024
Fact checked by: Sara Jane Gamelli

The LA Clippers are beginning to pick things up in their new home arena, now standing at 6-4 at the Intuit Dome, and now they'll look to make it two wins in two tries against rival Sacramento.

(Photo by Juan Ocampo/NBAE via Getty Images)

The Kings are slumping, losing four of their last seven, but they'll get DeMar DeRozan back into the lineup here against an LA team which just lost Norman Powell to injury. Still, with three straight victories, the Clippers should be in the driver's seat behind two skilled players from a shooting zone the Kings have struggled to contain.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Kings vs Clippers on Friday, November 22nd and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Cup Parlay Predictions for Kings vs Clippers

DraftKings NBA Odds for Kings vs Clippers SGP: +490

  • James Harden 23+ Points
  • Amir Coffey 14+ Points
  • De'Aaron Fox Over 31.5 Points + Assists

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James Harden 23+ Points

This game should be all about the mid-range battle, and we'll tailor our same-game parlay that way as we look for the very best way to back the trends which have developed for both teams.

Norman Powell remains sidelined for the Clippers, which should continue to put the onus on James Harden to create offense -- and Friday night presents with him with an excellent chance to have a breakout night.

  • Harden has only tallied 23 points on six occasions this season, but missed the mark by just one point last time against the Kings.

That was when Powell was in the lineup, and now without the Clippers' leading scorer on the floor, I'm expecting even more here.

The Clippers sit fifth in shot frequency from the mid-range, and while they haven't knocked too many of them down it's worth noting that Harden is a large reason as to why this trend has developed.

  • The veteran has taken more shots from the mid-range than ever before in his career, ranking in the 59th percentile of the league after many years of sitting in the 46th percentile or worse.

Harden should be able to get plenty more shots off here against a Kings team which has allowed the most shots to come from mid-range in the league, and with his ability to draw fouls and knock these shots down I expect plenty of output.

Crucially, too, the Kings have been one of the worst 3-point defenses in the NBA which should aid Harden as well as one of his teammates who we'll get to next.

Amir Coffey 14+ Points

Amir Coffey has suddenly become an important part of this Clippers offense after years of contributing as a role player, seeing more playing time with the departure of Paul George and even more now that Powell's gone down with an injury.

  • Coffey has averaged 31.2 minutes over the past two games, scoring at least 15 in each, and should have a similarly-friendly outlook as the one we touched on with Harden.

Coffey sits in the 66th percentile of shot frequency from the mid-range and loves to shoot the 3 as well, but he's actually been a stronger shooter than Harden has this season.

The dynamic wing sits in the top 5% of the league in shooting both from the mid-range and from outside, and can exploit this Kings defense from both areas as Ty Lue continues to lean on him for big minutes.


De'Aaron Fox Over 31.5 Points + Assists

Finally, the Clippers aren't the only team in this one which has been looking to take shots from the mid-range with volume.

  • While L.A. may be allowing fewer shots here than Sacramento, the Kings sit first in the league with 40% of their looks coming from the mid-range.

That means De'Aaron Fox should be a good target here, sitting in the top 3% of shot frequency from just inside the arc. While midrange maestro DeMar DeRozan will make his return here, Fox draws the better matchup against Harden which is why he went for 31 the last time these two met while DeRozan had a tough night.

Fox should be able to score at will, but I like taking this combo because he should be able to find it just as easy to make a pocket pass to a big man or cutting wing in space for a mid-range shot.

The star guard did fail to record an assist in that game against the Clippers, but he's totaled seven or more helpers in five of six contests since.

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