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NBA Player Props Today for Lakers vs Warriors: LeBron James Leads My +425 SGP (Dec 25)

Publish Date: 12/25/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The Los Angeles Lakers are turning things around, taking three of their last four entering play on Christmas, and will now have the opportunity to cement their form in a popcorn matchup with the Golden State Warriors.

Golden State has lost four of five as it seeks to recover from an offensive stumble, but its defense should be able to accomplish enough here with the Lakers struggling to score the ball in their own right.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Lakers vs Warriors on Wednesday, December 25 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Parlay Predictions for Lakers vs Warriors

DraftKings NBA Odds for Lakers vs Warriors SGP: +425

  • LeBron James 25+ Points
  • Trayce Jackson-Davis 9+ Points
  • Austin Reaves 5+ Assists

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LeBron James 25+ Points

We haven't seen LeBron James score the ball with the same kind of consistency than in years' past, but Wednesday's game on national television should prove to be one where the grizzled veteran shines.

  • The Golden State Warriors have struggled a good deal on the defensive end, allowing the 12th-most points per 100 possessions in the league this month, and while just about every spot on the floor has been problematic it's the mid-range where we should focus.

The Warriors have done a good job of limiting looks at the rim and the arc, and that's led to opponents shooting from the mid-range more frequently than all but two teams this month.

With Golden State sitting just 21st in mid-range defense, James should be the primary focus on offense as the man who's sat in the top 33% of all players at his position in shot frequency in that zone to rank third on the Lakers.

James has now notched 25 or more in back to back games, and we also know he loves to shine on primetime.

Trayce Jackson-Davis 9+ Points

The Lakers' defense has been problematic in its own right, and while the Warriors have been starved for buckets there should be at least one man who breaks the mold here.

  • That's none other than the exciting Trayce Jackson-Davis, who will shoot at a Lakers defense which has allowed the sixth-worst field goal percentage at the rim this month.

Jackson-Davis has become more important to this offense as its touch from outside has worn, and he's now played 25 or more minutes in back-to-back contests. With the increased run, he's averaged 14 points in his last two games and should find life rather easy as he looks for buckets down low.

Austin Reaves 5+ Assists

The last way we can exploit this worsening Warriors defense is with L.A.'s defacto point guard here, Austin Reaves.

Given the Warriors are struggling to a bit to defend at the rim and allowing a ton of shots inside the arc, the pick-and-roll should be wide open for L.A. as it looks to let Reaves find the open man all game long.

  • Golden State is allowing the fifth-most assists per 100 possessions in the NBA this month, and Reaves has now registered five or more assists in four of his last five.

I expect plenty of ball movement here against a Warriors team which is great at changing up its look defensively and has done a good job throwing doubles at James later in games when things get tight, and Reaves should work well as a facilitator here.

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