
It's Saturday, and bettors are again blessed with a massive NBA slate to bet on!
(Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)
With eight matchups scheduled for today, we have a late primetime matchup featuring the Golden State Warriors and New York Knicks. While both teams are, respectively, in the top six in their conferences, the stakes are high. The end of the season is approaching, and every game matters.
Seven-point favorites at home, can the Warriors take care of the Jalen Brunson-less Knicks? Amid a six-game win streak, Golden State gets a Knicks team, who's 2-3 in their last five games.
An afternoon Eastern Conference showdown will feature a classic No.4 vs. No. 5 seeded matchup. Tied for the No.4 seed, it will be a competitive one today between the Indiana Pacers and the Milwaukee Bucks.
TEAM VS TEAM | MONEYLINE | SPREAD | TOTALS |
---|---|---|---|
CELTICS VS NETS | -460 / +360 | -10.5 / +10.5 | 215.5 |
THUNDER VS PISTONS | -184 / +154 | -4.5 / +4.5 | 234.5 |
PACERS VS BUCKS | +188 / -225 | +5.5 / -5.5 | 235 |
HEAT VS GRIZZLIES | +250 / -310 | +7.5 / -7.5 | 227.5 |
BULLS VS ROCKETS | +265 / -330 | +8.5 / -8.5 | 230 |
KNICKS VS WARRIORS | +225 / -275 | +7 / -7 | 228.5 |
PELICANS VS SPURS | -196 / +164 | -5 / +5 | 238 |
WIZARDS VS NUGGETS | +460 / -620 | +12 / -12 | 238.5 |
If you're looking to bet on NBA player props, welcome! With an 8-6 NBA betting record in my articles this week, let's look to keep it rolling! Keeping bankroll management at the center, I have three picks that I've placed as separate wagers.
Here are my favorite player props and best bets for the Saturday, March 15 NBA matchups!
Are you looking to bet on NBA player props all season long? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here.
PPG: 22.3 | FG: 44.9 % | FT: 83.4 % | 3PT : 29.1 % | REB: 4.1 | AST: 7.4 | STL: 1.2| BLK: 0.3
I know I looked like a Ja Morant homer right now, but it's hard to ignore the way he's been playing. Cashing us out last night, I will continue to right this hot player prop until the wheels fall off.
The Grizzlies are coming off a 133-124 loss agains the Cavaliers, are set to play their third game in three days. At some point fatigue has got to set it. Or will it?
Zero rest seemingly doesn't bother Morant, who's averaging 23.8 points and 52.6 percent from the field with no days in between. In fact, Morant averages the second most points aside from five days rest.
The numbers are only going up in Morant's return from injury. Coming off a season high 44 points in Friday's loss against the Cavaliers. Loss or not, Morant was spectacular. Soaring over the 22.5 point player prop line, Morant shot 17-22 (77.3 %) from the field, including 9-10 (90%) from the charity stripe. Mind you, three-point shooting was a non factor in Morant's dazzling performance. He shot just 1-4 beyond the arc.
Hitting his player prop line by the half should give bettors confidence heading into tonight's matchup vs the Heat. I'll say it again, Ja Morant poured 44 points on the best team in the NBA, the Cleveland Cavaliers.
That now marks five straight games where Morant has recorded 28+ points. As you can see, his point totals aren't nearing the prop lines. I can't figure out for the life of me why the books refuse increase the points line. The fact they haven't is partially why I bet on Morant today.
Averaging 32.8 points over the last five games, Morant is cooking no matter the opponent.
The Thunder, Knicks, Suns, Mavericks, it truly doesn't matter who Morant is facing. His game is on another level. Today, the Grizzlies guard gets another prime matchup with the Miami Heat.
The last time Morant faced Miami in his career was October 2021, where he scored 20 points. Facing a vastly different Heat team, he has to opportunity to cook in the South Beach Jimmy Butler-less era.
No. 12 in defensive rating, the Heat give up the seventh least points to opponents per game in the NBA with 110.5.
Mind you, the Heat's back court is greatly different. Led by Tyler Herro and Duncan Robinson, Morant may catch a break. Without Butler, their defense has tanked.
Post NBA All-Star break, the Heat have slid to No. 15 in defensive rating, boasting the 14th worst net rating with -1.0. Given Morant loves to drive to the basket, the Heat allow 48.5 paint points per game. While allowing the second least free-throw attempts, getting to the line will be vital for Morant.
While the minutes and shot volume is there, this is a strong bet for today. Recently we saw Jrue Holiday, Bogdan Bogdanovich, and Josh Giddey explode for 25, 30, and 26 points against the Heat.
PPG: 17.9 | FG: 44.0 % | FT: 77.1 % | 3PT : 36.7 % | REB: 4.6 | AST: 2.5 | STL: 1.0 | BLK: 0.8
My second player prop bet today, I placed one unit on Heat forward Andrew Wiggins to record over 19.5 points vs the Heat for -115 odds.
Wiggins has taking a leap scoring wise ever since the shocking trade from the Warriors to the Miami Heat. Although averaging 19.3 points with the Heat, his three-point percentage his dipped drastically (31.7 %). That's okay, this is one of my strongest bets today.
Despite the Heat's losing streak, Wiggins has been a consistent force for Miami. Coming off a 23 point performance vs the Celtics, Wiggins shot 9-21 (42.9 %) from the field, and 3-8 (37.5 %) from deep. Mind you, this is an elite Celtics team.
Notching 20+ points in two straight games, Wiggins has not recorded at least 20 points in six of of the first ten games as a member of the Heat.
While Wiggins shooting really hasn't improved over the years, he's still remains a versatile scorer for the Heat.
And Now Miami's leading scorer behind Tyler Herro, he's averaging a solid 15.8 field goal attempts. In addition, Wiggins leads the Heat with 5.2 free-throw attempts per game.
What's encouraging is Wiggins 21 field goal attempts led all Heat players vs the Celtics. While Herro is presumably the No. 1 option, the fact Wiggins was against an elite team speaks volumes.
Minutes aren't a problem, Wiggins is averaging 34 minutes on the hardwood, and 17.3 points over the last five games.
With an improvement in field goal percentage this month (48.6 %), Wiggins gets a prime matchup with the Grizzlies today. Despite being a top seed in the West, the Grizzlies allow the fifth most points per game (117). With that, they allow the second most points to forwards (24).
If we look at the previous stats, the numbers will tell you to go with the under today. Scoring 19+ points in two of the last 15 matchups against the Grizzlies, we must analyze the recent trajectory.
Although a member of the Warriors at the time, Wiggins easily crushed this prop last against Memphis. Scoring 24 and 19 against the Grizzlies this year, that's an average of 18.7 points over a two game span. Shooting 42.1 percent from deep, will the three ball be a factor today?
We all know Wiggins isn't Jimmy Butler, but he must perform to keep Miami in the play-in tournament hopes. The Heat struggle with star power as it is, and Wiggins as emerged as a top scoring option next to Herro.
PPG: 29 | FG: 57.6 % | FT: 80.3 % | 3PT : 42.2 % | REB: 12.8 | AST: 10.3 | STL: 1.9| BLK: 0.8
My third player prop bet for today, I placed one unit on Nuggets star Nikola Jokic to record over 12.5 rebounds against the Washington Wizards for -132 odds.
Normally I would say there's a chance of blowout, but there's no way Jokic takes his foot off the gas in the MVP race right? Neck and neck with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, I don't believe Jokic gets much rest today. Playing at an insane level, now is the time where we truly see who can finish out the NBA season the strongest.
With that, I'm not sure why this prop line isn't higher. Considering Jokic averages 12.8 rebounds on the season, he's recorded 13+ rebounds in seven of the last nine games. Let's be real, Jokic has been monstrous on the boards.
Today, Jokic has an incredible opportunity to move up in the MVP standings against one of the worst teams in the NBA. Averaging 44.5 rebounds per game, the Wizards are terrible rebounding team to put it lightly.
Allowing the second most rebounds to centers, big men are nearly averaging 17 rebounds per game vs the Wizards. Jalen Duren has back-to-back 14 and 13 rebounds, can Jokic soar over too?
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