Sports Reporter | Capper
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The New York Knicks dropped yet another game which they should have won on Wednesday night, this time squandering a three-point lead in the dying seconds on a bad foul and missing an ensuing shot to win the game which was halfway into the basket.
Now, they'll hope some home cooking and the renewal of an in-city rivalry can be enough to pull them out of the darkness and deliver a win. Who seems to be in the best matchup on either side, and where do the market inefficiencies lie?
Let's build a same-game parlay for Nets vs Knicks on Friday, November 15th and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.
FanDuel NBA Odds for Nets vs Knicks SGP: +548
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Our first order of business here will be to attack a struggling Nets' frontcourt which will once again be missing Nic Claxton on Friday evening.
Without Claxton, their struggles inside should persist against a Knicks team that has shot the ball well inside -- and the man I'll single out here is Josh Hart.
The do-it-all wing failed to notch 10 points for the first time all year last time out against the Bulls, and I'm expecting a swift turnaround here given the matchup. He's taken 47% of his shots at the rim this year -- which puts him in the top 14% of all players -- and has cashed in at a 78% clip.
We're getting a slight discount after the season low in points, but it's important to note that Hart took just six shots in that one. The volume should increase here with the state of this Nets defense, and to make matters even better Karl-Anthony Towns and Deuce McBride are listed as questionable.
I don'tΒ alwaysΒ like betting on narratives, but this spot could be too good to ignore for Mikal Bridges against his former team.
Bridges has managed to score 15 or more in all but three of his first 11 games with the Knicks, and I expect some continued success from the field here. The Nets have struggled mightily at the rim, sure, but they've also been slightly below-average against the short mid-range shot which should give the lengthy forward some chances to find space.
I think both his rebound and points props are slightly out of reach, but I've seen enough in recent games to confidently say he should fill up one of these columns.
The injury to Towns, which he suffered on Wednesday, could put New York's lone bigman on the bench for the duration of this one, or for more time than normal, which could further bolster Bridges' case for a big game.
Finally, we can target the Knicks' defense in quite a few ways given they've struggled to defend both the rim and the arc in the early going.
I was between the two Camerons here -- Johnson and Thomas -- but will go with Johnson given he's taken slightly more shots from the arc lately with 6.8 on average in his last four games.
The sharpshooter has converted at 40% over that span to bring his so-so numbers closer to where they've been for his career, and he's now hit three or more times from outside in seven of his 11 games.
This should be the clearest way in for a Nets team which is weakened by injuries to Claxton, Bojan Bogdanovic and Day'Ron Sharpe.
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