NBA Player Props Today: Sara's Best NBA Prop Bets and Odds November 7

It's Thursday, and I am back with another NBA daily best player props article! Although the slate is relatively ugly, I've managed to find the best plays for you tonight. If you tailed my last article, we are coming fresh off a +837 same-game parlay cash out.

Looking to stay in the green, I am up nearly 8 units, with an NBA betting record of 23-10 on the year. With three games scheduled tonight, let's take a look at the current odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook.

(Photo by Megan Briggs/Getty Images)

It's important to note that I've placed all of my player prop bets as single straight wagers with one unit on each. In addition, each NBA player prop bet has been placed within both FanDuel and DraftKings Sportsbook. Let's take dive into the Thursday, November 7 NBA slate:

• Utah Jazz (+350 ML ) @ Milwaukee Bucks (-9.5): O/U 229
• Portland Trail Blazers (+148 ML) @ San Antonio Spurs (-4): O/U 218
• Minnesota Timberwolves (-8.5) @ Chicago Bulls (+280): O/U 227

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NBA Props For Thursday, November 7

NBA Player Prop Bet #1: Chris Paul

Chris Paul 2024-2025 Season Stats

G: 8 | PPG: 11.8 | FG: 50 % | FT: 100 % | 3PT %: 43.2 | REB: 4.0 | AST: 8.3 | STL: 1.0 | BLK: 0.1

• 2+ Made Threes (-175 FanDuel)
• Over 11.5 Points (-118 FanDuel)

My first player prop of the night, I bet on Spurs guard Chris Paul to record 2+ made three-pointers and over 11.5 points on FanDuel. Sure this is a risky play, especially since the Spurs are coming off a 127-100 loss vs the Rockets last night. However, if I trust anyone to turn it around, it's veteran Chris Paul.

Given the Spurs suffered a blow out, Paul was limited to 20 minutes on the floor. However, in that time frame, the guard managed to put up 10 points, on 3-7 three-point shooting. In light of Spurs head coach Greg Popovich out indefinitely with an illness, look for Paul to continue to lead the offense in San Antonio.

Paul Is Shooting Lights Out From The Three-Point Line

For starters, Paul is averaging 11.8 points on the year, which is on par with the current point prop set. Averaging the most points since the 2022-2023 season with Phoenix, Paul is having one of his best shooting years throughout his NBA career. Pulling 50 % from the floor, and 43.2 % from deep, I'm confident in this prop tonight. Sure seven games is a small sample size, however, there's no signs of Paul slowing down.

Overall, his point production has dropped, especially with Victor Wembanyama leading the helm. With that said, with guards Tre Jones and Devin Vassell out, Paul should see plenty of production offensively. With so many injuries to the Spurs front court, neither Stephon Castle nor Malaki Branham pose a real threat to Paul. If anything, he's a a leader to the rookies, and is one of the few true floor generals left. With the ability to create his own shot, Paul still has that deadly mid range shot and pick and roll IQ.

Chris Paul Has An Excellent Matchup With The Trail Blazers

An elite facilitator first, asking for 12 points isn't much, especially since Portland isn't the best team defensively. Ranked no. 18 in the NBA in terms of defensive rating (113.6), this is a Trail Blazers team who've allowed guard to hit over points props in all eight games this year.

That includes,

1. Brandon Boston Jr.(20)
2. Devin Booker (28)
3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (30)
4. Normal Powell (30)
5. De'Aaron Fox (24)
6. CJ McCollum (27)
7. Jordan Hawkins (24)
8. Buddy Hield (22)

With that combination, the Trail Blazers allow the 23rd most points to guards.

With such a prime matchup, I do believe Pauls prop line has been set too low this NBA season. Proving he still can hoop in the league, the Spurs guard has totaled over 11.5 points in five straight games now. That's against the Thunder, Clippers, and Rockets, all elite defensive teams.

Aside from last night's blowout and the first two games of the year, Paul is logging a solid 30.8 minutes, with 10.4 field goal attempts per game. Although no 5 on the Spurs in terms of field goal attempts this season (8.5), Paul should see even more increased production with Jeremy Sochan's recent thumb injury.

Final NBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Chris Paul Over 11.5 Points (-175 FanDuel) + 2+ Made Threes (-118 FanDuel)

With the shot volume, minutes, and field goal percentages, there's no doubt Chris Paul should clear over 11.5 points tonight. Given he played light minutes on Wednesday, look for Paul to have a prime matchup against Anfernee Simons. Not entirely known for his defense, Simons may have to hold down the fort with Shaedon Sharpe listed as questionable.

My second player prop , you can choose to take this as a straight bet, or parlay. Along with 11.5 points, I placed one unit on Chris Paul to tally 2+ three-pointers made. Given he's shooting well beyond 40% from beyond the arc, Paul's putting up 5.5 trey balls per game. In fact, the former Wake Forest guard hasn't attempted below six three-point attempts since October 28.

Clearing this line in six straight games, I do believe this player prop line is set too low, especially since Portland's allowed 6/8 opposing guards to soar over this line. Allowing opponents to shoot nearly 36 percent from deep, they've had trouble guarding the perimeter.

For a line that's extremely low,

1. Jose Alvarado (3)
2. Grayson Allen (4)
3. Jalen Williams (4)
4. Norman Powell (5)
5. Kevin Huerter (4)
6. CJ McCollum (3)
7. Jordan Hawkins (4)
8. Buddy Hield (5)

All of these players made it rain from three. With four of those guards having set 1.5 three-point lines, I'm confident in this player prop line tonight.

Still cooking in year 20 in the NBA, Paul's shooting 40 % from deep through the month of November. With or without Wemby screens, expect Paul to tally 2 three-pointers Especially given the Trail Blazers give up the 6th most trey ball attempts per game (39.5).

Check the latest Betting News for more fire picks like these.

NBA Player Prop Bet #2: Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams 2024-2025 Season Stats

G: 8 | PPG: 8.0 | FG: 32.8 % | FT: 77.8 % | 3PT %: 36.1 | REB: 5.4 | AST: 1.8 | STL: 0.8 | BLK: 0.5

• 4+ Rebounds (-140 FanDuel)

My second NBA player prop of the night, I placed one unit on Bulls forward Patrick Williams to record 4+ rebounds against the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight. It may not be the most popular prop, however, I truly feel this line is a steal. Although slightly juiced at -140 odds, this is a player that's averaged 5.4 board per game. If we break this down, that's a whole point higher than what the player prop line is set at.

Oddly enough, this line has dropped after steadily closing 4.5 rebounds the last six games. Facing a new and improved Timberwolves squad, rebounding surprisingly hasn't been their strong suit. Even with the addition of Julius Randle alongside Rudy Gobert, the T-Wolves rank the fourth worst rebounding team, averaging only 41 boards per game.

A solid starter for the Bulls, Williams is averaging a career high on the boards, especially through the month of October. Overall, Williams is able to space the floor and knock down threes. However, I don't expect him to grab a ton of boards, especially if Randle pulls him out of the paint. The fact that Rudy Gobert is strictly an inside big should grant Williams some rebounding opportunities.

Final NBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Patrick Williams 4+ rebounds (-140 FanDuel)

Overall, Williams doesn't "wow" me when it comes to rebounds. There are often times he has trouble boxing out, and isn't strong when it comes to second chance points. However, it's extremely hard to fade a player who's hit this line in 6/8 games. Aside from a few outlier games vs the Jazz and Pelicans, Williams has averaged a steady 5-8 boards.

Of course, we have to revert back to the matchup with Minnesota tonight.

Is 3.5 a fair prop line, given,

1. Miles Bridges (6)
2. Jeremy Sochan (11)
3. Aaron Gordon (11)
4. P.J. Washington (8)
5. Scottie Barnes (8)
6. Keegan Murray (11)
7. Anthony Davis (16)

All hit over their rebound prop lines? Again, I'm not banking on Williams to record a double-double and become a beast on the boards. 3.5 seems reasonable. The question remains, will Zach LaVine lace up for the Bulls tonight? If not, Williams cleared this line without LaVine in the lineup in four of the last five games.

Able to secure six boards vs a Mavericks team that has some length big men, I think 3.5 is more than doable tonight.

NBA Player Prop Bet #3: Donte DiVincenzo

Donte DiVincenzo 2024-2025 Season Stats

G: 7 | PPG: 10.4 | FG: 38.5 % | FT: 70 % | 3PT %: 33.3 | REB: 3.3 | AST: 3.4 | STL: 1.1 | BLK: 0.3

• Over 14.5 Points + Assists (-120 DraftKings)

My final player prop of the night, I bet on Timberwolves guard Donte DiVincenzo to record over 14.5 points and assists tonight. Traded to Minnesota prior to the season, DiVincenzo has yet to start a game for the T-Wolves. However, he's become a solid rotation player off the bench for head coach Chris Finch. Overall, his production is slipped, especially since the former Villanova guard got 63 starting nods last year with the Knicks. Putting up 10.4 points per game, I do believe this prop line is too low. Here's why:

If you're betting on the NBA, we know DiVincenzo has struggled out of the gate, averaging his worst shooting percentages since the 2021-2022 season. With dips in field goal and three-point percentage, DiVincenzo is still managing to put up a combined 13.7 points and assists per game. While he's had to work out the kinks with the new squad, DiVincenzo been far more efficient, putting up back-to-back 14 point games vs the Hornets and Spurs. Although those aren't the best teams defensively, shooting 44.4 % from deep through the month of November is an excellent sign.

We all know DiVincenzo's capability to snipe from the three-point range, and still is very much a 6MOY candidate. Not afraid to pull from anywhere on the court, we saw DiVincenzo splash right in front of Grant Williams face at the end of the third quarter buzzer. With 11 three point attempts in the last two outings, DiVincenzo has back-to-back 3+ threes made, and the matchup only gets better tonight. Although his field goal attempts have since cooled since October, DiVincenzo is still averaging 7.6 off the bench through November.

Final NBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Donte DiVincenzo O 14.5 Points + Assists (-120 DraftKings)

Overall, the Bulls lost a solid defender in Alex Caruso. With Lonzo Ball out once again, DiVincenzo faces a Chicago team that allows the 5th most three-point attempts per game (39.5). One of the better teams around the perimeter, Chicago's been forgiving when it comes to guard scoring and facilitation. Over the course of the season, Keyonte George (33), Cam Thomas (32), Jalen Suggs (17), Desmond Bane (30), Jalen Williams (24), Damian Lillard (28), and CJ McCollum all cleared over the points and assist line.

While we can chalk this low line to a slow start to the season, DiVincenzo's usage hasn't dropped significantly behind Jayden McDaniels and Anthony Edwards. Giving up the third most assists in the NBA (29.8), look for DiVincenzo to hit this prop just from a points perspective. Averaging 3.4 dimes per game, DiVincenzo's has a ton of talent around him in Minnesota. Even if it's a blow out, expect the Timberwolves guard to get plenty of minutes off the bench tonight.

DiVincenzo has averaged at least 10 points in 66 of the last 94 games. That in itself makes this player prop bet a strong play.

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