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NBA Player Props Tonight for Nuggets vs Grizzlies: Jaren Jackson, Jr. Leads My +431 SGP (Nov 19)

Publish Date: 11/19/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The Denver Nuggets are just trying to survive without Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon in the lineup, and Tuesday's NBA Cup game against the Memphis Grizzlies could prove to be a tricky one for such a shorthanded side.

(Photo by Justin Ford/Getty Images)

Denver took care of business last go around against Memphis, but with the stakes raised this one should be highly watchable and filled with plenty of opportunities for the role players on their respective teams.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Nuggets vs Grizzlies on Tuesday, November 19th and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Cup Parlay Predictions for Nuggets vs Grizzlies

FanDuel NBA Odds for Nuggets vs Grizzlies SGP: +431

  • Jaren Jackson, Jr. 6+ Rebounds
  • Scotty Pippen, Jr. Over 11.5 Points
  • Dario Saric Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds

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Jaren Jackson, Jr. 6+ Rebounds

I'm going to pay up slightly for his alternate line on Jaren Jackson, Jr.'s rebounding total to get to the magic number of six -- one he's now hit in six straight games.

  • Without Gordon, this Nuggets team has been getting killed on the glass, but over the last two games without Jokic their rebounding rate has fallen to just 46.3% which ranks 25th during that time.

Memphis, meanwhile, has looked strong on the boards all season long and with Zach Edey out it will look towards Jackson to play some big minutes down low.

I did give some consideration to Jackson's points and rebounds total, but with the big man taking a shockingly low number of shots at the rim I think this is the best way to play it.

Scotty Pippen, Jr. Over 11.5 Points

It's not Jackson who should be the one to score at will near the rim on a depleted Nuggets frontcourt, it's actually point guard Scotty Pippen, Jr.

  • We noted above that Edey is out for Memphis, but the biggest player it'll be missing here is Ja Morant.

That's opened the door for Pippen to receive plenty of run lately, and he's scored 12 or mor in seven of his 14 games this season. There seems to be a direct correlation with minutes as well, and those shouldn't be in question here given the matchup.

Pippen sits in the 83rd percentile of the league in shot frequency at the rim according to Cleaning the Glass, and has improved upon an already-solid mark of 62% in this area from a year ago by three percentage points.

We know the ball will be in his hands without Morant, and that should mean he's able to take the ball inside and generate some offense for Memphis.


Dario Saric Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds

The defacto center for Denver without Jokic is Dario Saric, as scary as that sounds, and while there are many players that I'm a bigger fan of it's unfortunately too hard to pass up this total on his points and rebounds.

  • Without Edey, this Grizzlies team should be losing a bit of its edge on the glass, and that'll open the door for Saric to corral plenty of available rebounds after going for eight or more in his last two games in place of Jokic.

Saric has only totaled 19 points over this span, failing to hit this number in both contests, but Memphis is critically ranked 17th against the 3-ball which should help the sharp-shooting stretch big find some points from the arc.

The Grizzlies have also been leaning on a hefty frontcourt defense which will lose some bite without the length of Edey, so you can expect some points inside from Saric here as well.

You'll have to hold your nose as you add this leg, but the playing time will be there in spades and the matchup is pretty decent.

If you want to know what's fresh, go no further than our Betting News Section.

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