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NBA Player Props Today: 3 Best NBA Prop Bets and Odds October 23

Publish Date: Oct 23, 2024
Fact checked by: Sadonna Price
Key Points
  • NBA opening week has arrived, and SJ will break down her 3 best player prop bets

 

The NBA season is finally here, and I have the three best player prop bets for you tonight!  With a full slate of games ahead, I will provide a unique combo of bets. Some are straight, while a few will be parlayed into one.

 (Photo by Nic Antaya/Getty Images)

Cashing in last night, let's continue to cash out and increase our profit and units this NBA season. Compiled below is a list of the NBA matchups and FanDuel Odds for Wednesday, October 23:

  • Indiana Pacers (-6) @ Detroit Pistons (+155 ML): O/U 235.5
  • Milwaukee Bucks (-3.5) @ Philadelphia 76ers (+138 ML): O/U 223.5
  • Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5) @ Toronto Raptors (+215 ML): O/U 225
  • Brooklyn Nets +6.5 @ Atlanta Hawks (-275 ML): O/U 222.5
  • Orlando Magic (+2) @ Miami Heat (-134 ML): O/U 208
  • Chicago Bulls (+5.5) @ New Orleans Pelicans (-235 ML): O/U 226.5
  • Charlotte Hornets (+7.5) @ Houston Rockets (-295 ML): O/U 229.5
  • Memphis Grizzlies (-2) @ Utah Jazz (+118 ML): O/U 228
  • Golden State Warriors (-6) @ Portland Trail Blazers (+190 ML): O/U 221.5
  • Phoenix Suns (-5) @ Los Angeles Clippers (+172 ML): O/U 224.5

With an exciting set of matchups to come, let's take a look into my top three NBA player prop best bets for Wednesday, October 23.

Are you looking to bet on NBA player props all season long? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here. 

NBA Props For Wednesday, October 23

NBA Player Prop Bet #1: Bennedict Mathurin

Bennedict Mathurin 2023-2024 Season Stats

G: 59 | PPG: 14.5 | FG: 44.6 % | FT: 82.1 % | 3PT %: 37.4 | REB: 4.0 | AST: 2.0 | STL: 0.6| BLK: 0.2

  • Over 12.5 points (-104 FanDuel)

My first player prop of the NBA season, I'm placing one unit on Pacers Bennedict Mathurin to score over 12.5 points for -104 odds vs the Pistons. Sure, Mathurin missed 23 games after undergoing shoulder surger to fix a torn labrum in late March. Prior to the injury, Mathurin was having a breakout season for the Pacers, and was a monumental part of the their offensive success.

Averaging 14.5 points last season, the former Arizona Wildcat became an instant threat from the three-point line, increasing his percentages from 32.3 % to 37.4 %. Starting 19 games for the Pacers in his second season, Mathurin has shown inconsistencies at time. However, anticipating year three will be a breakout season, Mathurin is a natural born scorer, and we saw that especially last year.

Breaking several records his rookie season, I firmly believe the Pacers had extended the series vs the Celtics had Mathurin been healthy in the playoffs. Overall, Mathurin is a freakishly athletic player, who is a 3-level scorer. With that said, I do believe he will soar over his points prop tonight.

  • My early sixth man of the year prediction, Mathurin may not be named in the starting lineup. However, the guard averaged 26.1 minutes per game, and was hovering over 30 minutes for Rick Carlisle before the injury.

 

I Bet On Bennedict Mathurin To Win Sixth Man Of The Year At +1000 Odds

After all how can we forget Mathurin's performance off the bench in the 123-109 In-Season-Tournament loss vs the Lakes last December. On the biggest stage of his NBA career thus-far, the Arizona alum poured in 20 points on 5-11 shooting from the floor. Hitting all nine shots from the charity stripe, Mathurin tied Haliburton for the most points scored on the Pacers. Clocking Mathurin in as Sixth Man of the Year for +1000 odds, this is a strong player prop today.

Tonight, the Pacers get the Pistons, who are coming off the most dreadful seasons in franchise history. Chasing history on the wrong side of the books, the Pistons did vastly improve their roster. However, that doesn't mean they are contenders and defensive juggernauts overnight. In addition to offensive woes, the Pistons ranked no. 25 in defensive rating, and reconstructed their roster mid way through the season.

For a team that allowed 119 points per game, Mathurin should get plenty of looks tonight.

  • Having the most depth of any roster last season, the Pacers lead the NBA with 76.5 bench points per game. With another year under their belt, this offense should gel with the chemistry that's been there.

Final NBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Bennedict Mathurin to score over 12.5 points (-104 FanDuel)

With Jaden Ivey and Cade Cunningham leading the back court for Detroit, the Pistons aren't overly aggressive, ranking 14th against guards last season. Now Mathurin get's a prime matchup, where he soared well over 12.5 points in the last five matchups vs Detroit. Averaging 20.6 PPG vs the Pistons since 2022, the guard popped off for 27 and 30 points against them.

Most recently, the Pacers guard put up 15 points in 35 minutes, on 5-14 shooting. While getting to the free-throw line is very much of an option for Mathurin, he averaged 13 trips alone in three matchups. Having averaged the third most personal fouls in the NBA last year with 20.6 per game, look for Mathurin to extend upon his success at the free-throw line.

If you're betting on the NBA, this is a strong player prop and for several reasons. Prior to getting injured last year, Mathurin was on a heater. Hitting well over the 12.5 point line in 8 straight games, the Pacers guard put up a career high 34 points not too long before against the Raptors.

Averaging 18 points over his final 8 matchups, I simply believe this prop line is too low. Although it's the start of the NBA season, there's always a gamble. I expect him to make an immediate impact off the bench tonight. Lay the points with Bennedict Mathurin to score over 12.5 points vs the Pistons, a team he shot 47.8 % from beyond the arc against last year.

  • For a -104 value, go ahead and take those odds.

NBA Player Prop Bet Parlay #2: Giannis Antetokounmpo + Jarrett Allen

Giannis Antetokounmpo 2023-2024 Season Stats:

G: 73 | PPG: 30.4 | FG: 61.1 % | FT: 50 % | 3PT %: 27.4 | REB: 11.5 | AST: 6.5 | STL: 1.2| BLK: 1.1

Jarrett Allen 2023-2024 Season Stats:

G: 77 | PPG: 16.5 | FG: 63.4 % | FT: 74.2 % | 3PT %: 0 | REB: 10.5 | AST: 2.7 | STL: 0.7 | BLK: 1.1

  • 2 leg-parlay +152 50 % profit boost on FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo + Jarrett Allen to record a double-double

My next two player props of the day, I chose to take advantage of the 50 % double-double boosts provided by FanDuel. With that said, I bet on Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jarrett Allen to record a double-double tonight. With +152 two-leg parlay odds, these are two strong plays today. It's important to note, you can bet these separately. However, the odds don't have a ton of value, especially with Antetokounmpo heavily favored to hit this prop.

The Bucks get the 76ers tonight, who will be without their star big man Joel Embiid. For Giannis, this is a no brainer, especially a player who averaged 11.5 rebounds last season, and 11.6 boards in 3 games vs Philadelphia last season. Without Embiid, newly signed veteran center Andre Drummond will mostly likely get the starting nod.

Averaging 9.o rebounds in 79 games for the Bulls last season, Drummond will be a force to reckon with in the paint.

  • However, Antetokounmpo has averaged 21.2 points and 9.3 rebounds over the course of his career vs Drummond, and tonight should be no different.

Why The Absence Of Joel Embiid Effects This Player Prop Bet

They don't call Antetokounmpo "the Greek freak" for nothing. Aside from Guerschon Yabusele, Drummond won't have much help in a thin front court. With Nick Nurse running a smaller three guard lineup for the 76ers, Antetokounmpo has the opportunity to have a dominant season debut game on national television.

With that said, the 76ers weren't a strong rebounding team, ranking 20th in the NBA with 43.3 boards per game. One of the least efficient teams on the defensive boards, I don't see Antetokounmpo getting limited action in the paint tonight. Although initially probable with right patella tendinitis, I don't anticipate Antetokounmpo to be limited in the first game of the season.

Now that I've analyzed the rebounding portion, can we talk about how Giannis put up points in double figures all 73 games last season? While low scoring games are extremely rare for him, I don't expect that to change tonight.

Putting up 32 points in their last outing back in March, Antetokounmpo led the Bucks to victory with 32 points. Embiid-less for that matchup, not one sole player could stop the Bucks star. While Drummond should add some insurance, the support behind him is real thin.

  • Putting up 30+ points twice last season, Antetokounmpo averaged 28.3 points vs the 76ers. It's safe to say I'll ride with him to record a double-double tonight.

Jarrett Allen And Giannis Antetokounmpo Averaged Double-Double's In Points And Rebounds Last Season

The next portion of this parlay, I bet on Cavaliers center Jarrett Allen to record a double-double vs the Raptors. A strong player prop bet on it's own, Allen increased his games to new heights last season. Averaging a double-double for the third season of his career, Allen boasted 10.5 rebounds and 16.5 points in 77 games with the Cavaliers.

An extremely underrated player, Allen is one of the best big men in the game. Widely not talked about, how can I fade a player who averaged a double-double last year!? Especially against the Raptors, who rank 29th in opposing center rebounds. Although this is a prop thats soared over in only 50 percent of his last five meetings with the Raptors, we have to take a look at this team.

  • With a slew of injuries to Kelly Olynyk, RJ Barrett, and Bruce Brown, Toronto is thin everywhere. Aside from Bruno Fernando, the Raptors will be in trouble on the boards.

Final NBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Giannis Antetokounmpo + Jarrett Allen to record a double-double (+152 50 % parlay boost on FanDuel)

Going back to last season, Allen grabbed 11 and 15 boards in the final 2 matchups vs the Raptors in January and mid February. Although a bit streaky on the boards in the post season, he faces a Raptors squad, who ranked 25th overall in rebounds (42.7). Things didn't get any easier for Toronto, giving up the 5th most boards in the NBA (45.2), specifically 11.2 offensive rebounds. Looking to capitalize on the second chance points, Allen faces the Raptors, who allowed the fifth worst opponent paint points (54.3).

Even with Evan Mobley fully healthy and in the starting lineup, this is a Cavaliers roster that hasn't changed much. Given Cleveland averaged 50+ points in the paint, lay the points with Allen to record a double-double tonight. Scoring in double figures all matchups vs Toronto last year, Allen averaged a double-double in all games but one.

NBA Player Prop Bet #3: Andrew Wiggins

Andrew Wiggins 2023-2024 Season Stats

G: 59 | PPG: 13.2 | FG: 45.3 % | FT: 75.1 % | 3PT %: 35.8 | REB: 4.5 | AST: 1.7 | STL: 0.6| BLK: 0.6

  • Over 12.5 points (-130 FanDuel)
  • O 1.5 3PTM (+126 FanDuel)
  • Can either take as straight, or parlay for +147 odds

My last player prop of today, I bet on Golden State Warriors forward Andrew Wiggins to record 12.5 points and to hit over 1.5 three-pointer made. In this situation, I've given my readers a chance to play these straight, or to parlay for +147 odds on FanDuel. While it's rare I double up on player props, these are perfectly fine to take separate. Especially over 1.5 three-pointers made for plus money.

Vowing to bounce back, Wiggins undoubtedly had an off year. With point averages, assists, and several other categories in the toilet, I still think this is a strong player prop tonight. Especially since the Warriors get the Trailblazers, who were tabbed as one of the worst teams in the NBA last season.

Andrew Wiggins Is Expected To Have A More Efficient Season

  • I can't for the life of me understand how Wiggins three-point prop line is listed so low and at +126 odds. Even in a down year, Wiggins has historically performed well against Portland, draining over 2+ trey balls in the last 6/7 matchups.

Most recently tallying 7 deep shots in the last two games vs Portland, they oddly enough had the third best perimeter defense in the NBA. I especially like this three-point prop, since Wiggins attempted 14 trey ball attempts in the last 2 matchups vs. the Trail Blazers.

Riddled with injuries, the Trail Blazers have the return of guards Anfernee Simons and Scoot Henderson. With Jerami Grant and Deandre Ayton representing the backcourt, Deni Avdija was a nice pickup from Washington. However, we are talking about a Golden State team that likes to shoot a good amount of threes. Fourth in the NBA in three-point attempts, the Warriors boasted a 38 shot percentage from beyond the arc last season.

Final NBA Player Prop Betting Prediction: Andrew Wiggins over 12.5 points + over 1.5 3PTM (+147, or can place as straight bets)

I know it's opening week of the NBA season. However, I do believe the 12.5 point prop line is too low, especially since Wiggins has soared over it in 5 of the last 7 games vs the Trailblazers. Finishing out the season strong, Wiggins hit well over this prop in 4/5 games last season, and 7/10. Inconsistent all season long, Wiggins started to find a groove, averaging 16.1 points in the last 10 games of the season. April was by far his production month with 17 points, and I expect Wiggins to continue on that momentum tonight.

  • Overall, this is an average matchup for the Warriors forward. Not the easiest, but not the most challenging, I love the risk. Sharing his high expectations for Wiggins this season, I do expect him to be the leading scorer next to Steph Curry.
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