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NBA Player Props Tonight for Pacers vs Kings: Domantas Sabonis Leads My +525 SGP (Dec 22)

Publish Date: 12/22/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The Indiana Pacers are quietly turning things around, taking three out of their last four games to inch closer to .500. After coming through the Phoenix Suns, they'll need to find plenty more offense against the Sacramento Kings.

(Photo by Rocky Widner/NBAE via Getty Images)

Sacramento's offense has cooled a bit in recent games, but it still ranks fourth in the month of December and should show back up against an unassuming Pacers defense. That should leave this game wide open for offense, meaning it's a good time to put together a little parlay.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Pacers vs Kings on Sunday, December 22 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Parlay Predictions for Pacers vs Kings

DraftKings NBA Odds for Pacers vs Kings SGP: +525

  • Domantas Sabonis 14+ Rebounds
  • Kevin Huerter 2+ Made Threes
  • Tyrese Haliburton 4+ Made Threes

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Domantas Sabonis 14+ Rebounds

Before we get into the clearest path to making money, which should be attacking both defenses where they're the weakest, let's first discuss a sizable edge which at least one member of the Sacramento Kings should have in a non-scoring category.

  • Domantas Sabonis enters this game averaging over 13 rebounds per game, but this month that number has hit 14.
  • With that, that I think this number is all too low from oddsmakers.

The Pacers are ranked 28th in offensive rebounding rate this season at just 24.4%, but in grabbing just 20% this month thy sit dead last in the NBA by a comfortable margin.

Sacramento may be a bad rebounding team in its own right, but with Sabonis grabbing 26.6% of available rebounds on the defensive glass this month -- an elite number -- we can at least have faith in him making sure Indiana doesn't see any improvement in this trend.

Sabonis has now hit this number in three of his last four games, exploiting a weak rebounding team in the Lakers for 31 total rebounds over his last two, and should keep things up here.

Kevin Huerter 2+ Made Threes

The Pacers remain squarely in the bottom half of the league on defense, and it's been largely due to their lackluster performance around the perimeter.

  • Indiana has allowed 37.4% shooting from 3 this season, ranked 20th according to Cleaning the Glass, and as it continues to limit looks in the mid-range I suspect the Kings will look for some options other than DeMar DeRozan and De'Aaron Fox on offense.

That should mean the ball finds the hands of Kevin Huerter plenty here, particularly given his form and the nature of this game.

Sacramento is playing on the second night of a back-to-back, which should force its tight rotation to expand just a hair, and with Huerter shooting almost 50% from the field and 37.8% from 3 this month I think this number is very playable.

Huerter has attempted over six 3-pointers per game despite averaging just 24.4 minutes, and has shot it seven times on Saturday even on an off shooting night. With how weak the Pacers are against the outside shot, he should get active here.

Tyrese Haliburton 4+ Made Threes

The Kings have made some marginal strides against the 3 this month, but still join the Pacers inside the league's bottom 10 against the outside shot. For the season, things have been even worse.

Sacramento is allowing the fourth-highest number of 3-point shots on average, and ranks fifth-worst against the shot this season. There's going to be a clear opportunity for Indiana to score the ball from outside, and we know there's only one man for the job.

  • Tyrese Haliburton may be enduring a tough season from 3, but he's remained vigilant with nearly nine attempts per game and leads all Pacers starters with a 56% shooting frequency from outside according to Cleaning the Glass.

On top of that, Haliburton's luck is finally beginning to turn. He's knocked down nearly 39% of his triples this month, and has hit the over on this number in three straight games in going 15-for-32 (46.9%) from outside.

Given the high-scoring nature of this game and glaring weakness at the arc for the Kings, the former All-Star should take us home.

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