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NBA Player Props Tonight for Raptors vs Bucks: Giannis Antetokounmpo Leads My +617 SGP (Nov 12)

Publish Date: 11/12/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

It's been a nightmare start for the Milwaukee Bucks at 2-8, but the Emirates NBA Cup offers a clean slate to this talented team as they look to build some confidence under head coach Doc Rivers.Β 

The Toronto Raptors certainly don't look like an impossible task, either, coming in at 2-9 on the back of a four-game losing streak. With Scottie Barnes still missing in action, there are several players who have stepped up -- and we'll take a look at who might be looked to for a big night on Tuesday.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Raptors vs Bucks on Tuesday, November 12th and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Cup Parlay Predictions for Raptors vs Bucks

FanDuel NBA Odds for Raptors vs Bucks SGP: +617

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo 8+ Assists
  • Bobby Portis 15+ Points
  • Jakob Poeltl Double Double

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Giannis Antetokounmpo 8+ Assists

Assists have been hard to come by in recent games for Antetokounmpo in recent games, but that's a product of Milwaukee's painstakingly poor offense struggling to score the ball when their lead man gets them the ball.

  • After running into the Celtics and Knicks, the Bucks will have a much friendlier matchup on Tuesday against one of the league's worst defenses which is without the services of Barnes -- a lockdown wing.

Toronto has been at its worst in defending the mid-range, ranking 26th, but also sits just 15th in rim protection this season. That should be a recipe for plenty of helpers from Antetokounmpo as he kicks the ball down to cutting wings or frontcourt sidekicks Bobby Portis and Brook Lopez.

Without a wealth of size, the Raptors have been forced to focus their attention on just one big at a time, and it's led to them ranking dead last when it comes to assists allowed per game to opposing power forwards.

This is a number that Antetokounmpo hit the last time he played in a contentious game, a one-point loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, and against a bad defense and under the spotlight I expect plenty out of the Greek Freak here.

Bobby Portis 15+ Points

I mentioned Portis above, so let's talk more about why he might pour in plenty of points off of the ball movement that Antetokounmpo will facilitate.

  • Portis sits in the 96th percentile of attempts per game from the mid-range, and has once again had a great season shooting the ball from that zone in hitting on 44% of his looks.

Now, Portis will enter into a matchup with the fourth-worst defense in the league in the mid-range, allowing 42.9% of shots to fall, and he'll also be pleased to hear that Toronto's allowed the seventh-most looks per game from that area.

The big man has gone for 15 or more points in three of his last four, and should be relied upon for plenty of minutes given the dream matchup and the absence of Damian Lillard in the backcourt.


Jakob Poeltl Double Double

Finally, we'll have to have a look at the rebounding battle here given the discrepancy in the numbers.

Toronto has been stellar in wiping the boards, ranking fifth in the NBA, while the Bucks have continued to do very little down low with a 23rd-ranked 48.7% rebounding rate.

  • That should open things up for Jakob Poeltl, who's averaged a double-double this season and has now recorded five on the year.

Milwaukee has ranked just 15th in rim defense, which certainly isn't enough to drive me away from a man who's become somewhat of an important offensive piece for Toronto. Poeltl is scoring 14 points per game to start off 2024-25, which is well above his career average, and continues to see plenty of run without Barnes in the fold with 34 minutes per game over his last eight.

I expect a big game out of Poeltl on the boards, and with the run and volume he's been getting -- shooting over 59% on 11.6 looks per game in the last eight -- this is a misprice.

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