NBA Player Props Tonight for Rockets vs Warriors: Alperen Sengun Leads My +850 SGP (Dec 5)

We'll be treated to a captivating game as we wrap up the slate on Thursday, with the Golden State Warriors aiming to snap a five-game losing streak against the mighty Houston Rockets without their two best players.

(Photo by Fatih Aktas/Anadolu via Getty Images)

Stephen Curry and Draymond Green will miss this contest, putting Golden State's offense in a state of flux, but it should open up plenty of opportunities in the NBA Player Prop markets and with the defense of the Warriors remaining strong should force Houston to hunt shots in specific areas.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Rockets vs Warriors on Thursday, December 5 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Parlay Predictions for Rockets vs Warriors

DraftKings NBA Odds for Rockets vs Warriors SGP: +850

• Alperen Sengun Over 0.5 Made Threes
• Jonathan Kuminga Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds
• Jabari Smith Jr. Over 13.5 Points

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Alperen Sengun Over 0.5 Made Threes

The Warriors are currently sitting in the top five of the league in rim defense according to Cleaning the Glass, and while Green will be sidelined for this contest, their defensive rating hasn't tanked all that much with both he and Curry off the court.

• In fact, the biggest drop-off has been offensively -- and that's a testament to just how good Trayce Jackson-Davis has been at defending in the frontcourt.

With Golden State giving up the seventh-most looks from 3 in the NBA over the last two weeks, and down some perimeter defense with the two stars missing, I think Sengun will continue trying to get his outside shot going -- particularly if he meets resistance at the rim.

He's taken a 3 in three of his last four games, finally snapping a dry spell with one falling last game, and as Jackson-Davis realizes his limitations at the arc I think Sengun should be afforded plenty of space to shoot in this one.

Jonathan Kuminga Over 23.5 Points + Rebounds

The gameplan without Curry and Green has been very clear for the Warriors, and that's been to run things through Jonathan Kuminga.

• With the pair off the court this year, Kuminga has seen a drastic jump in Usage Rate by nearly six points, which is by far the highest on the team.

Kuminga scored a season high 23 points against the Rockets in their only other meeting this season, tacking on six rebounds, and has scored 19 or more in two of his last three as he begins to see an increase in minutes with the Warriors still looking to work out their rotation.

Both of these teams have been strong on the glass, and in something of a surprise, the Warriors' rebounding numbers have remained nearly identical regardless of whether or not Green is in the game.

Kuminga's seen a near two-point uptick in rebounding rate in the minutes without Curry and Green, and with Jackson-Davis doing the dirty work to box out Houston's bigs I expect him to chip in some rebounds as he soars over this number.

Jabari Smith Jr. Over 13.5 Points

Houston is going to have to find someone to score the ball, and as we expect Sengun to be somewhat limited in his output against a strong frontcourt defense I think turning to Jabari Smith Jr. is the best option.

• Golden State has been excellent against the 3, and while that performance is likely to worsen without Curry it's also worth noting again that it's given up a ton of looks from outside at the moment and has still given them up at the 10th-highest clip for the season.

Where the Warriors have been weakest is in the mid-range, ranking last in defense and just shy of the top of the league in field goal attempts allowed, and that's where Smith comes in.

• The No. 3 overall pick in the 2022 draft has been a bit volatile in terms of his scoring output, but the good news here is we know he'll look to shoot where the Warriors hurt the most.

Smith has taken 3-pointers at the second-highest rate on the team, discounting Reed Sheppard who has been used sparingly, and has ranked in the top 40% of the league at his position in shot frequency in the mid-range.

With decent conversion rates on these looks, I think he'll be one of the focal points offensively -- particularly if Fred VanVleet, listed as questionable, doesn't suit up.

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