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NBA Player Props Tonight for Spurs vs Jazz: Victor Wembanyama Leads My +500 SGP (Nov 26)

Publish Date: 11/26/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The San Antonio Spurs have caught fire with three straight wins, including one over the Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA Cup, and now have an opportunity on Tuesday to move closer to locking up a spot in the knockout round with a win over the Utah Jazz.

(Photo by Michael Gonzales/NBAE via Getty Images)

Utah allowed 126 points in a loss to San Antonio just two games ago, and will have its work cut out in this one as it searches for its first win of the NBA Cup, and its second in just six games.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Spurs vs Jazz on Tuesday, November 26th and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Cup Parlay Predictions for Spurs vs Jazz

DraftKings NBA Odds for Spurs vs Jazz SGP: +500

  • Stephon Castle Over 14.5 Points
  • Victor Wembanyama 4+ Assists
  • Walker Kessler 10+ Rebounds

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Stephon Castle Over 14.5 Points

While Victor Wembanyama is the headliner in our NBA Cup parlay picks today, I'm going to have to start with Stephon Castle -- who should work in chorus with Wemby as the Spurs careen towards a big night against a poor Jazz defense.

  • The rookie guard has begun to take on a big role with Jeremy Sochan and Devin Vassell battling injury this season, and he's rewarded the Spurs with plenty of scoring and play-making in what's amounted to 32 minutes per game over his last eight.

Castle's still finding his stroke from 3, but he's proven capable of scoring inside in the meantime and has now scored 18 or more in back-to-back games. He's been one of the team leaders in shot frequency at the rim, ranking in the top 11% of the league, and he's converted at a perfectly acceptable 62% clip while drawing plenty of fouls.

  • The Jazz sit dead last in rim defense, allowing a 71.4% field goal percentage at the cup, and while they've done a good job of preventing shots inside that hasn't deterred Castle from getting to the rim in the past.

Castle scored eight points in just 20 minutes against the Jazz in their first meeting, and in the next two score a combined 41 in over 34 minutes on average -- shattering this mark in each contest.

I'm expecting big things once again from a young talent who's quickly become a focal point of this offense.

Victor Wembanyama 4+ Assists

I'll admit, I'm a little shocked to see Wembanyama's assists total in such a reasonable spot. He's racked up five or more helpers in three of his last four games, and while it's true that assists have been hard to come by for the big man, Tuesday night should be an excellent spot for him.

We hit on Castle's proficiency in getting to the rim, but he's not the only one who's been a weapon from point-blank range.

  • Keldon Johnson is also in the top 40% of the league in shot attempts at the rim, and he's converted at an even-higher clip than Castle.
  • Julian Champagnie has also been one of the best in the league with a 79% field goal percentage at the rim, despite picking his spots down low.

What's this mean for Wembanyama? Well, if we take a look at his passing dashboard, we'll see that Castle and Chapmagnie are the second and third-most frequent recipients of passes from Wembanayma, and all three are inside the top four when it comes to shot attempts coming from Wemby's deliveries.

That leads me to believe the big fella will find plenty of assists, just as he did in the first meeting between these two teams. We've seen Wembanyama hang around the perimeter and opt for plenty of jumpers this year, so he should be able to find his teammates around the rim for easy buckets.

Walker Kessler 10+ Rebounds

It would certainly seem as if Walker Kessler thrives when he squares off with Wembanyama. In two gams this season against Wemby, he's averaged eight boards in 23.2 minutes, but it could easily be more as he was knocked out of their most recent meeting due to injury after just 18 minutes.

  • Kessler already has one 11-rebound night under his belt against Wembanyama this season, and last year averaged 6.3 rebounds against the Spurs in under 20 minutes.

The Spurs should be at a disadvantage on the glass to begin with, ranking several spots blow Utah in rebounding rate, and in this specific matchup we can expect Kessler -- an elite rebounder -- to see little competition inside with Wembanyama spending most of his time away from the rim.

Kessler returned from injury against a good rebounding team in the Knicks to play 35 minutes, and with Kyle Filipowski and Taylor Hendricks still missing from the rotation he should receive plenty of run here.

Judging by his numbers in significantly less playing time in his career against Wembanyama, he should reach this benchmark and post a double-double to boot.

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