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NBA Player Props Tonight for Spurs vs Kings: Victor Wembanyama Headlines My +575 SGP (Dec 1)

Publish Date: 12/01/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The San Antonio Spurs and Sacramento Kings continue to flirt with a .500 record as we quickly approach the meat of the NBA season, and now both will square off Sunday as they look to separate from the pack in the Western Conference.

(Photos by Michael Gonzales/NBAE via Getty Images)

Sacramento has been reeling with five losses in six games, but should get DeMar DeRozan back for this one which could put a scare into a red-hot Spurs team which has taken four of its last five.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Spurs vs Kings on Sunday, December 1 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Parlay Predictions for Spurs vs Kings

DraftKings NBA Odds for Spurs vs Kings SGP: +575

  • Keldon Johnson Over 10.5 Points
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 Assists
  • DeMar DeRozan 20+ Points

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Keldon Johnson Over 10.5 Points

The first thing we need to address is the Kings' ineptitude in defending the interior. This defense has been suspect all season long, but sit right around the of the league in efficiency thanks to some good work against 3-point shooters.

  • Sacramento's been incredibly vulnerable in the mid-range, ranking 22nd in field goal defense allowed, and ranks just 23rd in defending the rim.
  • That should put Keldon Johnson in the driver's seat once again as someone who's taken almost all of his shots in these two areas of the floor.

The Dynamic wing has begun to blossom as this season has gone on, scoring 12 points per game in his last four contests, and he finished with 11 points last time out against the Kings on a cool 5-of-9 from the floor in 25 minutes.

Johnson should be happy to se Devin Vassell back in the lineup for the Spurs, as he's the play on this team who's seen the most court time alongside the talented wing.

Vassell's play-making ability and the extra attention he draws should get the ball into Johnson's hands, and we know he should score if he's given opportunities with Sacramento struggling where he loves to operate.

Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 Assists

Speaking of Vassell, Wembanyama hasn't played a ton with him this season but has seen a near two-point uptick in assist rate with him on the floor and last year watched that number grow in their minutes as well.

With every passing Spurs game, I continue to stress that Wembanyama is looking less and less like a post player this season. He's been trying to perfect his shooting and hasn't shown a great interest in scoring on post-ups, but as the best player on offense he's found himself double-teamed and looking for open men with the ball in his hands.

  • We can use some logic here to piece together the script for this one, with Sacramento getting torched inside, to predict that Wembanyama will be passing into open shots at the rim.

Vassell's return should only help matters, considering he's yet another wing who can free in the mid-rang and score with expert touch, and that should create an excellent buy-low opportunity on Wembanyama's assists.

The youngster has recorded just four assists in his last two games combined, but he did have six helpers in his lone matchup with the Kings this season and hasn't played with a fully-healthy lineup all that much.

DeMar DeRozan 20+ Points

Finally, we'll play the narrative here with DeMar DeRozan against one of his former teams in San Antonio.

The Kings have a lot of scoring options on paper, but with some volatile outputs this season the onus has fallen on DeRozan to do the heavy lifting on offense.

  • The veteran has been missing in action for the last two games, and this offense has suffered as a result, but making his return against a team which ranks 22nd in defending the mid-range he should help buoy the Kings in what should be a close affair.

DeRozan currently sits second on the team in field goal attempts per game, which is no surprise given the Kings have ranked first in mid-range scoring.

With the Spurs' soft spot lying in this zone, and DeRozan possessing a little extra incentive to make his presence felt here, I think a 12th 20-point game in 16 contests is on the menu.

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