NBA Player Props Tonight: Suns vs Mavericks Player Props: Kevin Durant Leads My +725 SGP (Nov 8)

Our first game of the night in a nationally-televised doubleheader on Friday will take place in Dallas, where the Mavericks will hunt down a huge win over the 7-1 Suns.

(Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Dallas has been reeling with injuries beginning to pile up, and that should open the door for a couple of players on opposite ends of the court. I'm also eyeing another big performance out of Kevin Durant, who has been a scoring machine of late.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Suns vs Mavericks on Friday, November 8th and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Parlay Predictions for Suns vs Mavericks

FanDuel NBA Odds for Suns vs Mavericks SGP: +522

• Kevin Durant 25+ Points
• Kyrie Irving Over 2.5 Made Threes
• Jusuf Nurkic Double-Double

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Kevin Durant 25+ Points

The first thing I'll normally do when building out these parlays is look at the tendencies of both defenses, and where they're normally giving up the most looks.

That's especially true when you've got a bang-up defense like the Mavericks, because it'll become more about where their opponent is shooting rather than where the team's been softest with buckets a bit harder to come by.

• Well, the Mavs have been pretty even across the board, but there's been a clear divider on the perimeter. Dallas has ranked 12th in terms of allowing shots at the rim, and has been roughly average in terms of looks from the mid-range and from 3.

This should enable Kevin Durant to once again take the game into his hands, and as this team's go-to scorer late we can also expect the volume to be there in spades given the incredibly tight lines which oddsmakers have posted.

Friday's contest is a pace-up game for the Suns, who sit six spots behind the 10th-place Mavericks in that category, and given the shooting zone numbers we should feel very confident in putting our money behind Durant once again.

The star wing has now gone for 25 or more points six times in eight showings, and with Bradley Beal still slightly hampered by an elbow injury he should continue to carry the freight for Phoenix.

Kyrie Irving Over 2.5 Made Threes

The Suns may not be allowing a ton of 3-point looks this year, but they've had great difficulty in defending the arc in allowing 37.5% of shots to fall -- a number which puts them one spot out of the bottom third of the NBA.

• Three 3-pointers also aren't a ton to ask for, and for a team which is down two shooters in Maxi Kleber and Dante Exum, Kyrie Irving should once again be granted more shots from outside the arc.

Irving has gotten home on this number five times in eight games, and for the season is now shooting a ridiculous 54.5% from outside. While that number will certainly come down a bit, this game should be a back-and-forth affair which sees Dallas lean on the outside shot heavily against an elite Suns frontcourt which ranks fifth in rim defense.

Klay Thompson's minutes seem to be quickly declining, and two big threats from the arc are injured. You'd have to expect continued volume for Irving as a result, and if you throw out two wins by 20 or more points where he was starved for minutes, he's taking almost seven shots per game from 3.

Jusuf Nurkic Double-Double

Finally, let's talk about that menacing Suns frontcourt -- one which should have the opportunity to shine against a depleted Mavericks front.

The loss of Kleber hampers this team's ability to shoot, sure, but it also means one fewer option at power forward. Dereck Lively has also been out with a shoulder injury, which severely impacts a Mavericks frontcourt which rose to prominence down the stretch last season.

• Enter Nurkic, who will shoot on a Mavericks team which has quickly dipped to 14th in rim defense and ranks just 26th in rebounding rate.

The bigman has been a huge weapon for Phoenix this season, recording three double-doubles through eight games. That's a number that could easily be higher considering he's had four double-digit rebounding performances and has gone for 10 or more points five times.

Nurkic has occasionally struggled for minutes, but I expect the Suns to lean on him heavily here given the state of Dallas' frontcourt.

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