Sports Reporter | Capper
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The Oklahoma City Thunder and Houston Rockets were two of the brightest young teams in basketball a season ago, and now as they sit neck-and-neck for the top spot in the Western Conference we'll be treated to an excellent game in Houston on Sunday evening.
Oklahoma City continues to struggle inside without Chet Holmgren, but should afford more than one edge to Houston as we look to profit off some NBA player props on Sunday. We'll take a look at two notable names for the home side before backing the go-to man for the Thunder to fill out our picks.
Let's build a same-game parlay for Thunder vs Rockets on Sunday, December 1 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.
DraftKings NBA Odds for Thunder vs Rockets SGP: +675
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It's nothing new, but the Thunder are getting destroyed on the glass. They currently sit dead last in rebounding rate entering play on Sunday, and in nine games without Holmgren things haven't gotten any better.
The young center currently ranks second on the team in rebounding rate -- a team which sits in the top three of the NBA -- and is fresh off a 14-board showing against the Philadelphia 76ers.
While he's only reached 11 rebounds in two of his last eight games, he's done so in nine of his 20 contests this season and did go for 11 or more rebounds in two of his three meetings with the Thunder last season -- a team which struggled similarly with rebounding a year ago.
Both of these defenses have been incredibly stingy this season, ranking first and second in points allowed per 100 possessions, which should mean plenty of rebounding opportunities for both sides. I like the best rebounder on the floor to have a night.
While the Thunder have been solid on defense, there's been a sore spot developing on the wings. Teams have shot the 3 almost 40% of the time against OKC, which ranks 20th in this regard, and while they've done a good job of defending these looks their performance has taken a noticeable dive since the injury to Holmgren by over a percentage point.
Dillon Brooks sits in the top 64% of the league in 3-point frequency at his position, pulling from the arc just about one out of every two shots, and he comes into this one with seven or more 3-point attempts in four of his last five games.
The playing time has increased for Brooks, too, as h's played 36 or more minutes in back-to-back outings, and while he's coming off a dreadful 0-for-8 showing against the Sixers he should find the easiest matchup on the floor for a team which is bereft of many shooters.
The only way to beat this Houston defense seems to be from the mid-range, where it's given up most of its looks, and we're guaranteed to see more looks from that shooting zone against one of the best mid-range offenses in the game.
Jalen Williams seemed to be a bit off his game last game against the Los Angeles Lakers after he was poked in the eye during Wednesday's loss to the Warriors, and if he continues to struggle to find offense here Gilegous-Alexander, who's shot the ball 28 times in back-to-back gams, will be there to pick up the slack.
Williams will draw some good defense from this Rockets frontcourt, while several of Oklahoma City's shooters will find it difficult to score on Dillon Brooks, but the backcourt has been the only real liability for Houston which leads me to believe Gilgeous-Alexander will once again carry the scoring load for this team as it seeks continued growth without Holmgren.
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