NBA Player Props Tonight for Thunder vs Spurs: Jalen Williams Leads My +634 SGP (Nov 19)

When Tuesday's NBA Cup game between the Thunder and Spurs first appeared on the calendar, we were very excited to see the top two picks from last year's NBA Draft do battle. Unfortunately, this one will have a different feel to it with Chet Holmgren and Victor Wembanyama sidelined with injuries, but there should still be a wealth of opportunities in the betting market.

(Photo by Joshua Gateley/Getty Images)

We'll take a look at a couple of Thunder players who have been leaned on heavily in wake of Holmgren's injury, as well as a volatile Spurs role player who should see plenty of action.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Thunder vs Spurs on Tuesday, November 19th and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Cup Parlay Predictions for Thunder vs Spurs

FanDuel NBA Odds for Thunder vs Spurs SGP: +634

• Jalen Williams Over 34.5 Points, Rebounds + Assists
• Keldon Johnson Over 13.5 Points
• Luguentz Dort 3+ Made Threes

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Jalen Williams Over 34.5 Points, Rebounds + Assists

Jalen Williams has taken a massive leap this season, and while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is still the top dog in Oklahoma City he is quickly emerging as a man who could become this team's top contributor.

• In four games without Holmgren, Williams is averaging a hefty 25 points, 5.5 rebounds and 6.8 assists, and against a depleted Spurs defense he could be in for yet another big night.

Williams has seen the second-biggest jump in Usage Rate this season with Holmgren off the floor with a 2.4-point increase in his Asist Rate and nearly a half-point bump in his Rebounding Rate to boot.

San Antonio's rim defense has led the team to an 11th-place start in defensive efficiency, but without Wembanyama in addition to Jeremy Sochan it's fair to question how this team will stop such a complete offense in Oklahoma City.

I expect Williams to be heavily involved once again and fill the stat sheet, and while many may be weary of the blowout factor here it's important to note that the starters generally play their full complement of minutes in the NBA Cup's group stage as teams hunt for point differential.

Keldon Johnson Over 13.5 Points

It seems impossible to catch Keldon Johnson on one of his good nights, but Tuesday certainly promises plenty for the young Florida product.

• The Thunder's biggest drop-off in four games without Holmgren has come in the short mid-range shooting zone, where they've allowed 45% of shots to fall to sit 21st during that time.
• That's quite the turnaround from where they were before the big man went down, as they ranked second in the league with just a 36% field goal percentage allowed in the zone.

With a noticeable three-point dip in rim protection to boot, Johnson should be in prime position to score the ball here. He's led the team in shot frequency from the short mid-range according to Cleaning the Glass and has been one of the team's most trigger-happy at the rim as well.

• A whopping two-thirds of all his shots have come from these two zones, and that leads me to believe he'll receive significant run here as the Spurs look to exploit Oklahoma City inside.

Johnson's only eclipsed this mark four times all year, but a high fluctuation in minutes has been largely to blame. He's second on the team in minutes played with Wembanyama off the floor, and that gives me the confidence necessary to take the swing.

Luguentz Dort 3+ Made Threes

Finally, we'll go after the most glaring soft spot for the Spurs' defense, which is around the arc.

• San Antonio now sits down in 17th against the 3-pointer according to Cleaning the Glass in their last four games, and has allowed many more shots there as teams begin to realize scoring inside is a tough ask.

Dort sits just behind Williams with the third-largest increase in Usage Rate in the non-Holmgren minutes, and has seen the largest increase in 3-point attempts per 36 minutes to boot.

The experienced wing is now shooting a cool 44.9% from the arc this season, hitting three or more times from deep in four of his last five, and his best night of the season came against the Spurs three weeks ago when he went 6-of-8 from downtown in just 25 minutes.

Now that he's averaging almost 34 minutes per game with Holmgren out, he's an excellent target.

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