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NBA Player Props Tonight for Timberwolves vs Clippers: Norman Powell Leads My +575 SGP (Dec 4)

Publish Date: 12/04/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The Minnesota Timberwolves have finally gotten the monkey off their back, winning two straight gams to snap a four-game winning streak, and now they'll meet the LA Clippers, who they took down at home to get their most recent run going.

(Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)

With some liabilities inside the arc for these respective defenses, we'll take a shot on two men who should be able to score the ball at will against the softest spots on the floor before taking a look at a very juicy rebounding prop.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Timberwolves vs Clippers on Wednesday, December 4 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Parlay Predictions for Timberwolves vs Clippers

DraftKings NBA Odds for Timberwolves vs Clippers SGP: +575

  • Norman Powell Over 19.5 Points
  • Julius Randle Over 18.5 Points
  • Kris Dunn Over 3.5 Rebounds

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Norman Powell Over 19.5 Points

Norman Powell didn't just return from injury two games ago, he did so in grand fashion.

  • LA's leading scorer has picked up right where he left off prior to going down, scoring 28 or more points across the last two games in just 25 minutes on average, and with his workload expected to pick up I like him to have a big night against the Timberwolves.

It's hard to question Powell's usage here, given he's averaged 16 field goal attempts in the limited run since healing, and it's just as hard to question the matchup. Minnesota's tailed off a bit on defense, and has looked weakest against long mid-range jumpers, allowing 43.9% of them to fall for the 10th-worst mark in the league.

This is where Powell gets a lot of scoring done, sitting in the top 20% of the league at his position in shot frequency in the mid-range, so even if the Timberwolves continue to defend the 3 well, there should be plenty of ways for Powell to fill up the scoring column.

Mix in a matchup against Jaden McDaniels, who's taken a big step back defensively this season, and I think you've got a winning combination.

Β 

Julius Randle Over 18.5 Points

Moving over to the Clippers, the biggest weakness defensively has come at the rim where they've yielded a 68.3% field goal percentage according to Cleaning the Glass to rank 25th in the NBA.

  • That's all I need to hear, as I don't need a second invitation to back Julius Randle's scoring prop as the unquestioned second fiddle on offense for Minnesota.

Randle is second on the team in Usage Rate, and he's shot the ball 13 or more times in four of his last five games while making his way to the free throw line at a healthy clip to boot.

On top of this, the Clippers are giving up a ton of looks from the mid-range, where Randle likes to shoot, and have been at their weakest towards the front of this shooting zone with a 16th-ranked defense against short mid-range shots.

Any way you slice it, the Timberwolves should look to attack the interior here, and that should open the door for a bounce-back game from Randle after a couple of quiet scoring nights.

Kris Dunn Over 3.5 Rebounds

While Powell has returned to the lineup, it hasn't meant the end of the Kris Dunn experiment in Los Angeles. In fact, it seems this coaching staff is so pleased with how things are going that they've decided to thrust the former lottery pick into a bigger role.

  • Dunn has now played over 23 minutes per game in his last eight, and with Kevin Porter, Jr. and Terance Mann banged up he should draw yet another start on Wednesday.

I'm excited about this development, because it means we'll be able to bet on some Kris Dunn player props. The clearest way in among his many generous lines should come in the rebounding department, considering the Timberwolves are ranked just 18th on the glass this season.

  • Minnesota has ranked second-to-last in terms of limiting rebounds against opposing shooting guards, and Dunn has been able to use his length to make an impact on the glass with four rebounds per game over those aforementioned seven games.

The 30-year-old went for seven rebounds the last time he squared off with the Timberwolves, and I don't expect the story to be any different on Wednesday.

If you want to know what's fresh, go no further than our Betting News Section.

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