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NBA Player Props Tonight for Timberwolves vs Warriors: Julius Randle Leads My +550 SGP (Dec 6)

Publish Date: 12/06/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The Golden State Warriors finally snapped their five-game losing streak on Thursday night despite missing their best two players, and now with the pair expected back on the second half of a back-to-back they'll look to string two wins together at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves.

(Photo by David Sherman/NBAE via Getty Images)

Both defenses have been superb in the early going, but it's been the offense which has severely lagged behind last year's pace for the Timberwolves. Still, we can expect at least one high-usage player to find some success on Friday along with two Warriors who should find an easier time on the offensive side of the ball.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Timberwolves vs Warriors on Friday, December 6 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Parlay Predictions for Timberwolves vs Warriors

DraftKings NBA Odds for Timberwolves vs Warriors SGP: +550

  • Julius Randle 20+ Points
  • Brandin Podziemski 6+ Rebounds
  • Draymond Green 8+ Points

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Julius Randle 20+ Points

The Timberwolves' offense has been struggling, but Julius Randle hasn't seemed to care. Playing in what could be a contract year, the veteran has ranked second on the team in Usage Rate, taking an average of 15 shots per game in his last 10 contests as he makes the most of his court time.

  • Friday should be a good spot to play Randle once again, considering the Warriors have been at their weakest in the mid-range with a poor 45.3% field goal defense to rank third-worst in the NBA.

Golden State is also allowing the most mid-range attempts per game, in general, so we can expect Randle to continue trying to score however he can for the Timberwolves in what could be a tricky matchup against a great defense at the rim and the arc.

Randle's hit this number in eight of his last 10 games and I still don't think the market has quite caught up to him.

Β 

Brandin Podziemski 6+ Rebounds

The Warriors' prominence on the glass last year has carried over to the new season, with this team sitting sixth in grabbing 51.5% of available rebounds.

  • One of the men who's led the charge is guard Brandin Podziemski, who's averaged more than seven rebounds per 36 minutes and is fresh off an 11-board night against the Rockets on Thursday.

Minnesota ranks just 18th on the glass, and its biggest liability has been against opposing shooting guards, to which it's allowed the highest number of rebounds in the NBA.

Podziemski did get a nice boost in minutes last night with Stephen Curry out of action, but even with the sharpshooter expected to play the youngster will continue to slot into the starting lineup at the 2. That puts him in an excellent spot to gobble up some more rebounds and hit this number for a fourth time in five games.

It's also worth noting that Andrew Wiggins' status for this game is in doubt, which should only solidify Podziemski's minutes.

Draymond Green 8+ Points

Golden State is expected to return Draymond Green to the lineup on Friday after a two-game absence, and while he's not known as the most gifted scorer in the world he should be in a similarly-great matchup like the man he'll spend plenty of time guarding.

  • Green has scored 10 or more points in back-to-back games, but as a man who's ranked just outside the top 40% of the league in mid-range shot frequency he should be afforded plenty of space to score in this one.

Green has actually knocked down 50% of the long mid-range shots he's taken which is the second-best mark on the team, and we know the Timberwolves should yield plenty more looks from this range with the third-highest shot frequency in the mid-range on defense.

Minnesota's also ranked in the bottom 10 of the league in defending these shots, so I think Green's a pretty good bet to score some points -- something he's seldom done in the last few years.

Mix in some of Wiggins' shot attempts potentially heading Green's way if he's to miss this one, and you've got yourself another winner.

If you want to know what's fresh, go no further than our Betting News Section.

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