NBA Player Props Tonight for Celtics vs Nuggets: Michael Porter, Jr. Headlines My +550 SGP (Jan 7)

The Denver Nuggets haven't played the cleanest basketball in the world, but have taken four of their last five games in spite of some growing troubles defensively.

As that side of the ball continues to haunt them, we'll take a look at two NBA Player Props for the visitors here which should bare fruit before focusing on the lone man who has the chance to make this a game by exploiting the Celtics' lone weakness defensively.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Celtics vs Nuggets on Tuesday, January 7 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Parlay Predictions for Celtics vs Nuggets

DraftKings NBA Odds for Celtics vs Nuggets SGP: +550

• Jrue Holiday 4+ Assists
• Kristaps Porzingis Over 25.5 Points + Rebounds
• Michael Porter, Jr. 4+ Made Threes

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Jrue Holiday 4+ Assists

The most glaring edge we can find in this meeting would have to be on the Celtics' side of the ball, as they'll head up against a defense which has gone ice cold, but has been quite generous if we zoom out to include the season as a whole.

• Denver has allowed more assists per 100 possessions than any team in the NBA this year, a number that's only grown over the last two weeks as it's dipped down to the bottom five of the league in defensive efficiency.

The Nuggets are now allowing more than 30 per 100 possessions, thanks to some tough numbers at the rim, and while there are quite a few ways we can play this one I'd have to say that Jrue Holiday would stand the best chance of excelling in this area.

Holiday's led the Celtics in the last 14 days with a 22.6% assist rate, up more than four percentage points from his season average, and while his assists have fluctuated greatly this season he's found a groove lately with four or more in three of his last four games.

That's coincided with a slight uptick in minutes, and with Derrick White currently listed as questionable I don't think his playing time should be in question here.

Kristaps Porzingis Over 25.5 Points + Rebounds

One man that Holiday may find for some easy buckets is Kristaps Porzingis, who has averaged around 28 minutes in his two games since returning from injury.

• Considering we saw the big man in a larger role prior to going down, it's fair to assume that an uptick in minutes is coming -- and he did see a two-minute increase in Boston's last game against the Thunder.

Denver's taken a dive defensively over the last two weeks, and its rebounding rate has fallen by roughly a percentage point in this time as well. Boston, meanwhile, has leap-frogged its opponent on the glass during that time, and Porzingis has been a weapon on the boards for this team with eight or more in seven of his 13 games.

• Coming off a nine-rebound outing, Porzingis should pad his numbers in a good matchup, and making matters even sweeter is the fact that the Nuggets have ranked just 26th against the short mid-range shot in the last 14 days according to Cleaning the Glass.

This is the primary shooting zone for the veteran, though it should also be said that the Nuggets have struggled in every part of the floor with the exception of the arc. With that, I expect Porzingis to easily hit this benchmark.

Michael Porter, Jr. 4+ Made Threes

As we look to boost the odds on this parlay, I'll head for an alternate line on Michael Porter, Jr.'s 3-point mark which he's been able to hit with ease of late.

In a pace-up game for the Nuggets, who should grow desperate for buckets as their interior defense continues to fail them, they should have no choice but to lean on the outside shot.

• Boston is not only allowing the majority of its opponents' shots to come around the arc, but in the last two weeks has posted excellent numbers against every shot except the 3.

Going against a team which has allowed over 38% shooting from 3 over this span according to Cleaning the Glass, Denver should be inclined to let it rip from deep -- and there's nobody who's shot from 3 with consistency aside from Porter.

Not only has the volume continued to be there, Porter has made four or more triples in all but one of his last six games as he's hit 55.3% of his shots from deep over that span.

With that, I see no problems going up to four 3-pointers made given the particularly strong matchup.

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