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NBA Player Props Tonight for Hawks vs Clippers: James Harden Headlines My +500 SGP (Jan 4)

Publish Date: 01/04/2025
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The LA Clippers have lost two consecutive games to some formidable teams in the Western Conference, but things could quickly turn around on Saturday as they not only take on one of the more troubled teams in the East but look forward to the return of Kawhi Leonard.

(Photo by Juan Ocampo/NBAE via Getty Images)

The star wing isn't a guarantee to play in this one, and oddsmakers don't seem to be expecting him back either. Regardless, we should be able to use the recent trends to pick out a couple of sneaky spots in the NBA Player Props market to profit here.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Hawks vs Clippers on Saturday, January 4 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Parlay Predictions for Hawks vs Clippers

DraftKings NBA Odds for Hawks vs Clippers SGP: +500

  • James Harden 20+ Points
  • Derrick Jones, Jr. 4+ Rebounds
  • Onyeka Okongwu 10+ Points

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James Harden 20+ Points

The last month of the season has been awfully different for James Harden, who began his campaign averaging a double-double. He's begun to trust his shot a bit more with assists falling by the wayside, and Saturday he'll meet a generous defense which should help him continue scoring at will.

  • Atlanta has been one of the five worst teams defensively over the last to weeks against the 3, according to Cleaning the Glass, and despite some heavy fluctuation in Harden's overall shooting volume he's continued to shoot from 3.

Given Atlanta has given up plenty of open looks from outside, Harden should be tempted to take advantage as the player who's shot the 3 at the highest clip on this team, and making matters even more palatable is the fact that he's gone for 24 a game in his last seven.

Mix in some tired legs for an already poor defender in Trae Young, and Harden should light it up from outside and draw plenty of fouls as Young finds himself out of position.

Derrick Jones, Jr. 4+ Rebounds

The Atlanta Hawks will be at a huge disadvantage on the glass against a Clippers team that sits eighth in rebounding rate.

  • Yes, they're just a couple spots lower this season in that column, but things have deteriorated in the last 14 days as they've grabbed available boards at the sixth-worst rate in the NBA.

That should mean Jones is one of the beneficiaries here, particularly with Clint Capela, the strongest rebounder on the Hawks, locked up with Ivica Zubac down low.

The Hawks have allowed rebounds to opposing forwards at one of the highest clips in the NBA, and things should remain the same here with Onyeka Okongwu focusing his efforts around the arc on both sides of the floor in a matchup with Jones.

Onyeka Okongwu 10+ Points

Speaking of Okongwu, I see some value here in targeting his point total given he's one of the few on this Atlanta team uniquely fitted to find a way through one of the best defenses in the league of late in just about every shooting zone.

The Clippers sit 21st in defending the corner 3 this season and 28th in the last two weeks with over 48% of their opponents' shots falling.

  • Okongwu has taken 15% of his shots from the corner this year, which puts him in the top 33% of all bigs, and that could be the boost he needs to get across the line on this prop.

The USC prospect has averaged over 11 points this season, and while he's hit this number in three of five he's also been playing more minutes in his last two games.

On the second night of a back-to-back, I expect more run -- and at least one 3-pointer -- which should make this number incredibly attainable especially after he matched a season high with 12 attempts last night, a number he hasn't hit since the first week of November.

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