Sports Reporter | Capper
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The LA Clippers have lost two consecutive games to some formidable teams in the Western Conference, but things could quickly turn around on Saturday as they not only take on one of the more troubled teams in the East but look forward to the return of Kawhi Leonard.
The star wing isn't a guarantee to play in this one, and oddsmakers don't seem to be expecting him back either. Regardless, we should be able to use the recent trends to pick out a couple of sneaky spots in the NBA Player Props market to profit here.
Let's build a same-game parlay for Hawks vs Clippers on Saturday, January 4 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.
DraftKings NBA Odds for Hawks vs Clippers SGP: +500
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The last month of the season has been awfully different for James Harden, who began his campaign averaging a double-double. He's begun to trust his shot a bit more with assists falling by the wayside, and Saturday he'll meet a generous defense which should help him continue scoring at will.
Given Atlanta has given up plenty of open looks from outside, Harden should be tempted to take advantage as the player who's shot the 3 at the highest clip on this team, and making matters even more palatable is the fact that he's gone for 24 a game in his last seven.
Mix in some tired legs for an already poor defender in Trae Young, and Harden should light it up from outside and draw plenty of fouls as Young finds himself out of position.
The Atlanta Hawks will be at a huge disadvantage on the glass against a Clippers team that sits eighth in rebounding rate.
That should mean Jones is one of the beneficiaries here, particularly with Clint Capela, the strongest rebounder on the Hawks, locked up with Ivica Zubac down low.
The Hawks have allowed rebounds to opposing forwards at one of the highest clips in the NBA, and things should remain the same here with Onyeka Okongwu focusing his efforts around the arc on both sides of the floor in a matchup with Jones.
Speaking of Okongwu, I see some value here in targeting his point total given he's one of the few on this Atlanta team uniquely fitted to find a way through one of the best defenses in the league of late in just about every shooting zone.
The Clippers sit 21st in defending the corner 3 this season and 28th in the last two weeks with over 48% of their opponents' shots falling.
The USC prospect has averaged over 11 points this season, and while he's hit this number in three of five he's also been playing more minutes in his last two games.
On the second night of a back-to-back, I expect more run -- and at least one 3-pointer -- which should make this number incredibly attainable especially after he matched a season high with 12 attempts last night, a number he hasn't hit since the first week of November.
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