
The Golden State Warriors will take center stage on Thursday night as they wrap up the night's slate and look for a sixth straight win in a nationally-televised clash with the Sacramento Kings.
(Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
Both offenses remain strong as we approach the middle of March, but Sacramento's defense should allow for two of Golden State's stars to make their way into this contest.
Let's build a same-game parlay for Kings vs Warriors on Thursday, March 13 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.
DraftKings NBA Odds for Kings vs Warriors SGP: +500
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Stephen Curry has been on a stellar run this month, averaging 29 points over six games, and now he'll be greeted by a friendly defense which should allow him to devastate with his shooting.
While I'd like to go for his 3-point total, we'll get a better deal on his points -- and there's little reason not to take it. Curry has taken just under eight free throws per game in his last seven, missing a total of just two, and Sacramento has allowed the fifth-most free throw attempts per 100 possessions this month.
Considering the Kings have also allowed the bulk of their opponents' looks to come from the mid-range as well, I think the safer option is backing Curry to keep up his scoring and notch 27 points for a sixth time in eight games.
It's not just free throws which the Kings have given away in bunches -- they've also ranked just outside the top 10 in assists allowed per 100 possessions.
This should be game which the fast-paced Warriors control, heading up against a beaten-down Kings defense, and with that Sacramento should be forced to quicken the pace as they look to rely on their offense. That should mean plenty of possessions, and plenty of chances for Green to get home on this number.
Green has led the Warriors with 7.8 assists per game this month, hitting this mark every time, and in their last meeting with the Kings he racked up nine assists. I expect a big night.
We'll wrap this one up with the likeliest source of unexpected scoring here and take advantage of a generous line on Keegan Murray.
That's a tough read for anyone targeting a Kings scorer, for this team takes a blasphemous number of shots from the mid-range, so that's why I'm looking to Murray -- who can score both at the rim and from outside. It's also a good idea to go with the big because Golden State's allowed the majority of its shots to com at the rim and just beyond the restricted area this month.
Murray has ranked in the top 4% of all forwards in field goal percentage at the rim with solid numbers in he mid-range, and he also hasn't shied away from shooting the 3 like many of his teammates.
That should all mean he's a threat to score the ball here, and while he's hit this number just twice in the last four games he's done it in seven of his last 10 -- including the last time these teams met.
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