Sports Reporter | Capper
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The Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors will come in on the second night of a back-to-back this Saturday night, and after a pair of losses these teams who are all too familiar with each other should have it all to play for.
We'll once again highlight Kevin Durant as Phoenix expects Devin Booker to sit out another game, and see what we can find wrong with the Suns among a brutal stretch this month.
Let's build a same-game parlay for Suns vs Warriors on Saturday, December 28 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.
DraftKings NBA Odds for Suns vs Warriors SGP: +435
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Once again, we're going back to the well with Kevin Durant with the Suns missing Devin Booker yet again. He's seen an incredible six-point bump in Usage Rate without Booker on the floor this season to lead all Suns by a wide margin, and in the last four games without him Durant is averaging 32 points.
It seems that the schedule has broken right for Durant, too, as he'll meet yet another team which has struggled to defend his favorite spot on the floor. The wing has once again sat right near the top of the league in shooting frequency in the mid-range, and Golden State is defending these shots at the second-worst clip this season and the seventh-worst this month.
While Durant has only hit the 30-point threshold in two of his four games without Booker, his volume hasn't been a question and the matchup should treat him right here.
Much like their opponents, the Suns have also struggled to defend in the mid-range.
Schroder has taken a whopping 82% of his shots from 3 or the mid-range in five games with the Warriors, sitting third in mid-range shooting frequency according to Cleaning the Glass, and this is something that should help him finally find the breakout performance on offense that he's been desperate for.
The minutes haven't been overwhelming, but the good news is that Schroder has seemed to grow more comfortable in this offense with at least 10 shots in his last two games. He's only shot 28% from the field with his new team, but with how many open jumpers the Suns are granting this should be the easiest spot for a turnaround.
One of the most troubling trends we've seen emerge for Phoenix has come on the glass, where it's done a good job all season long but has fallen back in the month of December.
That's where Trayce Jackson-Davis should come in, working as the top dog on the offensive glass for Golden State with nearly a 10% rebounding rate on these chances. He's already hit this mark in four straight games, and with the additional help on the offensive boards he should be able to push for a double-double here.
Jackson-Davis is coming off a season-high six offensive rebounds against the Clippers and has been seeing more time over the last four games than ever before this season.
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