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NBA Player Props Tonight for Suns vs Warriors: Kevin Durant Headlines My +435 SGP (Dec 28)

Publish Date: 12/28/2024
Fact checked by: Allan Howe

The Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors will come in on the second night of a back-to-back this Saturday night, and after a pair of losses these teams who are all too familiar with each other should have it all to play for.

(Photo by Bart Young/NBAE via Getty Images)

We'll once again highlight Kevin Durant as Phoenix expects Devin Booker to sit out another game, and see what we can find wrong with the Suns among a brutal stretch this month.

Let's build a same-game parlay for Suns vs Warriors on Saturday, December 28 and lay out a few props that will work well as standalone straight bets as well.

NBA Parlay Predictions for Suns vs Warriors

DraftKings NBA Odds for Suns vs Warriors SGP: +435

  • Kevin Durant 30+ Points
  • Dennis Schroder 10+ Points
  • Trayce Jackson-Davis 8+ Rebounds

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Kevin Durant 30+ Points

Once again, we're going back to the well with Kevin Durant with the Suns missing Devin Booker yet again. He's seen an incredible six-point bump in Usage Rate without Booker on the floor this season to lead all Suns by a wide margin, and in the last four games without him Durant is averaging 32 points.

  • Durant averaged over 30 per game without Booker last season, and his numbers this season could easily be gaudier given he's taken almost 22 shots per game and had a brutal night from the field against Denver on Christmas Day.

It seems that the schedule has broken right for Durant, too, as he'll meet yet another team which has struggled to defend his favorite spot on the floor. The wing has once again sat right near the top of the league in shooting frequency in the mid-range, and Golden State is defending these shots at the second-worst clip this season and the seventh-worst this month.

While Durant has only hit the 30-point threshold in two of his four games without Booker, his volume hasn't been a question and the matchup should treat him right here.

Dennis Schroder 10+ Points

Much like their opponents, the Suns have also struggled to defend in the mid-range.

  • Now, it's not as if Phoenix has looked competent in any shooting zone, but it's certainly worth keying in on this trend given most of Golden State's scorers are very pricy in this matchup against a team that's also struggled to defend the 3.

Schroder has taken a whopping 82% of his shots from 3 or the mid-range in five games with the Warriors, sitting third in mid-range shooting frequency according to Cleaning the Glass, and this is something that should help him finally find the breakout performance on offense that he's been desperate for.

The minutes haven't been overwhelming, but the good news is that Schroder has seemed to grow more comfortable in this offense with at least 10 shots in his last two games. He's only shot 28% from the field with his new team, but with how many open jumpers the Suns are granting this should be the easiest spot for a turnaround.

Trayce Jackson-Davis 8+ Rebounds

One of the most troubling trends we've seen emerge for Phoenix has come on the glass, where it's done a good job all season long but has fallen back in the month of December.

  • The Suns are ranked third in rebounding rate on the defensive glass this season, but just 22nd this month.

That's where Trayce Jackson-Davis should come in, working as the top dog on the offensive glass for Golden State with nearly a 10% rebounding rate on these chances. He's already hit this mark in four straight games, and with the additional help on the offensive boards he should be able to push for a double-double here.

Jackson-Davis is coming off a season-high six offensive rebounds against the Clippers and has been seeing more time over the last four games than ever before this season.

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