
NBA is back, and it's Game 5 between the Boston Celtics (1-3) and the New York Knicks (3-1)!
(Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images)
Things look bleak in Boston after Jayson Tatum suffered a torn Achilles in Game 4. While the Celtics held the lead for quite some time, the Knicks came roaring back in the second half.
The series heads back to Beantown, and this is a must win game for the Celtics. 4.5 point favorites, can they survive on their home court?
On the other side of the coin, the Knicks have proven they belong and overcame three straight 20+ deficits against the Celtics in this series. Backed by Jalen Brunson, New York has an opportunity to close out the series tonight on the road.
With -620 odds to win the series, the Knicks have the second best odds in the NBA to win the Finals at +490.
Buckle up bettors, this will be a showdown tonight!
If you're looking to bet on Game 5 between the Knicks and Celtics, welcome! As the playoffs progress, betting has become extremely difficult. With that said, I've placed all my picks as straight bets on FanDuel.
With tip-off set for 7 p.m. ET, the Knicks and Celtics matchup will air on TNT, truTV, and Max.
In this article, you will find my three best player prop bets and bets predictions for the May 14 showdown between the New York Knicks and Boston Celtics!
MONEYLINE
SPREAD
OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)
PPG: 30.1 | FG: 43.5 % | FT: 81.5 % | 3PT: 36.7 % | REB: 4.0 | AST: 8.0 | STL: 0.5 | BLK: 0.3
My first best bet for tonight I placed one unit on Knicks star Jalen Brunson to record over 2.5 made threes tonight vs the Celtics.
There's no doubt Boston's defense disrupted Brunson's shooting throughout the series. None the less, he's averaged a respectable 28 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 7.8 assists through four games. In addition, he's shooting 41.2 percent from beyond the arc.
The NBA's Clutch Player of the Year, I've learned never to count out Brunson, especially in the final minutes of a game. Coming off 39 points, Brunson was a vital reason why the third quarter saved the Knicks.
Sure, the Celtics have two-way backcourt players in Derrick White and Jrue Holiday, but that hasn't stopped Brunson.
Despite missing a historic 45 3-pointers, the Celtics will continue to shoot a ton of deep balls, even when facing elimination tonight. There won't be a Jayson Tatum sighting on the floor, but we saw the shootout between Tatum and Brunson last game.
Tatum or not, the Knicks will simply have to make their shots beyond the arc to match the Celtics.
I have full confidence the Celtics have the talent to make this a competitive matchup, and the Knicks wish to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals for the first time since the 1999-2000 season.
Whether Holiday or Jalen Brown guards Brunson, he's had 16 3-point attempts and seven 3-pointers made over the last two matchups. With 8.5 3-point attempts in this series, Brunson remains the Knicks leading scorer.
Recording 5, 2, 3, and 4 3-pointers in this series, how can I fade this prop?
The Knicks strategy worked last game, taking far less threes than the Celtics overall, but bullying them inside the paint. This may be true again, however, Brunson should have no problem recording three trey balls.
Considered one of the more premier shot creators in the league, Brunson hasn't dipped below 8.0 3-point attempts in this series. In fact, he soared over this line in 3/6 games against the Pistons in the first-round.
PPG: 8.9 | FG: 33.3 % | FT: 70.7 % | 3PT: 13.6 % | REB: 5.0 | AST: 0.9 | STL: 1.1 | BLK: 0.8
My second best bet for tonight, I placed one unit on Celtics center Kristaps Porzingis to record over 6.5 rebounds against the Knicks.
It's evident Porzingis hasn't been healthy post virus since March, and it's shown on the court. In the playoffs, he's averaged just 8.9 points on 13.6 3-point percentage shooting.
Joe Mazzulla has no choice but to start Al Horford and Kristaps Porzingis tonight. Averaging just 17.5 minutes in four games, Porzingis logged a series high 24 minutes in Game 4. In a must win situation, I'm expecting Porzingis to play heftier minutes.
That said, wingman Sam Hauser is expected back off a busted ankle. However, the question remains how much he can contribute?
This very well be Porzingis's last game in a Celtics uniform, and I'm not expecting him to explode for 30+ points. Even with Tatum, he's recorded four rebounds in each game this series. Without Tatum, his absence leaves a huge gap on the glass for the Celtics.
I do believe how much Porzingis and Karl-Anthony Towns are willing to stretch the floor will affect this prop. With that said, the Knicks rank No. 12 on the rebounds in the playoffs (44.6), but have stayed even-keeled with the Celtics on the boards.
Of course more at full health, Porzingis averaged 7.9 rebounds in 10 games without Tatum, and that includes the playoffs. Yet to break the four rebound barrier in this series, it won't be an easy task against KAT and Mitchell Robinson.
Given Porzingis is averaging 4.0 rebounds with limited minutes on the court, I expect that number to increase with minutes on the floor.
He's greatly struggled, which is uncharacteristic for the "Unicorn." However, his minutes have been steadily increasing in this series.
PPG: 18.3 | FG: 46.7 % | FT: 88 % | 3PT: 37.3 % | REB: 5.8 | AST: 3.9 | STL: 0.7 | BLK: 1.0
My last bet for tonight, I placed one unit on Celtics guard Derrick White to record over 23.5 points and rebounds vs the Knicks.
The Celtics third leading scorer with 18.3 points per game in the playoffs, White has emerged as a leading threat for Boston against the Knicks.
Every time I look around, it's White who's draining a three in transition. Coming off 23 points and and 3 rebounds, it was White who hit 6-11 from downtown.
The Celtics will need White to continue that energy if they have any hopes of staying alive. It's no secret without Tatum, Jaylen Brown and Kristaps Porzingis are not at full strength.
I love this player prop for a few reasons. White has scored 20+ points in two occasions alone, and is averaging 19.8 points in the series!
White is durable and has emerged as one of the most trusted players for Mazzulla. Through four games vs the Knicks, he hasn't logged under 40 minutes. In fact, he's coming off 44 minutes played in Game 4!
Aside from Knicks guard Josh Hart, Derrick White is one of the best rebounding guards in the NBA. He's a gritty player who makes the hustle plays and even lost a tooth last season.
Averaging seven rebounds in the series, White should see an increase in production with Tatum out for the playoffs.
Jaylen Brown has struggled greatly, and there's no player I trust more in a must win scenario at home than Derrick White. All season long, the Knicks struggled to contain point guards, giving up the second most points at that position.
I personally feel this line is too set too low, given White has soared over in three of the last four WITH Tatum on the floor. Averaging 26.75 points and rebounds in the series, I expect a majority of this prop to come from points alone.
I expect White to leave it all on the table tonight, scoring every where on the court. Always chasing the rebounds, he ranks No.2 on the Celtics with 2.3 offensive rebounds alone!
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