
The NBA Playoffs are officially here, and it's time to lock in!
(Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)
With four games on the Saturday NBA slate, I have plenty of value bets! In the Eastern Conference, the Bucks and Pacers meet once again in the postseason. Damian Lillard has been cleared for basketball duties, however, he will remain out. Can the Pacers capitalize as six-point favorites at home?
It's been five years since the Pistons made the playoffs, and they are coming off a historically terrible 14-68 season. They will face the New York Knicks in a best-of-five-game series as massive underdogs.
It's fate the Lakers and Timberwolves face off in the playoffs. Get your popcorn out, the betting world is in for a real treat. The Ant Man vs Luka Doncic and LeBron James is the matchup we all want to see. With the series split 2-2, the Lakers are four point spread favorites at home.
Last, the Nuggets and Clippers will battle in the playoffs for the first head-to-head series matchup since the 2019-2020 season. With the series split 2-2, is this the year Kawhi Leonard and James Harden get a ring?
TEAM VS TEAM | MONEYLINE | SPREAD | TOTALS |
---|---|---|---|
Pistons vs Knicks | +230 / -295 | +7.5 / -7.5 | O/U 220.5 |
Bucks vs Pacers | +185 / -225 | +5.5 / -5.5 | O/U 225.5 |
Clippers vs Nuggets | +115 / -140 | +2.5 / -2.5 | O/U 224.5 |
Timberwolves vs Lakers | +154 / -190 | +4.5 / -4.5 | O/U 216.5 |
Yesterday I completed a full 3-0 sweep, and I'm looking to grow on that momentum today! Up nearly 10 units in the NBA in April, let's stay sizzling! If you've been tailing all season long, welcome back!
I aways preach responsible betting, especially since the NBA playoffs are unpredictable!
If you are looking to bet on the NBA playoffs, the first matchup featuring the Bucks and Pacers will tip-off at 1 p.m. ET. The night will conclude with a late night 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off between the Timberwolves and Lakers.
Let's break down my three best bets and player prop picks for the Saturday, April 19 NBA playoffs!
Are you looking to bet on NBA player props all playoffs long? Here at Ballislife Bets, we've gathered a complete list of the best sports betting offers here.
PPG: 30.4 | FG: 60.1 % | FT: 61.7 % | 3PT : 22.2 % | REB: 11.9 | AST: 6.5 | STL: 0.9 | BLK: 1.2
My first best bet of the NBA playoffs, I placed one unit on Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo to record over 31.5 points today against the Indiana Pacers.
The Bucks are attempting to move out of the first round of the NBA playoffs since the 2021-2022 season. With Damian Lillard out for today's matchup, all eyes will be on Antetokounmpo.
Last year, the Bucks conceded to the Pacers 4-2, and the Bucks need Antetokounmpo more than ever to step up.
Historically, Antetokounmpo loves to hoop against the Pacers. In fact, he's had some of his most memorable outings against the Pacers. One being a career-high 64-point performance back in 2023.
There aren't any secrets in this matchup, both teams are extremely familiar with each other. The question remains, can Myles Turner and Pascal Siakam truly stop Antetokounmpo?
Mind you, Antetokounmpo has such success, having the luxury of Lillard in the lineup in all four outings. Today will present a challenging task.
Down the stretch, Giannis was electric, averaging 31.5 points and shooting 61.2 percent from the field. Not notable for his 3-point, the "Greek Freak" has attempted more 3-point shots in April than ever.
Similar to Heat star Bam Adebayo, will the 3-ball be the secret x-factor for Antetokounmpo? Probably not, but it helps Milwaukee stretch the floor with Brook Lopez and Bobby Portis Jr.
Down the stretch, Antetokounmpo recorded 35+ points in four of the final six games, and averaged a hefty 36.5 minutes.
In a must win playoff game, I love Antetokounmpo against the Pacers today. The Pacers give up the ninth most points to power forwards, which is prime for Giannis.
I will say, the Pacers have been one of the most proficient teams on offense, which is vastly different story line from prior years. Since the NBA All-Star break, the Pacers rank No. 8 in defensive rating, and No.2 over the last 10 outings (110.1).
Overall, Antetokounmpo has averaged 36.9 points over the last 10 meetings with the Pacers. No.1 in the NBA in free-throw attempts per game (8.5), the Pacers allow the fifth most paint points (51.8), and 22 opponent trips to the charity stripe.
PPG: 16.1 | FG: 45.8 % | FT: 83.1 % | 3PT : 34 % | REB: 5.3 | AST: 1.9 | STL: 0.7 | BLK: 0.3
My second best bet for today, I placed one unit on Pacers guard Bennedict Mathurin to record over 12.5 points against the Bucks.
Starting or not, Mathurin is the Pacers third leading scorer (16.1 PPG) behind Pascal Siakam and Tyrese Haliburton for a reason. Fourth on the Pacers in minutes per game (29.8), someone tell me how the books value him for 12.5 points.
No.3 in field goal attempts per game (11.8), Mathurin has regressed slightly from deep in his third season. And I get he's been asleep at the wheel, shooting just 13 percent from 3-point over the last 10 games.
Plus, Mathurin has soared over this prop line in three straight games, averaging 16.6 points to close out the season.
Mathurin isn't an ordinary role player for the Pacers. he's an x-factor for their success, especially off the bench. The Pacers have one of the deepest rosters in the NBA, however, Mathurin is set to make his NBA debut. With his season cut short early last year, they didn't have a versatile scoring wing option agains the Bucks.
While we don't know how "Playoff Mathurin" will look in the playoffs, he's been a staple against the Bucks. Through four outings against Milwaukee, he averaged 17 points, while shooting 45.1 percent from the field, and and 52.9 percent from beyond the arc.
If Mathurin can someone find his groove back, he's the 3-point threat the Pacers badly need in this series.
Given Milwaukees strong suit isn't defensive, they allow the 10th most points to shooting guards, and 13th most to forwards. Either way, this player prop bet is too low given his history with Milwaukee.
Here's a stat: Over the past 12 outings against the Bucks, Mathurin has recorded 13+ points in nine of them! That's an average of 18.3 points per game!
PPG: 26.1 | FG: 46.9 % | FT: 84.6 % | 3PT : 35.6 % | REB: 6.1 | AST: 9.1 | STL: 1.0 | BLK: 0.8
My third best bet for today, I'm taking Pistons star Cade Cunningham to record over 1.5 made threes against the New York Knicks.
I've bet on Cunningham a ton in the past, and he's won us coin. Why not run it back? Set to make his playoff debut, Cunningham has been in the discussion for the NBA Most Improved Player award.
I have to say, although the Pistons struggled against top teams down the stretch, Cade was phenomenal.
The Pistons leading scorer with 26.1 points per game, Cunningham doesn't put up a ton of 3-point shots. In fact, it's 6.0 per game to be exact.
Soaring over 2+ made threes in four of the last five games, Cunningham is averaging two deep balls in that span.
I know it's the playoffs, I expect the Knicks and Pistons to be in full-throttle mode. However, let's address the elephant in the room.
The Knicks allowed the fifth highest 3-point percentage among opponents in the NBA (36.7 %), although they allow the fourth fewest three balls. Make that make sense!
Having formed a front court with Jalen Brunson, Mikal Bridges, and Josh Hart, the Knicks play a small guard lineup. However, they still allow the second most points to point guards. Even so, we are talking about a matchup that allows point guards to average over three trey balls per game.
I love everything about this matchup, especially since Cunningham has soared over 2+ made threes in six straight games against the Knicks.
Most recently, Cade erupted for 36 points on 2-5 three-point shooting against the Knicks last week. In four head-to-head outings, he's averaged 13- 25 (52 %) from beyond the arc. That's an average of 6.3 deep ball attempts against them!
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