NBA Betting Picks for Tonight (March 25): Thunder vs Kings Betting Odds and Best Bets

The NBA regular season is less than three weeks from a close, but that doesn't mean we don't have plenty of games to bet on!

 (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

The books have once again blessed bettors with a primetime West Coast matchup featuring the Oklahoma City Thunder (59-12, 28-7 away) and Sacramento Kings (35-36, 18-18 home).

With an NBA best record of 59-12, the Thunder sit No. 1 in the West and don't have much to prove as the season winds down. Now that Oklahoma City has been subject to an NBA investigation for sitting their entire lineup, I veered away from the spread and moneyline.

Regardless, the Thunder continue to cruise, winning six straight and covering the spread in six consecutive games. With or without star players, they boast a +98 point differential over that span. That's an averaging margin of +16.3 points per game!

Conversely, the Kings hold the No. 9 seed in the NBA Play-In Tournament and remain just half a game ahead of the Suns. Even bolstering their roster with trades at the deadline, the Kings have dropped three straight. Massacred by the Boston Celtics last night, the Kings are massive +10 point underdogs tonight at home. Now they get MVP candidate Shai Gilegeous-Alexander and company!

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Odds Are Current As Of March 25 AT 10 A.M. ET

If you're looking to bet and cash out on NBA props, welcome! I am 6-0 in my last six picks and have an 17-11 betting record in March.

Tonight, the west coast matchup between the Thunder and Kings will tip-off at 10:00 p.m. ET. Set to air on TNT and Max, the showdown will take place at Golden 1 Center. With the Thunder 2-0 against the Kings this season, will they redeem win No. 60 on the season?

Placing all wagers as straight bets, let's stay in the green tonight! In this article, you will find my best bets and three betting picks for the tonight's matchup featuring the Oklahoma City Thunder and Sacramento Kings.

NBA Bets: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings FanDuel Betting Odds For March 25

MONEYLINE

• OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER: -430
• SACRAMENTO KINGS: +340

SPREAD

• OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER: -10
• SACRAMENTO KINGS: +10

OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)

• OVER: 231.5 (-110)
• UNDER: 231.5 (-110)

Last Five H2H Matchups: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings

• February 1, 2025: Thunder 144, Kings 110 (OKC -7.5, over 238.5)
• November 25, 2025: Thunder 130, Kings 109 (OKC -3.5, over 225)
• April 9, 2024: Thunder 112, Kings 105 (OKC -5.5, under 227.5)
• February 11, 2024: Thunder 127, Kings 113 (OKC -3.5, P 240)
• December 14, 2023: Kings 128, Thunder 123 (Sacramento -2.5, over 245.5)

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings Injury Report

THUNDER

1. Ousmene Dieng, F: OUT
2. Alex Ducas, G: OUT
3. Chet Holmgren, F: Questionable
4. Ajay Mitchell, G: OUT
5. Jalen Williams, F: Questionable

KINGS

1. Devin Carter, G: Questionable
2. Doug McDermott, F: Questionable
3. Malik Monk, G: Questionable

Player Prop Best Bet #1: Lu Dort

Lu Dort 2024-2025 Season Stats

PPG: 9.9 | FG: 42.7 % | FT: 75 % | 3PT : 39.7 % | REB: 4.2 | AST: 1.6 | STL: 1.1 | BLK: 0.6

• Over 1.5 Made Threes (-180 DraftKings)

My first best bet for tonight, I placed one unit on Thunder guard Lu Dort to record over 1.5 made threes against the Sacramento Kings today.

With five players listed out or questionable for the Thunder, two of those include Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren. For that reason, I've veered away from their player props.

A critical part of the Thunder's success, Dort has taken a leap forward in terms of his efficiency beyond the arc.

• Shooting a career-high 39.7 percent from three, Dort's three-point percentage nearly matches his efficiency from the field! (42.7 %).

With that said, Dort's shot volume hasn't been crazy as of late. More of a defensive presence for the Thunder, you can always find him splashing from the corner. Ranked NBA top 50 in three-pointers made this season (143), Dort is a monumental reason why the Thunder are an elite three-point shooting team.

Overall, the Thunder put up a ton of three pointers per game (38.9), and boast a 37 three-point percentage as a team. Dort, a player who's shooting 44 percent from the right corner three, and 40 percent from the corners, has a prime matchup tonight.

Even after acquiring Zach LaVine at the trade deadline, the Kings weakness is defense, which has been on display all season long. How can a team holding this much talented allow the highest three-point percentage (38.4 %) in the NBA?

• Not to mention, the Kings rank No. 22 in defensive rating since the trade deadline, and give up the eighth most points to opponents in the NBA (115.8).

Lu Dort Is A Certified Bucket From Three-Point Range

Think about this for a moment. The Kings allow the third most three-pointers made with 14.7 per game. Lu Dort ranks No. 3 on the Thunder with 5.7 three-point attempts, and 2.3 trey balls per game. Let's do the math here.

• Sure, the odds are a bit juiced, however there's value in this line. Especially given Dort is shooting 39.7 percent from beyond the arc.

Even if Jalen Williams returns today, he hasn't seen the hardwood since March 10 due to a hip injury. We saw Dort erupt for a season-high 26 points against the Nuggets, in which he shot an impeccable 8-14 (57.1 %) from deep.

Averaging 6.8 three-pointers this month, Dort is shooting a respectable 38.2 percent beyond the arc in March. 1.5 made threes isn't asking a lot, especially for a player who's putting up 10.8 points on 40.5 three-point shooting over the last ten games.

Given Dort has 16 trey balls in the last five games, he's only soared under this player prop just once.

• How can I fade a player who's historically cooked up against the Kings?

Final NBA Best Bet Pick and Prediction: Lu Dort Over 1.5 Made Threes (-180 DraftKings)

Here's a stat that will further strengthen this bet. Lu Dort has recorded 2+ three-pointers in 10 of the last 11 outings vs the Kings. That's an average of 2.7 trey balls per game in that head-to-head span.

Overall, the Kings lack of defense is an issue. As we've seen in recent games, Payton Pritchard and former teammate Kevin Huerter torched Sacramento's defense for five three balls each.

Then again, how can we forget Dort's 20-point, 7-rebound night against the Kings back on February 1? 6-10 from three-point range (60 %), Dort may have taken a back seat to Aaron Wiggins career-night.However, Dort was a robust factor why the Thunder scored 82 first half points.

• I'll take Lu Dort to recored over 1.5 Made Threes tonight. 

Player Prop Best Bet #2: Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray 2024-2025 Season Stats

PPG: 12.3 | FG: 44.1 %| FT: 83.6 % | 3PT : 33.8  % | REB: 6.8 | AST: 1.5 | STL: 0.8 | BLK: 0.9

• Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-112 FanDuel)

My second best bet for today, I placed one unit on Kings forward Keegan Murray to record over 18.5 points and rebounds for -112 odds against the Thunder.

I can hear the Keegan Murray chants now at the Golden 1 Center, which I'm sure will be a common occurrence today. With that said, Murray has undoubtedly regressed in several areas. That includes his three-point and points production.

• Even so, Murray has been a fairly consistent scorer and a beast on the glass for the Kings. In fact, he's averaging a career-high 6.8 rebounds per game.

I'm not aiming for the home run player prop, I'm shooting for the ones that have the best value, and make the most sense. I truly think this is a lock today, and here's why.

On any given night, Keegen Murray is going to produce 10-15 points for the Kings. How can I fade a player prop line this low, Especially for a player who's averaging nearly seven rebounds per game!

Along with his points, Murray's minutes and shot volume has been consistent, which makes a strong case for any player prop.  Averaging 13 points over the last five games, the forward is averaging 7.2 rebounds over that span.

• We saw Murray record nine boards in three of the last five games. Now he gets a Thunder team who may be without big man Chet Holmgren.

Keegan Murray Is An Underrated Rebounder And Consistent Scorer

Even with big man Isaiah Hartenstein, the Thunder allow the eight most rebounds in the NBA with 45.1 per game. And from a rebound perspective, the Thunder allow the ninth most rebounds to power forwards (10.5).

• I'm not saying the Thunder don't have anything to play for, however stakes are high for the Kings. I expect Murray to play a hefty amount of minutes, where he's been extremely effective on the boards against OKC.

Soaring over 10+ rebounds in in six of the last nine games vs the Thunder, Murray is averaging 8.7 boards alone in that head-to-head span. I'm sure you get where I'm going with this, Murray can hit more than half this line from rebounds alone.

If we look at this bet from a points perspective, Murray has scored 10+ points in 10 straight games against the Thunder. Averaging 16.3 points vs OKC over that span, the stats don't lie. The books are sleeping on this line!

We've seen Murray as consistent as they come, scoring 14 a piece in each of the Kings two matchups vs the Thunder.

• I truly feel this points and rebounds line should be much higher, considering Murray is putting up an average of 21.5 points and rebounds this season.

Final NBA Best Bet Pick and Prediction: Keegan Murray Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-112 FanDuel)

Points won't come easy, especially since the Thunder aren't forgiving to forwards. However, he's the fifth leading scorer for the Kings, and third leading rebounder behind Domantas Sabonis and Jonas Valanciunas.

Overall, this is one of my best bets for today. Keegan Murray is an extremely underrated rebounder, in addition to consistent scorer. With 25 shot attempts in two games against the Thunder, this is a must win for the Kings. Averaging 33 points against them this season, expect heavy minutes incoming from Murray.

• One of the best valued and underrated player props, I'll take Keegan Murray to record over 18.5 points and rebounds tonight. 

Player Prop Best Bet #3: Isaiah Hartenstein

Isaiah Hartenstein 2024-2025 Season Stats

PPG: 11.4 | FG: 57.2 % | FT: 66.7 % | 3PT : 0 % | REB: 11.1 | AST: 3.9 | STL: 0.8 | BLK: 1.1

• Over 9.5 Rebounds (-130 DraftKings)

My third best bet and pick for today, I placed one unit on Thunder center Isaiah Hartenstein to record over 9.5 rebounds for -130 odds vs the Kings.

I know I've bet on this player prop previously, however, it's won us coin. With that said, let's keep it rolling today!

With or without former Gonzaga standout Chet Holmgren in the lineup, I still like this player prop, and here's why.

Hartenstein will have to battle tonight, Sabonis and Valanciunas are a tough front court to deal with. With that said, the Kings have been a mid rebounding team, even with the additions to the front court.

The Thunder and Kings remain about the same on the glass, except the Kings allow the seventh least rebounds to opponents per game (42.5).

If Oklahoma City is without Jalen Williams and Holmgren, this opens up the floor for Hartenstein, especially given Sabonis hasn't stretched the floor and been shooting the three-ball as of late. Since the Thunder deploys a smaller three-guard lineup, Hartenstein should feast on the boards tonight.

Without Holmgren in the lineup, Hartenstein has now eclipsed 10+ rebounds in four straight games, averaging 10.5 boards over that span. Even if Chet returns, Hartenstein has totaled 22 rebounds in the last two games alongside him.

Final NBA Best Bet Pick and Prediction: Isaiah Hartenstein over 9.5 Rebounds (-130 DraftKings)

It's hard to say the impact Holmgren will have tonight, especially considering Hartenstein recorded 10 and 15 rebounds without him against the Kings this year. If Holmgren is able to space the floor with Keegan Murray, the paint will be clear for Hartenstein.

Averaging career-highs in points (11.4) and rebounds (11.1) , Hartenstein  has taken a massive leap since coming over from the Knicks. An unexpected surprise, Hartenstein has been an elite rim protector and rebounder for this Thunder team.

• Tonight, I'm taking Isaiah Hartenstein to record over 9.5 rebounds. Especially since centers average nearly 15 rebounds per game against the Sacramento Kings.