The NBA Play-In matchups begin on Tuesday, April 15, but two other games are played on Wednesday, April 16.
These two games feature each conference's No. 9 and No. 10 seed. The winner will play against the loser of the No. 7 versus No. 8 Play-In game for the No. 8 seed.
(Photo by Adam Pantozzi/NBAE via Getty Images)
The Sacramento Kings are the No. 9 seed in the Western Conference, and the Dallas Mavericks are the No. 10 seed.
The Kings will host the matchup; they’re 20-21 at home. The Mavericks are 17-25 on the road.
The Kings are 5-point favorites.
On Sunday, the Kings beat the Phoenix Suns 109-98; the Mavericks lost to the Memphis Grizzlies 132-97.
As for the injury report, the Kings will be without Malik Monk. They may get Jake LaRavia back, though.
The Maverick have several players listed as game-time decisions, including P.J. Washington, Klay Thompson, Dereck Lively II, Anthony Davis, and Brandon Williams. However, all of them are expected to suit up.
Below, you’ll find my NBA Same Game Parlay picks today for this game with odds of +262.
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NBA Same Game Parlay Prediction: Mavericks vs Kings
DraftKings NBA SGP Picks Today: +262
- Mavericks +5
- Anthony Davis 27+ Points
- Anthony Davis 10+ Rebounds
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Mavericks +5
For the first leg of my NBA parlay prediction, I’m going with the Mavericks +5.
I think the Kings will win at home, but the Mavericks, with Anthony Davis in the lineup, have done well.
Yes, it’s a small sample size of just nine games, but the Mavericks are 6-3 in those games.
They won the first four Davis was in the lineup for.
The Kings are 12-16-3 against the spread at home, while the Mavericks are 14-15-1 against the spread as road underdogs.
Both teams are in the bottom third in points per game over their last three, with the Kings at 108.3 and the Mavericks at 106.0.
As for shooting percentage over their last three, the Mavericks have the edge at 49.6% compared to the Kings’ 47.5% mark.
However, the Kings do have an edge from beyond the arc at 39.6%, while the Mavericks are at just 33.0%.
The Kings 39.6% comes amid just 33.7 3-point attempts per game, the fourth-least in the NBA over the last three games. I expect them to launch even more 3-point tries in this one.
Also, I mentioned Davis before, and I expect him to also play a massive role on the boards. Dallas is averaging 53.0 rebounds per game over its last three, while the Kings are at 48.0.
One area where I think the Mavericks can exploit and make this close is the Kings defense against 2-point shots.
They’re allowing teams to shoot 59.1% on those.
That bodes well for a player like Davis, who lives near the rim.
Ultimately, I think the Kings' 3-point shooting prowess will be too much. They have some excellent shooters like De'Aaron Fox, Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, and more.
However, the Mavericks will cover thanks to Davis being in the lineup and exploiting the Kings' defense against 2-point baskets. Also, the Kings are averaging just 93.5 possessions per game over their last three, the lowest in the NBA.
Kings win this one, 110-107.
Anthony Davis 27+ Points
I'm doubling down on Davis for the next two legs in my NBA Same Game Parlay today.
This season, he’s averaging 24.7 points per game (20.0 with the Mavericks).
However, over his last five games, he’s had 27 or more in two of them. He recently had an adductor injury, so he missed Sunday’s game. In his last game, he had 23 points.
Davis has played four games against the Kings this season, but all of them came with the Los Angeles Lakers prior to being traded to the Mavericks for Luka Doncic.
He had 31 points or more in two of them.
In the other two, he had 31 points combined.
His sample size with the Mavericks is quite small, but he’s the key to this offense and, really, the Mavericks having a chance of winning.
As mentioned, the Kings are allowing teams to shoot over 59% on 2-point shots.
Davis has had double-digit 2-point shot attempts in seven of his nine games with the Mavericks, including in each of his last four games.
He’s shooting 51.6% from the floor.
Davis has had success against the Kings this season, albeit while he was on another team. That familiarity, coupled with the Kings' 2-point shot vulnerability, will allow Davis to have a big-time game.
Anthony Davis 10+ Rebounds
Like I said, I’m doubling down on Davis.
This season, he’s averaging 11.6 rebounds per game. He’s had double-digit rebounds in four of his nine games, including three of his last four.
In his last outing, he had 13 rebounds.
Overall this season, including his time with the Lakers, he’s had 10 rebounds in 36 of 51 games (70.5%).
Throughout his career, Davis has been a walking double-double. His time with the Mavericks has been filled with injury, but assuming he’s OK after the adductor injury, he’ll be ready to go for a hopeful playoff run.
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