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It's Friday, and we have a primetime marquee matchup between the Philadelphia 76ers (1-6, 1-3 away) and the Los Angeles Lakers (4-4, 3-0 home). With the worst record in the Eastern Conference, the 76ers have struggled mightily without big man Joel Embiid. With star Tyrese Maxey ruled out with a hamstring injury, Philadelphia finds themselves as +7 point spread underdogs on the road tonight. Looking to bet on a same game parlay? Continue reading below!
Fresh off a four-game skid, can the 76ers stop the bleeding tonight? Trending in the wrong direction, can veterans Kyle Lowry, Kelly Oubre, Paul George, Caleb Martin, and Andre Drummond turn it around? After all, the 76ers are 8-2 SU in their last 10 head-to-head meetings vs the Lakers.
The depth surrounding the 76ers starting five isn't particularly strong. Fortunately for the 76ers, they face a Lakers team, who've dropped two straight against the Grizzlies and Pistons. Stating the Lakers are "two different teams right now," Anthony Davis has now re-aggravated a plantar fasciitis foot injury.
Although having an MVP-caliber season, I've chosen to stay away from Davis props, who's listed as probable. After a blazing 4-1 start, the Lakers are in the bottom of the Western Conference standings. With a -29 point differential over the last two games, the offense has been abysmal outside of LeBron James and Davis.
The late night matchup for tonight, tip-off will begin at 10 p.m. ET. Scheduled to air on ESPN, the Lakers will host the 76ers at crypto.com Arena. If you're looking to bet on the NBA, I've cooked up a +481 parlay on DraftKings for tonight's matchup. A combination of player prop picks, let's take a dive into my best same game parlay for Friday, November 8.
With a NBA betting record of 17-3, I am up over 13 units in the month of November. Let's look to stay hot tonight and cash out!
MONEYLINE
SPREAD
OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)
PPG: 10.7 | FG: 33.8 % | FT: 64.3 % | 3PT : 20 % | REB: 6.6 | AST: 2.7 | STL: 0.6 | BLK: 0.4
My first same game parlay pick for tonight, I bet on 76ers guard Caleb Martin to record 1+ three-pointers made tonight vs the Lakers. Able to find this on DraftKings, I do believe this is one of the strongest legs of the parlay tonight. Signing with the 76ers in free agency, Martin has yet to find his groove and the shooting woes continue. In fact, Martin's 33.8 % from the field, and 20 % from deep are the worst shooting percentages of his career. However, Martin should see increased an increased opportunity to capitalize with Tyrese Maxey out of the lineup.
Overall, asking for one three-pointer isn't a lot. Especially against a Lakers team that allow the 14th most trey ball attempts per game (37.8). Given the Lakers rank 16th against guards, Martin should be able to knock one down. After all, his deep ball percentages may be at a career-low. However, Martin's knocked down at least one deep ball in 4/7 games this season.
If you're tailing my same game parlay picks, this is my favorite bet on the night. While I was able to grab this early, I doubt it will be available as the day goes on. Coming off his best performance of the month, Martin tallied 14 points on 4-10 field goal, and 1-4 shooting from beyond the arc. With over 10 three-point attempts in the last three matchups vs the Clippers, Suns, and Grizzlies, Martin will get another shot at a west coast team.
Although three-point player prop picks are always risky, I've seen Martin as a Celtics killer in person over the years with his three-point shot. A shift and speedy guard, Martin's favorite sport is obviously that three-point corner. Luckily for Martin and the 76ers, the Lakers last allowed the Grizzlies to shoot 50 percent beyond the arc. With that said, Ja Morant and Jaylen Wells combined for 7-10 from three-point range.
With this prop, Martin is the fourth leading scorer behind Maxey. Averaging 34 minutes per game for Nick Nurse, we shouldn't see a decrease in Martin's minutes, especially with Maxey unavailable. From here, we should see his shots volume increase, especially during a prime time game. With the player prop line set at .5 threes made, Martin's cleared that for two straight games. If the shots start to fall, expect Martin to more than clear this prop.
This is an uncertain Lakers squad who's recently allowed guards:
to splash from the three-point line.
PPG: 24 | FG: 51.1 % | FT: 78 % | 3PT : 46.8 % | REB: 6.9 | AST: 7.5 | STL: 0.6 | BLK: 0.4
My second player prop pick for my same game parlay, I bet on LeBron James to score 20+ points tonight vs the 76ers. In his 22nd NBA season, what can't James do!? With no signs of slowing down, I truly believe James is reverse aging. Either that, or he's not human. Either way, James is shooting a a career-clip from the three-point line (46.8 %). While free-throws have always been a struggle for James, the Lakers star is shooting the most efficient from the charity stripe (78 %) since the 2008-2009 NBA season.
Coming off a 39 point performance against the Grizzlies on Wednesday, James and Ja Morant certainly had a contentious matchup. However, James once again proved why he's so valuable, especially with Anthony Davis out of the lineup. Speaking of Davis, he's expected to suit up tonight, but just how efficient will he be with a foot injury? This is the exact reason why I took James to score 20+ points. While it could be anyone's night on the Lakers, especially with their depth, James needs to take over. The Lakers are a mess, and it's up to James and Davis to get them on track.
Overall, James does have help aside him. However, Davis, Hayes, and Hachimura are all listed as game-time decisions. Scoring 27.3 % of the Lakers offense over the last two loses, LeBron is averaging 19 shot attempts per game in November. While is production increases when Davis is out, James has totaled 20 points in all but two games this year.
I don't see this as a blowout, especially with the matchup airing on ESPN. At 39 years old, James sure has durability, averaging 35 minutes per game for JJ Redick. With a 1-6 record, the 76ers are one of the bottom teams in defensive rating (116.5). Rankign 17th vs forwards, Philadelphia allowed:
to all record over 20+ points. For James, 3-5 points alone should from from the free-throw line.
Another reason why I love this pick is the Lakers are 5th in terms of paint scoring (54). Given the fact Philly gives up the 7th most paint points in the NBA (53.1), James is one of the best players in driving to the rim (9.8 points in the paint per game).
With the way LeBron is shooting from the field (54 %) and beyond the arc (57.1 %) through the month of November, lay the points with James tonight. With one days rest, James is averaging 25.8 points over the last four games where the Lakers have a break in between games. Playing at an exceptional level, James cleared this line 100 % in the last three head-to-head matchups vs. the 76ers when he plays more than 35 minutes. With a high usage rate (27.5), this is a strong parlay pick.
PPG: 16.5 | FG: 47.8 % | FT: 88.9 % | 3PT : 30 % | REB: 6.0 | AST: 3.0 | STL: 2.0 | BLK: 0.5
The third pick for my same game parlay, I bet on 76ers star Paul George to record over 28.5 points and rebounds. I know this is asking a lot of George, who's only played 2 games with his new team. Averaging 16.5 points with the 76ers, look for George to step up without Maxey and Embiid. If you're a fan of the NBA, who doesn't love to see a solid veteran primetime matchup between LeBron and PG13?
28.5 points and rebounds is a bit high, and I definitely preferred the 27.5 line. However, the 76ers will heavily lean on George for the majority of the scoring tonight alone. Failing to score over 20 points this season, George is coming off 25 and 20 points and rebounds vs the Clippers and Suns. Given the Lakers have the 3rd worst defensive rating in the NBA (118.8), PG13 should have a much easier matchup tonight.
There's no doubt the 76ers have struggled offensively, failing to put up a ton of points on the year. With George here to save the day, he faces a Lakers squad who's allowed forwards :
to hit well over their prop lines. With Embiid yet to step foot on the court, George has the opportunity to strike big tonight. Especially against a Lakers defense, who allows the 6th most points in the NBA (120 PPG), and the third worst field goal percentage (49.4 %).
Although a bit rusty, Paul George should be the clear cut scoring leader without Embiid and Maxey, and we've seen glimpses of how well he can perform tonight. In his first game of the season, PG13 had 14 field attempts, including seven from the charity stripe. Failing to succeed from the three-point line, I'm confident the veteran will shoot more efficient than 1-7 from deep.
If you're betting on props tonight, the depth chart is extremely thin behind George. Sure, Eric Gordon will get minutes and so should Guerschon Yabusele. Even with Andre Drummond at the five, we've seen George pull down a combined 12 boards in his first two games. Not expecting Anthony Davis to be at full strength, the Lakers allow 43 opponent rebounds per game.
If you're tailing my same game parlay, look for Paul George to come up big tonight and carry this team on his back. If his shooting percentages improve, I do believe this prop line is too low, and could possibly hit the 25+ point mark alone. Although Kyle Lowry is expected to increase his usage with facilitating, luckily George should benefit off ball.
PPG: 8.4 | FG: 52.9 % | FT: 72.6 % | 3PT : 53.6 % | REB: 2.3 | AST: 3.4 | STL: 1.4 | BLK: 0.3
The last pick of my same game parlay, I bet on 76ers veteran guard Kyle Lowry to record over 4.5 assists tonight. Mentioned previously, there's no doubt Lowry should have an increased usage rate, running point with Maxey out. Averaging 3.4 dimes on the season, I firmly believe this prop line is set too low in lieu of Maxey's absence.
Averaging 4.0 assists through the month of November, there's little room for Lowry and the 76ers. Meaning, when facilitating, this prop is contingent on shooting percentages. For this reason, it's a slightly risky play. Especially since Lowry has recorded 5+ assists in just two games this season. As for the matchup with the Lakers, their front court isn't strong defensively, and they don't shut down passing lanes.
Allowing the 6th most assists per games:
Giving up the 24th most assists to guards, I see Lowry soaring over the prop and then some. Even with key injuries on the 76ers, those should propel both Kelly Oubre and Paul George's usage on the defensive end.
With Maxey out of the lineup, look for Lowry to be the one and only primary ball handler tonight. Although injuries are devastating, from a props perspective, Lowry's cleared this line in three of the last five games without Maxey.
It's evident the Lakers haven't been able to stop guards from dishing the ball this season.There's no one I trust more handling the ball than a true veteran.
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