Key Points
- In this article, Sara shares her +575 no sweat DraftKings parlay for the Bucks vs Celtics matchup
It's Friday, and we have a primetime Eastern Conference showdown between the Milwaukee Bucks (11-10, 3-6 away) and the
Boston Celtics (18-4, 9-2).
(Photo by Gary Dineen/NBAE via Getty Images).
The Celtics sit no. 2 in the East, with a 6.5 game cushion over the Bucks, who remain no. 5 overall in the conference standings. 8-2 in their last ten games, the Bucks have been sizzling down the stretch. Tonight, they get Khris Middleton back, who will make his season debut after bilateral ankle surgeries. While Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard have carried the team on their backs, the big three is finally back in motion.
9-1 in their last ten outings, the Celtics have been on cruise control. Coming off a 130-120 victory over the Pistons, Boston has six double-digit victories in that span. With a next-man-up mentality, the Celtics are getting the dubs, and they've dominated around injuries.
With a semi-healthy starting five coming together in four of the last ten matchups, Boston's survived without some of their top stars on a nightly basis. Bettors can largely thank Sam Hauser, Payton Pritchard, and even Neemias Queta for filling some big shoes. Speaking of Pritchard, he's my current choice for the Sixth Man of the Year award.
Even with the return of Middleton, the
Bucks
find themselves as +8 point spread underdogs on the road. With Porzingis and Horford likely to split the center duties this weekend, Jayson Tatum is still listed as questionable. With the Celtics 3-1 straight up vs the Bucks over their last three outings, Boston has covered two straight large favorable spreads.
Upon the news of Middleton's return, It's unclear if the star will receive minute restrictions tonight. For that reason, I've veered away from Middleton player prop bets.
My Three-Leg +575 DraftKings Same Game Parlay Picks For The Bucks vs Celtics Matchup
Slated to tip-off at 7:30 p.m. ET, the Celtics will host the Bucks at the TD Garden. Set to air on ESPN, this is my top matchup of the night. If you're looking to bet on the NBA, I've cooked up a +575 no sweat parlay on
DraftKings.
Given this is a no sweat, I've bet on some home run plays. In this article, you'll find my analysis and justifications for my same-game parlay bets.
With a NBA betting record of 15-15, I'm looking to build off my September and October success. Since this is a no sweat bet, I've placed one unit on my parlay. Since two of the three legs are long shots at plus money, I recommended using a no sweat if available, or placing 2-3 % of you bankroll.
Before we dive into my spicy same-game parlay, let's look at the current odds for the December 6 Bucks vs Celtics matchup tonight.
NBA Matchup: Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics DraftKings Odds For December 6
MONEYLINE
- MILWAUKEE BUCKS: +260
- BOSTON CELTICS: -325
SPREAD
- MILWAUKEE BUCKS: +8 (-112)
- BOSTON CELTICS: -8 (-108)
OVER/UNDER (TOTAL)
- OVER: 227.5 (-108)
- UNDER: 227.5 (-112)
Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics
Injury Report
BUCKS
- MarJon Beauchamp, F: Questionable (Knee)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo, F: Questionable (Knee)
CELTICS
- Al Horford, C: Questionable (Toe)
- Kristaps Porzingis, C: Questionable (Injury Management)
- Jayson Tatum, F: Questionable (Knee)
2024-2024 NBA Head-to-Head Stats:
Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics
- November 10, 2024: Celtics 113, Bucks 107 (Boston -5. under 230.5)
- October 28, 2024: Celtics 119, Bucks 108 (Boston -9, under 232)
NBA Parlay Picks And Predictions For December 6: Bucks vs Celtics
Same Game Parlay (SGP): +575 at DraftKings
- Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 5.5 Assists (+100)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo Double-Double (-360)
- Jrue Holiday 3+ Three Pointers Made (+205)
Jrue Holiday 3+ Three-Pointers Made
2024-2025 NBA Stats
PPG: 11.7 | FG: 44.7 % | FT: 90.9 % | 3PT: 33.3 % | REB: 4.2 | AST: 3.9 | STL: 0.8 | BLK: 0.3
My first leg of my same game parlay, I bet on Celtics guard
Jrue Holiday
to record 3+ three-pointers made tonight vs the Bucks. Holiday is back in the lineup after missing the last two outings with a knee injury. Even before the injury, Holiday hasn't exactly been on a heater. With three trey balls in the last four games, I love this player prop bet for several matchup reasons.
Off the bat, bettors know the Celtics have a ton of talent, and anyone can take over on any given night. Tatum, Brown, Porzingis, White, Holiday, and even Payton Pritchard.
- However, take away the last four games, Holiday has recorded 3+ deep shots in six games so far this season. For a plus money parlay leg, we'll ride with it tonight.
Even with the emergence of Pritchard off the bench, Holiday is still playing hefty minutes for Joe Mazzulla (31.2). While it's unclear if Holiday will be under a minute restriction, he'll be coming off five days rest.
Overall, the Bucks are middle of the road defensively, ranking no. 12 in defensive rating (112.4). An upgrade from last season, Milwaukee still very much struggles defending the perimeter. With opponents shooting 38 % from beyond the arc, that's a problem. In addition, the Bucks allow 38 three-point attempts per game.
We are talking about a Celtics team that attempts the most deep balls per game with 51 attempts. Leading the entire league with 19 three pointers, there's certainly an opportunity for Holiday to get his share tonight.
Is Jrue Holiday Still Fired Up After Being Traded From The Bucks?
Sure Holiday doesn't lead the Celtics in three-pointers made. Averaging 5.1 attempts on 33 % doesn't quite add up. However, let's not forget the backstory to this rivalry. After all, just a year ago Jrue Holiday was shipped to the Celtics after the Bucks acquired Damian Lillard. After all this time, I'd like to think there's some fire in Holiday every time these two squads matchup.
If you're betting on the Bucks vs Celtics matchup, there's one aspect to know. Holiday often takes the task of switching on Giannis on the defensive end. Often finding the mismatch on offense, we've seen Holiday shoot 2-5 from downtown against Antetokounmpo this season.
Holiday Has Lit It Up From Three In Two Games vs Bucks This Season
While Lillard has mainly kept Holiday in check, he's lit it up beyond the arc against centers. If Holiday can somehow find his spot in the corner, or score in transition, he's 2-2 from downtown vs Brook Lopez. He's even had success, shooting 1-2 vs Bobby Portis this year.
Overall, I know this leg may be a long shot, especially how poorly Holiday has shot the rock from deep. However, we can't ignore Holiday's numbers vs the Bucks this season. Averaging 18 points in two games, Holiday is shooting 46.7 % from deep, on a combined 15 three-point attempts.
- If Porzingis is unable to suit up tonight, I love this prop even more.Making a combined seven trey balls, Holiday hasn't gone under this prop line this season against Milwaukee yet.
While all five starters have achieved points in double figures in both outings, I don't expect any less tonight.
The Bucks Are Terrible Defensively Against Guards
Averaging 3.1 trey ball attempts a game off catch and shoot threes, 53.6 % of Holiday's shots are three-pointers. I like this prop for my parlay, especially since the Bucks allow the 2nd most three-pointers to guards. Over the last three weeks, we've seen various guards around the NBA soar over this prop line:
- Bogdan Bogdanovic (3)
- Cade Cunningham (3)
- Jordan Poole (3)
- Terry Rozier (3)
- LaMelo Ball (6)
- Tyrese Haliburton (4)
- Zach LaVine (4)
- Fred VanVleet (3)
- Josh Green (3)
- Malik Beasley (8)
Bucks vs Celtics same game parlay pick #1: Jrue Holiday 3+ Three-Pointers Made
- As you can see, the Bucks have been less than stellar defending guards. While there's always the chance Derrick White or Payton Pritchard could go off,
I'll take Jrue Holiday for 3+ three-pointers made tonight. The matchup is simply too flattering.
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 5.5 Assists
2024-2025 NBA Stats
PPG: 32.6 | FG: 61.6 % | FT: 66.1 % | 3PT : 28.6 % | REB: 11.6 | AST: 6.6 | STL: 0.67| BLK: 1.4
My second and third legs of my parlay are all about the "Greek freak," To finish off my +575 same-game parlay, I bet on
Giannis Antetokounmpo
to record over 5.5 Assists (+100), and a double-double (-360). Normally I don't double up on players. However, Giannis is having another MVP caliber season.
For plus money, I like Antetokounmpo to tally over 5.5 assists, and here's why. Averaging 6.6 dimes on the season, this prop line is set too low. For what it's worth, the Bucks are set to play the Celtics who allow the 6th least assists per game (24.6). However, with Middleton's return imminent, this gives Giannis more scoring options on the offensive end.
- Recording three triple doubles on the season, Giannis is having a career-year assists (6.6) and points wise (32.6). The main catalyst for this Bucks offense, the rock must flow through the big man.
Will The Return Of Khris Middleton Affect This Prop Line?
Tallying over 5.5 assists in 5/6 games, we've seen Giannis dish out nearly back-to-back 11 dimes vs the Wizards and Pacers. With his usage rate higher than last season, Antetokounmpo's 37.2 % assist rate is the highest of his career.
Even at his size, we often see Giannis take the ball up the court. With incredible vision, you'll often see Antetokounmpo give up the rock at the top of the perimeter or even find teammates in the corner. Pick and rolls, pick and pops, Giannis has a ton of talent around him. Thanks to Lillard and Taureen Prince's absurd percentage from downtown (55.6 %), Middleton will only add value.
Overall, I do believe the Bucks star will soar over this line tonight. Although coming off 5 assists, Milwaukee is fresh off one days rest. Recording 6+ assists in last 6/9 games, tonight will certainly be a challenge. It's hard to compare Giannis to other centers. In reality, he can move the rock and control the offense like no other. With Evan Mobley the only big man to achieve 6 assist in the last two weeks, it's attainable.
Bucks vs Celtics same game parlay pick #2: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 5.5 Assists
We saw Giannis record 5 assists in the November 10 matchup vs the Celtics, and 6 the matchup prior in late October. Given the incredible odds, he's averaging 11.8 potential assists on the season. To make this prop even more enticing, Antetokounmpo is averaging 12.8 potential dimes over the last ten games!
- The second leg for my same game parlay,
I'll take Giannis Antetokounmpo to record over 5.5 assists. With 20 assists over the last two road games, expect this to soar over tonight.
Giannis Antetokounmpo To Record A Double-Double
My last leg of my same game parlay, I bet on Giannis Antetokounmpo to record a double double vs the Celtics. Extremely likely this pop will sizzle over, Giannis's 16 double doubles ranks third in the NBA. Again, having a caliber season, Antetokounmpo is averaging 30+ points and 11+ rebounds per game.
Even upon Middleton's season debut, the forward shouldn't affect this prop in a negative way. Dating back to last season, Giannis recorded a double-double 81 % of games with Middleton on the court. With the Bucks putting up 43.1 rebounds per game, they face a Celtics team that's been a little forgiving on the boards. A lot of that has to do with the absence of Kristaps Porzingis. Even if Horford and Porzingis somehow both manage to suit up tonight, Antetokounmpo has record a double-double against them.
- For a player that's averaging 36.5 points and 11.5 rebounds in two games vs the Celtics, it's safe to say I'm confident in this prop.
Not only player on the Celtics has the size and strength to stop Giannis, which has been the trend. Averaging exactly 30 points and 10 rebounds at the TD Garden this season, Giannis is often flirting with triple double numbers as of late.
Missing a double-double due to 28 minutes played vs the Pistons, he's only missed this against the Raptors and Bulls. Nearly playing out of his mind, Giannis defensive rebounding is far more efficient compared to last season (9.5). Given the Celtics allow the 7th most defensive rebounds per game, this makes this prop a strong play. In addition, the Celtics allow the fourth most double-doubles to season.
- After witnessing Cade Cunningham and Jamie Jaquez Jr both tally double-doubles, Nikola Vucevic exploded for 32 points and 11 rebounds.
Bucks vs Celtics same game parlay pick #3: Giannis Antetokounmpo double double
There's no doubt Giannis is going to get his 10+ points. In fact, he's scored over 10 points in all games last season, and this year. Giving up the 13 least rebounds to forwards, Antetokounmpo is coming off a monster 43 point, 13 rebound performance vs Boston. Recording two double double vs the Celtics this season, expect this prop to fly tonight. There's been just one game in the last five meetings where Giannis tallied under 10 rebounds.
- Give me Giannis Antetokounmpo to record a double double.
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