On Monday, April 28, the Miami Heat will host the Cleveland Cavaliers, and this is the best NBA Same Game Parlay today.
Heading into this one, the Cavaliers are up 3-0 in this series. A win tonight will secure the series for the Cavaliers, and they’ll advance to the next round.
Here were the results of the first three games in this series:
- Game 1: Cavaliers 121, Heat 100
- Game 2: Cavaliers 121, Heat 112
- Game 3: Cavaliers 124, Heat 87
As for the injury report, Darius Garland is questionable with a toe injury. He missed Game 3, but there are prop bets posted for him, indicating he’s probably going to suit up.
As for the Heat, Kevin Love and Terry Rozier have been ruled out.
Below, you’ll find my NBA Same Game Parlay picks today for this game with odds of +750.
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NBA Same Game Parlay Prediction: Cavaliers vs Heat
DraftKings NBA SGP Picks Today: +700
- Cavaliers -8.5
- Davion Mitchell Over 12.5 Points
- Kel’el Ware Over 5.5 Points
- Darius Garland 12+ Points
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Cavaliers -8.5
Leading off my NBA parlay predictions is the Cavaliers point spread. While you’d think that, at +8.5 and with their backs against the wall, the Heat would try to snag one game, but to me, this series is over.
The Heat were in a must-win situation in Game 3 and lost by 37 points (124-87).
Over their last three games, the Cavaliers are averaging 122.0 points per game. That’s the most in the NBA over that stretch.
They’re also shooting 50.8% from the floor (first), 43.0% from 3-point range (first), and 58.6% on 2-point shots (first) in that same stretch.
Meanwhile, the Heat averaged just 99.7 points per game over their last three, which is fifth-worst in the NBA.
Interestingly, when given a day of rest, the Cavaliers are 26-22-1 against the spread when they have one day off. Conversely, the Heat are 24-29-1.
I just don’t think the Heat have the firepower to compete, especially if Garland suits back up. That said, again, they lost by nearly 40 when he wasn’t in the lineup.
I’m expecting this game to be a double-digit point loss which has happened in two of the three games already.
The game that fell short was Game 2, in which the Heat lost by nine.
The Cavaliers are the No. 1 seed for a reason. This series is over.
Davion Mitchell Over 12.5 Points
The next leg for my NBA Same Game Parlay today is Mitchell to go over 12.5 points.
He’s stepped up for the Heat in a big way despite the massive losses.
He’s scored 18, 18, and 16 in Games 1 to 3, respectively.
Over the last three games, Mitchell is averaging 17.3 points per game. He had 18 in both Game 1 and Game 2.
He’s been shooting extremely well, too. He’s shooting close to 69% from the floor this series, including 6 of 9 from 3-point range (66.7%).
On 2-point shots, he’s shooting 69.56%.
This production isn’t the result of only shooting, though. He’s averaging 6.67 assists per game this series.
These figures are far better than his season-long average of 7.9 points per game, but he’s been far better with the Heat than he was with Toronto to start the season.
Since coming to the Heat, he’s had 13 points or more in 7 of 30 games. He’s had double-digit points in 18 of 30 games.
That said, I’m riding the hot hand. He’s been excellent during this series.
Kel’el Ware Over 5.5 Points
Of the best parlay bets today in the NBA for this matchup, one of them includes Ware’s over on his points. The line is set at 5.5 points.
Ware is a rookie this season. He’s averaging 9.3 points and 7.4 rebounds per game.
In these first three games, he’s gone over this line in two of three games. He’s averaging just over 19 minutes per game.
The two games he’s gone over this line were the most recent ones.
In Game 3, he shot 3 of 5 from the field, including 2 of 3 on 3-point shots.
In Game 2, he was 3 of 5 from the floor, including 1 of 3 from 3-point range and 2 of 2 on 2-point shots.
The Heat played three games against the Cavaliers during the regular season, but Ware only played in one of them.
In the one game he played, he scored five points despite playing for more than 29 minutes.
He’s shot 58.3% on 3-point shots and 80% on 2-point shots.
Like Mitchell, Ware has been playing well in this series, and this line isn’t something to be afraid of.
Take the over.
Darius Garland 12+ Points
While he missed Game 3 due to a toe injury, it's looking like he'll be back in the lineup for this one.
Since he's coming off an injury, I wanted to keep the line low and more manageable.
The individual line odds for this are -575, so it's highly likely, but again, coming off the injury, better safe than sorry.
This season, Garland is averaging 20.6 points per game.
Through the first two games of this series, he had 27 (Game 1) and 21 (Game 2).
Over the course of this season, he played in 75 games. He had 12 points or more in 68 of them.
So, he's had 12 points or more in nearly 91% of his games this season.
Add this.
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