NBA Same Game Parlay Picks Today for Nuggets vs Thunder: Nikola Jokić Headlines My +188 SGP for May 9

On Friday, May 9, the Denver Nuggets will host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 of this Western Conference semifinal series, and this is the best NBA Same Game Parlay today.

In Game 1, the Nuggets were 9.5-point underdogs and won 121-119. They were then 11-point underdogs in Game 2 and were blown out, 149-106.

(Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)

No players besides DaRon Holmes (Nuggets) and Nikola Topic (Thunder) are on the injury report. They've been on it the entire series and are out for the season.

Below, you’ll find my NBA Same Game Parlay picks today for this game with odds of +188.

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NBA Same Game Parlay Prediction: Thunder vs Nuggets

DraftKings NBA SGP Picks Today: +188

• Thunder ML
• Nikola Jokić 8+ Assists
• Jamal Murray 5+ Assists

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Thunder ML

The Thunder moneyline, which is a standalone line of -205, leads off my NBA parlay predictions.

In Game 2 of the series, I was on the Nuggets as 11-point underdogs, but the Thunder dismantled them 149-106.

The Thunder shot 56.2% from the floor (50 of 89) and 44.4% from 3-point range (16 of 36).

They also made 91.7% of their free throws (33 of 36).

After getting outrebounded by the Nuggets by a wide margin in Game 1, the Thunder responded with 44 to the Nuggets' 38.

The Thunder also had 12 steals off of the Nuggets' 20 turnovers.

Finally, the points in the point disparity were stunning. The Thunder outscored the Nuggets 52-28.

The Nuggets shot just 37.9% from the floor (33 of 87), but they did shoot 40.5% from 3-point range (15 of 37).

They came out of the gate slowly, down 45-21 at the end of the first quarter, and the Thunder continued to pour it on.

There were the right players on the Thunder to score double digits, led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander with 34.

I guess this performance answered the question heading into Game 1. The Thunder were a bit rusty after not playing for about 10 days. Once they got back in the groove, they crushed Denver.

In Game 3, we're in Denver for the first time this series.

The Nuggets have won 14 of their last 19 home playoff games.

This season, the Nuggets are 3-3 as a home underdog, whereas the Thunder are 23-14-2 as a road favorite against the spread.

While the Nuggets did lose by 43 in Game 2, heading into this one, we have to respect them at home.

At home this season, the Nuggets are averaging 122.2 points per game (4th).

They're also shooting 50.5% from the floor (1st), 39.3% on 3-point shots (2nd), and 57.2% (3rd) on 2-point buckets.

Where it does get a bit questionable, though, is that they allow 116.2 points per game to opponents when playing at home. They also allow an average of 123 points per game over their last three outings.

Meanwhile, we can't forget that the Thunder are the Thunder, meaning they're arguably the best team in the NBA on both ends of the court.

I'll respect the Nuggets at home to make this more competitive; thus, I'll take the moneyline to be sure.

Nikola Jokić 8+ Assists

The next leg for my NBA Same Game Parlay today is for Jokic to have eight assists or more.

In Game 1, Jokic had six assists in their 121-119 win and 22 rebounds.

Then, in Game 2, in just 32 minutes due to the blowout, he also had six.

In watching Game 2, the Thunder's defense really clamped down on Jokic hard in that game. There were barely any clean shots he was able to get off. The Thunder also did a good job of not letting him get passes off.

Despite finishing with just six assists, he had 14 potential dimes.

Over the first two games, he's averaging about 13 potential assists per game.

After seeing what the defense is doing to him, especially in Game 2, I expect him to get more involved with passing and moving the ball around. The Thunder are not going to let him dominate in the paint.

I could even go higher than eight here, but while the potential assists are high, we only get rewarded for the actual ones. I expect some positive regression, but I'll go up from six to eight rather than thinking he'll contribute double digits here in Game 3.

Certainly happy to be wrong, but I'm taking baby steps here.

Jamal Murray 5+ Assists

One of the best parlay bets today in the NBA is for Murray to finish with five assists or more.

I'm sticking with another Nuggets player here and once again, looking at assists.

In Game 1, Murray had six assists. Then, in Game 2, in just 31 minutes, he had one.

Over these first two games, Murray has had 21 potential assist opportunities.

Of course, Game 2 was a massive 43-point blowout so in games like that, it's hard to treat any stats as a fair representation of what a player can do.

This season, Murray is averaging six assists per game.

I expect him to bounce back and be much more involved with passing the rock in Game 3.