On Wednesday, June 11, the Indiana Pacers will host the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 3 of the NBA Finals, and this is the best NBA Same Game Parlay today.
In Game 2, the Thunder secured their first win of the series, 123-107, at home, and now the series heads to Indiana tied 1-1.
(Photo by Sam Hodde/Getty Images)
There's nothing of note to mention from the injury report.
Heading into this Same Game Parlay, we're coming off a win on Sunday with a line of +112.
Below, you’ll find my NBA Same Game Parlay picks today for this game with odds of +254.
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NBA Same Game Parlay Prediction: Thunder vs Pacers
DraftKings NBA SGP Picks Today: +254
- Thunder ML
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ Points
- Alex Caruso 10+ Points
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Thunder ML
The Thunder moneyline leads off my NBA parlay predictions.
Heading out on the road, I still think the Thunder get the win, but I'm not comfortable taking them at -5.5 as a road favorite.
This season, the Thunder are 23-19-1 against the spread as a road favorite. The Pacers, as home underdogs, are 5-6-1 against the spread.
In Game 2 of this series, the Thunder got the 123-107 win and held the lead throughout, including a 59-41 lead at halftime.
Interestingly, both teams made 82 total shots. The Pacers had 40 shots from beyond the arc, and the Thunder had 36.
The Thunder also got seven more shots from the free-throw line. The Pacers shot 19 of 26 (73.1%) and the Thunder went 29 of 33 (87.9%).
Both teams made 14 3-point shots. The Thunder went 14 of 36 (38.9%), while the Pacers went 14 of 40 (35%).
The Thunder had more rebounds (43-35), more steals (10-9), and fewer turnovers (15-13).
The Thunder also beat the Pacers in the paint 42-34.
Five players for the Thunder had double-digit points: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (34), Jalen Williams (19), Chet Holmgren (15), Alex Caruso (20), and Aaron Wiggins (18).
As for the Pacers, seven players had double-digit points. They spread the ball around well.
These players included Pascal Siakam (15), Aaron Nesmith (14), Myles Turner (16), Tyrese Haliburton (17), Andrew Nembhard (11), Bennedict Mathurin (14), and T.J. McConnell (11).
While the Pacers got the Game 1 win, I think they'll float around 110 points or less in each game this series from here on. The Thunder have a fantastic defense, and if they continue to hold the Pacers down from 3-point range, it'll be tough for them to pull ahead.
The biggest strength for the Pacers is their ability to play an uptempo style, but as we saw, the Thunder can match that, as both teams shot 82 times.
The Pacers spread the ball around great, but again, once this Thunder defense gets rolling, it's incredibly difficult to overcome that.
With this game being in Indiana, I'll give the Pacers some credit and think they have a chance to cover, but will lose.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30+ Points
The next leg of my NBA Same Game Parlay today is for Gilgeous-Alexander to record 30 or more points.
I've stuck with this prop throughout the series, and I'm continuing to ride it.
Why? Well, SGA has delivered in both games.
In Game 1, he had 38 points, and in Game 2, he had 34 points.
In Game 1, SGA shot 14 of 30 from the floor (46.7%), including 3 of 6 from 3-point range (50%).
He also went 7 of 8 from the free-throw line.
In Game 2, he was 11 of 21 from the floor (52.4%) and 1 of 4 from beyond the arc (25%).
He made up for his lack of shots compared to Game 1 with four more free-throw tries and made 11 of them (91.7%).
This season, SGA has shot just under 52% from the floor and 37.5% from 3-point range.
Over the first two games, he's averaging 25.5 shots from the floor per game.
At 51.9%, that's about 13 makes per game, which, with only 2-point shots, is 26 or so points.
It'll be difficult for SGA to finish under 30 points, and that's why the standalone line doesn't offer a ton of value at -280.
He'll nail 30+ points in each game.
Alex Caruso 10+ Points
The next leg of my NBA Same Game Parlay today is for Caruso to have 10 points or more.
Over the first two games of this series, Caruso has played at least 27 minutes in each.
In Game 1, he played 28 minutes, shooting 3 of 8 from the floor (37.5%) and 1 of 4 from 3-point range (25%).
He went 4 of 5 from the free-throw line (80%) and finished with 11 points.
Then, in Game 2, he was excellent, shooting 6 of 11 from the floor (54.5%) and 4 of 8 from 3-point range (50%).
Caruso had four free-throw shots and made them all.
He finished with 20 points.
This season, he's averaging 7.1 points per game and is shooting 44.6% from the floor and 35.3% from 3-point range.
Over this postseason, Caruso has had 10 points or more in 10 of 18 games.
Over those 18 games, he's averaging about seven shots per game, which includes about 4.3 3-point shots per outing.
It's also worth noting that he's played under 23 minutes in six games and under 12 minutes in three games.
If he continues to play at least 26 minutes or so per game, he'll have at least 10 points.
In every game this postseason he's played 26 minutes or more, he's had at least 10 points.
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