On Wednesday, May 28, the Oklahoma City Thunder will host the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals, and this is the best NBA Same Game Parlay today.
With a chance to tie the series up at 2-2 at home, the Timberwolves lost in Game 4, 128-126. Now, they head to Oklahoma City in Game 5. Should this series go seven games, two of the remaining three games will be in Oklahoma City.
The Thunder got out to a 37-30 lead in the first quarter, and they stuck with it throughout.
Nikola Topic is the only player on the injury report.
Below, you’ll find my NBA Same Game Parlay picks today for this game with odds of +430.
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NBA Same Game Parlay Prediction: Thunder vs Timberwolves
DraftKings NBA SGP Picks Today: +430
- Timberwolves
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2+ Three Pointers Made
- Julius Randle Over 16.5 Points
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Timberwolves +8.5
The Timberwolves' point spread of +8.5 leads off my NBA parlay predictions.
In Game 4, the Timberwolves saw Thunder players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, and Chet Holmgren all go for 20+ points. In fact, SGA had 40, Williams had 34, and Holmgren had 21.
As a team, the Timberwolves really didn't play poorly, except for in one category.
They shot 51.2% from the floor (43 of 84), including 18 of 41 from beyond the arc (43.9%).
In all, six players had double-digit points, including Nickeil Alexander-Walker (23), Jaden McDaniels (22), Donte DiVincenzo (21), Anthony Edwards (16), Rudy Gobert (13), and Naz Reid (11).
As you can see, Edwards didn't have much production. He shot 5 of 13 from the floor (38.5%) and a pedestrian 1 of 7 from beyond the arc (14.3%).
Also, a key player not listed with double-digit points was Julius Randle. He's been red hot throughout the postseason, but he had just 5 points, 7 rebounds, and 3 assists in this one. He shot just 1 of 7 from the floor (14.3%) and went 0 for 3 from 3-point range.
The Timberwolves did have more rebounds and assists than the Thunder, too.
So, why or how did they lose? It's simple: Turnovers.
The Timberwolves had 21 turnovers in this one, easily the most so far in this series.
From Games 1 to 3, they had 14 or fewer in two of them. In the other game in that span, they had 17.
So, the Timberwolves lost by two at home despite committing 21 turnovers and Randle and Edwards having a bad game.
It might be tough to get the job done on the road, but there is something to be said about the "backs against the wall" mentality.
Considering I believe there will be fewer turnovers, Edwards and Randle will likely play better, and this is a "do or die" situation, I'll take the Timberwolves +8.5.
They'll cover.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2+ Three Pointers Made
The next leg of my NBA Same Game Parlay today is for Gilgeous-Alexander to make two or more 3-point shots.
Yes, I'm sticking with this one once again. I took this one on Monday, and SGA delivered.
Now, why not just go back to it?
Throughout this series, SGA has had two or more 3-pointers made in two of the four games, including the two most recent games.
Over the course of this postseason, he's had two or more in 7 of 15 games.
While that's under 50%, it's worth noting that SGA has shot well below his season-long 3-point shooting average.
During the playoffs, he's shot just 22 of 76 (28.9%) from beyond the arc.
Looking at the regular season, he shot 37.5% from there while averaging 3.7 attempts per game.
SGA has been incredibly productive despite the poor 3-point shooting, but after getting two in each of the last two games, I'll ride with it again.
Julius Randle Over 16.5 Points
One of the best parlay bets today in the NBA is for Randle to finish with 16.5 points.
On Monday, I took his over at 18.5 points, and I was burned terribly.
Of course, he went on to have his worst game this postseason, shooting just 1 of 7 from the floor.
That said, I can understand the trepidation. After all, his two worst games this postseason have come in this series.
Back on May 22, he shot just 2 of 11 from the floor (18.2%) and went 0 for 3 from 3-point range. He had just six points in that game.
Keep this in mind, though: He played about 32 minutes or less in both games. In Game 4, he logged just 28 minutes.
He's also had one of his best games this postseason.
On May 20, he played just under 36 minutes and shot 9 of 13 from the floor (69.2%), including going 5 of 6 from beyond the arc (83.3%).
He recorded 28 points in that game.
So, yeah, there's been a bit of "Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde" in this series from Randle, but I'm going to ride it out once again.
This season, Randle is averaging 18.7 points per game.
During the postseason, that number is up to about 21.6 points per outing.
He's had 17 points or more in all but three games, and we discussed two of them.
The other game came against the Los Angeles Lakers, where he had 16 points in under 35 minutes.
This could be it for the Timberwolves. I think Randle adjusts and finishes closer to his season-long average of shooting 48.5% from the floor.
He'll get at least 17 here, no problem.
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