On Thursday, May 8, the Minnesota Timberwolves will host the Golden State Warriors in Game 2 of this Western Conference semifinal series, and this is the best NBA Same Game Parlay today.
In Game 1, the Warriors were completely in control and won 99-88. It was a bad outing for the Timberwolves.
(Photo by David Sherman/NBAE via Getty Images)
Now, though, heading into Game 2 and over the next few games, the Warriors will be without superstar Steph Curry. He exited Game 1 with a hamstring injury.
Below, you’ll find my NBA Same Game Parlay picks today for this game with odds of +262. We're looking toward the Warriors in this spot.
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NBA Same Game Parlay Prediction: Timberwolves vs Warriors
DraftKings NBA SGP Picks Today: +262
- Warriors +10.5
- Jimmy Butler 6+ Assists
- Buddy Hield 15+ Points
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Warriors +10.5
The Warriors won Game 1 by 11 points, but now, with Curry out, they're 10.5-point underdogs.
Game 1 was odd in many ways. The Timberwolves shot terribly.
This season, the Timberwolves are shooting 46.6% from the floor (16th) and 37.3% from 3-point range (5th).
However, in Game 1, they shot just 39.5% from the floor (34 of 86) and 17.2% from beyond the arc (5 of 29).
They also scored just 88 points, which pales in comparison to their 113.6 points per game season-long average (16th).
All that being said, I still think the Warriors can keep this within 10 with Curry out.
In Game 1, after Curry left, the Warriors still outscored the Timberwolves 69-68.
Yes, we can still attribute that to the poor shooting, but it did show that they can still hang around even without Curry in the lineup.
In his place, Buddy Hield shot 5 of 8 from 3-point range.
No, he's not Curry, but he also shot 9 of 11 from 3-point range in the final game of their series against the Rockets.
We also have to remember that the team still has Jimmy Butler, who I think will provide massive scoring contributions, but he'll also dish the ball around.
The Warriors haven't been double-digit underdogs in the postseason since 2007—this simply doesn't happen.
This season, as road underdogs, the Warriors are 13-8 against the spread.
As home favorites, the Timberwolves are just 16-23 against the spread.
As home favorites go, this is the seventh-worst coverage percentage in the NBA.
I think the Timberwolves will win, but the Warriors still have enough talent to keep this within 10 points and cover.
My prediction is the Timberwolves win 114-109.
Jimmy Butler 6+ Assists
The next leg for my NBA Same Game Parlay today is for Butler to record six or more assists.
In Game 1, Butler recorded six assists and logged 41 minutes.
Over the previous four games against the Rockets, he had six or more assists in three outings.
Butler has played without Curry in the lineup three times this season: on March 18, 22, and 25.
Here were his stat lines in those games:
- March 18 (vs. Milwaukee): 14 points, 10 assists, 8 rebounds in 37 minutes
- March 22 (at Atlanta): 11 points, 8 assists, 4 rebounds in 37.5 minutes
- March 25 (at Miami): 11 points, 2 assists, 6 rebounds in nearly 29 minutes
It's worth noting that the March 25 outing came in a 112-86 loss. The Warriors were getting blown out.
However, in the other two games, we see he gets plenty involved with the dimes, and I think that continues, especially with how red-hot Hield has been from beyond the arc.
The over/under is 6.5 assists, but I played a bit safe here with 6+.
As a baseline, Butler is averaging 5.4 assists per game.
Buddy Hield 15+ Points
One of the best parlay bets today in the NBA is for Hield to finish with 15 points or more.e
As mentioned, Hield has been red-hot from the 3-point range.
Over the last two games, he's shooting 14 of 19 (73.7%) from there.
In the final game in the series against Houston, he logged 37 minutes.
In Game 1 against the Timberwolves, he played 40 minutes, which included a Curry departure.
Without Curry in the lineup, Hield is getting minutes. That said, there is something to be said about whether he goes cold from 3-point range, and we could see him get taken out. I certainly don't expect him to keep shooting nearly 74% from beyond the arc, considering he's shooting 37% from there on the season, but I don't see him going completely cold, either.
This season, the Timberwolves have been fairly good against the 3-point shot, giving up a 35.4% shooting percentage, but that's been up to 38.1% over their last three games and went to 42.9% in Game 1 against the Warriors.
There have been 11 games in which Hield played when Curry was out.
- 10/29/24: 28 points in 28 minutes, 48 seconds
- 10/30/24: 21 points in 29 minutes
- 11/27/24: 17 points in 23 minutes
- 12/5/24: 5 points in 27 minutes (1 of 6 from 3-point range)
- 12/27/24: 5 points in 21 minutes, 39 seconds (1 of 6 from 3-point range)
- 1/4: 14 points in 23 minutes, 34 seconds
- 1/10: 17 points in 34 minutes, 38 seconds
- 1/28: 2 points in 22 minutes (0 of 4 from 3-point range)
- 3/18: 15 points in 23.5 minutes
- 3/22: 5 points in 16 minutes, 43 seconds (1 3-point attempt)
- 3/25: 10 points in 25.5 minutes (2 of 5 from 3-point range)
So, of the 11 games, he finished with 15 or more in five of them. He finished with 14 points in one of them.
In the five games he fell short, you can see a pattern—a lack of minutes coupled with a lack of 3-point shooting success.
That said, he's been getting minutes recently, and I expect that to continue and help bolster his points.
Hield will have 15 or more.
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